Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $54.2200 (0.71%) ($53.6400 - $54.2300) on Thu. Jun. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $54.2200(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(79%)    XLRE(77%)    XLP(73%)    VYM(70%)    SDY(67%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    DIA(-7%)    IPO(-6%)    GDXJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.69(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.1(2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.38(3.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2017	50.93	52.38	53.1	53.69			54.22(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	-10000	17	221	11.12	57%	0.12	63.4	0.55%	0	2	88	0
2	May_31_2017	50.87	52.23	52.85	53.44			53.84(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	-10000	16	201	12.62	59%	0.12	60	0.55%	0	2	87	0
3	May_30_2017	50.81	52.11	52.62	53.2			53.57(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	-10000	15	183	6.29	59%	0.14	55	0.55%	0	2	86	0
4	May_26_2017	50.74	51.99	52.45	52.99			53.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	53	-10000	17	162	7.65	58%	0.1	49.6	0.57%	0	2.2	74	0
5	May_25_2017	50.69	51.9	52.28	52.73			53.4(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	-10000	20	136	16.78	58%	0.1	43.5	0.57%	0	2.7	73	0

6	May_24_2017	50.64	51.82	52.08	52.43			52.97(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	-10000	18	104	7.6	60%	0.1	42.4	0.57%	0	2.6	73	0
7	May_23_2017	50.59	51.75	51.92	52.17			52.67(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	29	-10000	14	75	15.29	61%	0.04	33.8	0.6%	0	2.6	73	0
8	May_22_2017	50.57	51.71	51.78	51.95			52.53(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	17	-10000	7	46	7.78	61%	0.08	19	0.61%	0	2.7	67	0
9	May_19_2017	50.53	51.67	51.69	51.84			52.08(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	5	39	9.9	62%	0.06	11.1	0.61%	0	1.8	63	0
10	May_18_2017	50.5	51.65	51.65	51.77			51.88(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	5	33	16.88	62%	0.08	4.7	0.61%	0	1	52	0

11	May_17_2017	50.46	51.65	51.61	51.69			51.7(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	4	16	15.03	62%	0.06	-14.6	0.62%	0	0.3	44	0
12	May_16_2017	50.43	51.63	51.57	51.63			51.57(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	-10000	3	1	7.65	64%	0.02	-15.6	0.62%	0	-0.3	46	0
13	May_15_2017	50.42	51.63	51.56	51.58			51.95(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-1	-10000	3	-12	6.35	67%	0.08	-11.1	0.62%	0	1.3	48	0
14	May_12_2017	50.38	51.65	51.5	51.58			51.73(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-7	-10000	0	-29	7.52	67%	0.06	-6.7	0.62%	0	0.3	43	0
15	May_11_2017	50.35	51.64	51.49	51.58			51.48(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	0	-30	7.7	67%	0.06	-6.7	0.62%	0	-0.7	45	0

16	May_10_2017	50.32	51.66	51.53	51.53			51.41(0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-4	-10000	2	-22	8.44	67%	0.06	-4.4	0.63%	0	-1.1	50	0
17	May_9_2017	50.29	51.67	51.57	51.5			51.33(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-1	-25	7.76	67%	0.06	-8.9	0.63%	0	-1.5	45	0
18	May_8_2017	50.26	51.68	51.63	51.52			51.71(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	4	-23	8.79	71%	0.06	-2.3	0.63%	0	0.1	43	0
19	May_5_2017	50.23	51.67	51.63	51.46			51.73(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	1	-29	10.79	71%	0.08	-8.9	0.64%	0	0.3	46	0
20	May_4_2017	50.19	51.66	51.65	51.45			51.45(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-6	-32	14.04	71%	0.08	0	0.64%	0	-1	47	0

21	May_3_2017	50.15	51.68	51.66	51.55			51.27(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-10000	-6	-29	10.51	71%	0.04	18.6	0.64%	0	-1.9	41	0
22	May_2_2017	50.13	51.69	51.7	51.65			51.45(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-6	-16	9.44	71%	0.06	29.3	0.64%	0	-1.1	52	0
23	May_1_2017	50.1	51.69	51.76	51.75			51.39(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-5	-10000	-7	2	10.69	63%	0.08	32.6	0.65%	0	-1.3	50	0
24	Apr_28_2017	50.06	51.68	51.76	51.87			51.7(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-1	23	9.41	66%	0.08	37.2	0.7%	0	0.1	57	0
25	Apr_27_2017	50.02	51.66	51.82	51.88			51.95(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	5	28	9.47	66%		22.9	0.7%	0	1.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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