Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $51.5900 (1.52%) ($50.9900 - $51.5900) on Fri. Feb. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $51.5900(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(79%)    XLRE(77%)    XLP(73%)    VYM(70%)    SDY(67%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.47(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.94(3.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.4(4.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170324

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_24_2017	48.24	49.4	49.94	50.47			51.59(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	42	-10000	18	112	18.63	60%	0.1	67.3	0.89%	0	2.7	77	0
2	Feb_23_2017	48.19	49.23	49.66	50.06			50.82(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	16	85	15	56%	0.08	65.4	0.88%	0	2.5	74	0
3	Feb_22_2017	48.15	49.11	49.51	49.71			50.3(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	10	69	16.02	54%	0.06	53.6	0.89%	0	2.2	75	0
4	Feb_21_2017	48.12	49.01	49.37	49.48			50.09(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	5	49	11.36	54%	0.02	42	0.89%	0	2.2	58	0
5	Feb_17_2017	48.11	48.92	49.24	49.37			49.57(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	2	45	9.97	51%	0	40.7	0.88%	0	1.5	62	0

6	Feb_16_2017	48.11	48.87	49.17	49.32			49.54(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	49	14	51%	-0.02	40.2	0.88%	0	1.7	62	0
7	Feb_15_2017	48.12	48.82	49.1	49.2			49.05(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-3	44	18.93	53%	-0.02	35.5	0.88%	0	0.6	58	0
8	Feb_14_2017	48.13	48.81	49.1	49.27			49.17(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	2	51	18.78	53%	-0.04	52.6	0.9%	0	1	60	0
9	Feb_13_2017	48.15	48.8	49.03	49.22			49.53(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	7	61	13.04	53%	-0.02	59.2	0.89%	0	2	65	0
10	Feb_10_2017	48.16	48.75	48.92	49.08			49.29(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	4	49	9.48	46%	-0.04	50	0.9%	0	1.6	62	0

11	Feb_9_2017	48.18	48.71	48.83	49			48.98(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	1	38	14.5	39%	-0.02	45.3	0.95%	0	0.9	55	0
12	Feb_8_2017	48.19	48.69	48.77	48.97			49.4(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	8	35	15.88	39%	-0.02	43.5	1.05%	0	2.4	62	0
13	Feb_7_2017	48.2	48.62	48.67	48.76			48.92(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	1	-10000	-2	11	6.11	43%	-0.02	19	1.05%	0	1.1	48	0
14	Feb_6_2017	48.21	48.62	48.61	48.81			48.8(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	3	9	7.04	43%	0	18.3	1.07%	0	0.8	45	0
15	Feb_3_2017	48.21	48.58	48.57	48.74			48.9(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	4	4	11.34	43%	0	11.7	1.07%	0	1.1	55	0

16	Feb_2_2017	48.21	48.57	48.54	48.63			48.84(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	3	-3	15.66	41%	0	8.6	1.07%	0	1	54	0
17	Feb_1_2017	48.21	48.55	48.51	48.55			48.33(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2	-10000	-0	-9	24.38	39%	-0.02	0	1.08%	0	-0.8	48	0
18	Jan_31_2017	48.22	48.56	48.57	48.56			49.18(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	5	-10000	6	3	15.92	45%	0	-1.8	1.08%	0	2.3	70	0
19	Jan_30_2017	48.22	48.53	48.55	48.4			48.43(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-0	-10000	0	-1	9.32	42%	0	-20.4	1.09%	0	-0.4	57	0
20	Jan_27_2017	48.22	48.55	48.56	48.39			48.39(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-2	-6	7.23	42%	-0.04	-14.3	1.09%	0	-0.7	42	0

21	Jan_26_2017	48.24	48.54	48.58	48.44			48.4(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-10000	-1	-3	11.49	42%	-0.04	-18.4	1.1%	0	-0.6	46	0
22	Jan_25_2017	48.26	48.55	48.59	48.47			48.38(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	-10000	-5	-4	19.23	42%	-0.04	-13.7	1.1%	0	-0.7	46	0
23	Jan_24_2017	48.28	48.57	48.57	48.59			48.38(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-5	-0	11.05	42%	0.02	3.9	1.1%	0	-0.8	50	0
24	Jan_23_2017	48.27	48.57	48.55	48.72			48.39(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10000	-1	6	10.63	42%	-0.04	24.1	1.1%	0	-0.7	48	0
25	Jan_20_2017	48.29	48.58	48.6	48.74			48.64(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	-10000	0	8	11.87	42%		37.3	1.1%	0	0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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