Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $47.9500 (-2.06%) ($47.8900 - $49.4400) on Wed. Dec. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $47.9500(-2.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(79%)    XLRE(77%)    XLP(73%)    VYM(70%)    SDY(66%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-5%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.16(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.54(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.26(1.46%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2016	48.84	47.26	47.54	48.16			47.95(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	4	51	28.35	40%	-0.08	57.7	1.18%	0	0.9	61	0
2	Dec_13_2016	48.88	47.2	47.42	48.04			48.96(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	16	49	20.22	40%	-0.08	40.4	1.15%	0	2.3	63	0
3	Dec_12_2016	48.92	47.05	47.33	47.61			48.46(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	-10000	12	36	21.98	43%	-0.08	9	1.15%	0	2.1	62	0
4	Dec_9_2016	48.96	46.92	47.27	47.29			47.96(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	9	32	16.02	39%	-0.08	-17.9	1.17%	0	1.7	63	0
5	Dec_8_2016	49	46.83	47.18	47.05			47.46(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	7	24	14.4	39%	-0.1	-43.8	1.25%	0	1.1	59	0

6	Dec_7_2016	49.05	46.82	47.09	46.84			47.38(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	-10000	4	12	12.9	39%	-0.1	-59.5	1.25%	0	0.9	58	0
7	Dec_6_2016	49.1	46.9	47.04	46.71			46.77(-0.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	0.1	-7	-10000	-10	1	8.42	39%	-0.1	-46.4	1.24%	0	-0.2	51	0
8	Dec_5_2016	49.15	46.99	47.05	47.01			46.86(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-8	27	14.89	39%	-0.1	-35.3	1.25%	0	-0.1	58	0
9	Dec_2_2016	49.2	47.04	47	47.25			46.8(0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-3	45	16.4	41%	-0.1	-30.4	1.26%	0	-0.3	58	0
10	Dec_1_2016	49.25	47.1	46.97	47.33			46.38(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-1	53	18.37	41%	-0.12	-28.4	1.26%	0	-0.8	53	0

11	Nov_30_2016	49.31	47.18	46.97	47.35			46.75(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-1	48	23.47	40%	-0.1	-31.5	1.25%	0	-0.5	45	0
12	Nov_29_2016	49.36	47.26	46.99	47.39			48.27(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	11	34	14.45	44%	-0.08	-29.6	1.2%	0	1.1	40	0
13	Nov_28_2016	49.4	47.3	46.76	47.09			48.07(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	-10000	13	-9	23.43	44%	-0.1	-29.7	1.2%	0	0.7	42	0
14	Nov_25_2016	49.45	47.31	46.55	46.74			47.16(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	5	-53	7.87	39%	-0.16	-36.7	1.2%	0	-0.1	44	0
15	Nov_23_2016	49.53	47.37	46.45	46.59			46.49(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	0	-83	14.15	37%	-0.14	-40	1.18%	0	-0.8	38	0

16	Nov_22_2016	49.6	47.47	46.53	46.58			46.96(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	2	-92	10.64	37%	-0.04	-39.6	1.17%	0	-0.5	43	0
17	Nov_21_2016	49.62	47.54	46.72	46.53			46.78(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	5	-89	12.3	37%	-0.12	-41	1.17%	0	-0.7	37	0
18	Nov_18_2016	49.68	47.62	46.9	46.38			46.29(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	-10000	2	-107	10.7	38%	-0.12	-45.3	1.17%	0	-1.2	29	0
19	Nov_17_2016	49.74	47.71	47.06	46.32			46.43(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-10000	2	-116	19.2	40%	-0.1	-47.7	1.18%	0	-1.2	39	0
20	Nov_16_2016	49.79	47.81	47.23	46.28			46.42(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-7	-123	16.82	39%	-0.1	-50.2	1.2%	0	-1.4	40	0

21	Nov_15_2016	49.84	47.91	47.38	46.47			46.74(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-44	-10000	-17	-125	25.19	38%	-0.1	-43.9	1.2%	0	-1.2	40	0
22	Nov_14_2016	49.89	47.99	47.56	46.96			46(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-39	-10000	-19	-100	28.19	35%	-0.08	-24.5	1.2%	0	-2.2	36	0
23	Nov_11_2016	49.93	48.11	47.9	47.51			46.03(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-25	-10000	-14	-56	30.95	35%	-0.1	-5.6	1.2%	0	-2.7	39	0
24	Nov_10_2016	49.98	48.21	48.16	47.9			46.22(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-17	-10000	-13	-30	53.12	35%	-0.08	14.5	1.2%	0	-3.2	41	0
25	Nov_9_2016	50.02	48.31	48.39	48.27			47.36(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-4	-10000	-4	-5	42.81	37%		48.5	1.16%	0	-1.9	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.