Trading Signals: XLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: XLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Health Care sector ETF)
XLV latest price $53.5824 (1.2%) ($52.9495 - $53.6010) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $53.5824(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLV advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLV declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(79%)    VT(78%)    XLK(72%)    XLI(71%)    XLP(70%)
Factors Impacting XLV price   XLV will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $49.76(-7.13%)
5 Day Moving Average   $52.87(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.91(1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.54(0.08%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLV price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2014	54.02	53.54	52.91	52.87			53.58(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	12	-78	5.55	38%	-0.04	-56.7	1.12%	0	0	44	0
2	Apr_17_2014	54.04	53.57	52.93	52.52			52.95(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	-10000	4	-101	8.66	33%	-0.06	-64.4	1.11%	0	-0.7	46	0
3	Apr_16_2014	54.07	53.67	53.11	52.4			52.96(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-32	-10000	-8	-103	29.59	33%	-0.09	-63.7	1.13%	0	-0.7	45	0
4	Apr_15_2014	54.12	53.78	53.3	52.64			52.7(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-2	-80	17.42	33%	-0.09	-55.9	1.14%	0	-1.1	42	0
5	Apr_14_2014	54.17	53.91	53.5	52.7			52.14(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-9	-75	11.09	33%	-0.15	-55.5	1.14%	0	-1.8	39	0

6	Apr_11_2014	54.25	54.05	53.74	52.96			51.85(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-10000	-14	-56	14.71	33%	-0.18	-57.7	1.15%	0	-2.5	41	0
7	Apr_10_2014	54.35	54.18	53.95	53.39			52.34(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-16	-37	17.62	33%	-0.17	0	1.16%	0	-2.5	40	0
8	Apr_9_2014	54.44	54.29	54.13	53.9			54.15(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-7	-21	14.44	42%	-0.02	0	0.98%	0	-0.2	42	0
9	Apr_8_2014	54.45	54.34	54.12	54.08			53.01(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-18	-10000	-15	-27	15.17	31%	-0.13	0	0.87%	0	-2	32	0
10	Apr_7_2014	54.52	54.46	54.23	54.43			53.45(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-8	-14	15.27	31%	-0.09	0	0.88%	0	-1.7	33	0

11	Apr_4_2014	54.57	54.56	54.26	54.63			53.99(-1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-0	-10000	3	-10	20.12	34%	-0.05	0	0.88%	0	-1	44	0
12	Apr_3_2014	54.6	54.56	54.28	54.57			54.9(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	9	4	9.61	40%	0.02	0	0.83%	0	94.7	57	0
13	Apr_2_2014	54.59	54.56	54.29	54.37			55.03(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	8	3	9	40%	0.05	0	0.85%	0	93.3	54	0
14	Apr_1_2014	54.56	54.56	54.28	54.18			54.78(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	5	-10000	6	2	10.12	40%	0.02	0	0.87%	0	91.3	45	0
15	Mar_31_2014	54.55	54.56	54.32	54.03			54.44(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	8	3	9.51	40%	-0.02	0	0.88%	0	89.2	42	0

16	Mar_28_2014	54.56	54.56	54.34	53.85			53.71(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	13.13	29%	-0.11	0	0.81%	0	85.3	33	0
17	Mar_27_2014	54.62	54.56	54.4	53.93			53.92(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	-10000	-11	-4	12.96	29%	-0.09	0	0.84%	0	88.4	50	0
18	Mar_26_2014	54.67	54.56	54.47	54.18			54.04(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-9	-4	13.64	29%	-0.09	0	0.88%	0	90.1	50	0
19	Mar_25_2014	54.72	54.56	54.58	54.4			54.02(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-11	-4	14.65	29%	-0.13	0	0.91%	0	91.6	50	0
20	Mar_24_2014	54.79	54.56	54.71	54.66			53.55(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-9	-10000	-10	-4	20.5	29%	-0.22	0	0.88%	0	92.3	50	0

21	Mar_21_2014	54.91	54.56	54.9	54.9			54.15(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	0	-10000	-0	0	19.5	34%	-0.15	0	0.89%	0	120.3	50	0
22	Mar_20_2014	54.99	54.56	54.9	54.91			55.15(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	5	-10000	6	2	4.9	49%	0.04	0	0.74%	0	141.4	50	0
23	Mar_19_2014	54.97	54.56	54.9	54.78			55.15(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-1	-10000	-1	-0	8.4	49%	0.04	0	0.79%	0	134.5	50	0
24	Mar_18_2014	54.95	54.56	54.9	54.8			55.32(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	0	0	6.15	49%	0.11	0	0.85%	0	128.7	50	0
25	Mar_17_2014	54.89	54.56	54.9	54.79			54.73(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-6	-2	6.43	32%		0	0.76%	0	124.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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