Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $51.3100 (-1.1%) ($51.2100 - $51.7800) on Thu. Mar. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $51.3100(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(79%)    XLRE(77%)    XLP(73%)    VYM(70%)    SDY(67%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    PAVE(-9%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.26(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.19(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.01(0.59%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2017	48.73	51.01	51.19	51.26			51.31(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	8	-15	18.73	63%	0.06	74	0.74%	0	0.4	47	0
2	Mar_15_2017	48.7	50.91	51.22	51.11			51.88(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	-10000	14	-15	22.62	67%	0.08	55.5	0.72%	0	1.2	61	0
3	Mar_14_2017	48.66	50.78	51.15	50.86			51.06(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-31	11.67	55%	0.06	46.6	0.7%	0	0.3	60	0
4	Mar_13_2017	48.63	50.7	51.22	50.93			51.11(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-10000	-3	0	14.06	55%	0.06	50.6	0.75%	0	0.5	63	0
5	Mar_10_2017	48.6	50.62	51.24	50.99			50.96(0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-10000	-6	29	11.49	55%	0.06	52.8	0.77%	0	0.4	66	0

6	Mar_9_2017	48.57	50.53	51.3	51.1			50.54(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-12	65	12.84	53%	0.04	54.2	0.77%	0	0	64	0
7	Mar_8_2017	48.55	50.47	51.34	51.33			50.65(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	24	-10000	-6	112	18.39	53%	0.04	64.6	0.78%	0	0.2	69	0
8	Mar_7_2017	48.53	50.39	51.33	51.46			51.39(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-10000	-4	149	17.95	62%	0.08	64.9	0.75%	0	1	76	0
9	Mar_6_2017	48.49	50.27	51.21	51.54			51.42(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-10000	1	168	7.62	62%	0.08	68.1	0.76%	0	1.1	70	0
10	Mar_3_2017	48.45	50.14	51.03	51.52			51.52(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	43	-10000	-1	173	17.58	62%	0.06	70.4	0.76%	0	1.3	73	0

11	Mar_2_2017	48.42	50	50.84	51.53			51.68(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	55	-10000	9	191	17.37	62%	0.1	74.8	0.76%	0	1.6	77	0
12	Mar_1_2017	48.37	49.83	50.59	51.36			51.31(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	-10000	10	176	29.12	62%	0.08	72.7	0.76%	0	1.5	68	0
13	Feb_28_2017	48.33	49.72	50.38	51.16			51.77(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	16	149	14.41	59%	0.1	74.9	0.86%	0	2.1	76	0
14	Feb_27_2017	48.28	49.55	50.14	50.82			51.3(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	-10000	16	133	13.98	57%	0.08	73.3	0.88%	0	2	75	0
15	Feb_24_2017	48.24	49.4	49.94	50.47			51.59(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	42	-10000	18	112	18.63	60%	0.1	67.3	0.89%	0	2.7	77	0

16	Feb_23_2017	48.19	49.23	49.66	50.06			50.82(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	16	85	15	56%	0.08	65.4	0.88%	0	2.5	74	0
17	Feb_22_2017	48.15	49.11	49.51	49.71			50.3(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	10	69	16.02	54%	0.06	53.6	0.89%	0	2.2	75	0
18	Feb_21_2017	48.12	49.01	49.37	49.48			50.09(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	5	49	11.36	54%	0.02	42	0.89%	0	2.2	58	0
19	Feb_17_2017	48.11	48.92	49.24	49.37			49.57(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	2	45	9.97	51%	0	40.7	0.88%	0	1.5	62	0
20	Feb_16_2017	48.11	48.87	49.17	49.32			49.54(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	49	14	51%	-0.02	40.2	0.88%	0	1.7	62	0

21	Feb_15_2017	48.12	48.82	49.1	49.2			49.05(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-3	44	18.93	53%	-0.02	35.5	0.88%	0	0.6	58	0
22	Feb_14_2017	48.13	48.81	49.1	49.27			49.17(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	2	51	18.78	53%	-0.04	52.6	0.9%	0	1	60	0
23	Feb_13_2017	48.15	48.8	49.03	49.22			49.53(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	7	61	13.04	53%	-0.02	59.2	0.89%	0	2	65	0
24	Feb_10_2017	48.16	48.75	48.92	49.08			49.29(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	4	49	9.48	46%	-0.04	50	0.9%	0	1.6	62	0
25	Feb_9_2017	48.18	48.71	48.83	49			48.98(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	1	38	14.5	39%		45.3	0.95%	0	0.9	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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