Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $54.8200 (0.22%) ($54.5400 - $54.8300) on Tue. Aug. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.51% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $54.8200(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(79%)    XLRE(77%)    XLP(74%)    VYM(70%)    SDY(67%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    DIA(-7%)    GDXJ(-6%)    XHB(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.255% (StdDev 0.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.55(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.31(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.95(1.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2017	52.73	53.95	54.31	54.55			54.82(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	7	73	8.15	56%	0.06	73.9	0.51%	0	1.5	65	0
2	Aug_21_2017	52.7	53.84	54.23	54.46			54.7(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	9	75	5.66	56%	0.08	71.2	0.52%	0	1.4	66	0
3	Aug_18_2017	52.66	53.74	54.16	54.33			54.5(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	11	76	14.85	56%	0.06	74.5	0.52%	0	1.3	68	0
4	Aug_17_2017	52.63	53.68	54.08	54.18			54.18(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	2	70	8.96	54%	0.06	79.8	0.52%	0	0.9	68	0
5	Aug_16_2017	52.6	53.62	54.07	54.15			54.57(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	9	91	7.13	54%	0.06	85.5	0.51%	0	1.6	72	0

6	Aug_15_2017	52.57	53.51	53.98	54.02			54.35(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	3	88	9.58	54%	0.06	83	0.52%	0	1.4	72	0
7	Aug_14_2017	52.54	53.41	53.9	53.98			54.05(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	2	107	11.83	53%	0.04	86.2	0.51%	0	1	75	0
8	Aug_11_2017	52.52	53.32	53.82	53.96			53.74(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-10000	-1	115	9.34	51%	0.04	86.3	0.51%	0	0.6	65	0
9	Aug_10_2017	52.5	53.24	53.76	53.97			54.06(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	1	115	9.61	53%	0.04	81.8	0.51%	0	1.1	60	0
10	Aug_9_2017	52.48	53.12	53.67	53.96			53.89(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	2	121	8.85	51%	0.06	82.7	0.51%	0	1	63	0

11	Aug_8_2017	52.45	53.02	53.58	53.93			54.17(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	9	132	7.57	52%	0.06	79.9	0.51%	0	1.5	71	0
12	Aug_7_2017	52.42	52.88	53.42	53.8			53.95(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	10	123	5.16	52%	0.06	74.5	0.51%	0	1.4	71	0
13	Aug_4_2017	52.39	52.76	53.3	53.66			53.78(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	11	121	17.47	52%	0.04	66.7	0.51%	0	1.3	71	0
14	Aug_3_2017	52.37	52.65	53.24	53.51			54.02(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	-10000	13	133	10.46	52%	0.04	58.7	0.51%	0	1.7	77	0
15	Aug_2_2017	52.35	52.51	53.13	53.33			53.75(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	-10000	11	137	8.02	52%	0.06	49.7	0.51%	0	1.7	77	0

16	Aug_1_2017	52.32	52.4	53	53.18			53.52(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	16	137	10.82	52%	0.06	37.8	0.51%	0	1.6	72	0
17	Jul_31_2017	52.29	52.3	52.88	52.97			53.22(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	6	128	11.86	51%	0.04	19	0.51%	0	1.4	74	0
18	Jul_28_2017	52.27	52.24	52.78	52.89			53.04(-0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	30	-10000	-4	131	9.64	51%	0.04	7.4	0.51%	0	1.3	72	0
19	Jul_27_2017	52.25	52.18	52.67	52.94			53.12(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	-10000	4	153	9.59	51%	0.06	0	0.51%	0	1.6	72	0
20	Jul_26_2017	52.22	52.14	52.53	52.89			52.99(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	7	155	8.63	51%	0.04	-11.2	0.52%	0	1.5	72	0

21	Jul_25_2017	52.2	52.13	52.42	52.8			52.49(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	41	-10000	2	159	10.57	48%	0.02	-24.3	0.5%	0	0.6	68	0
22	Jul_24_2017	52.19	52.18	52.32	52.77			52.79(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	-10000	10	154	10.53	50%	0.02	-25.2	0.5%	0	1	67	0
23	Jul_21_2017	52.18	52.19	52.19	52.64			53.29(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	-10000	21	138	9.27	53%	0.04	-35.9	0.49%	0	1.6	70	0
24	Jul_20_2017	52.16	52.18	52	52.37			52.91(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	20	93	8.46	50%	0.02	-53.1	0.48%	0	1.1	63	0
25	Jul_19_2017	52.15	52.21	51.85	52.12			52.53(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	10	35	10.67	47%		-60.7	0.48%	0	0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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