Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $48.4200 (0.85%) ($47.8000 - $48.5200) on Tue. Oct. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $48.4200(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(79%)    XLRE(77%)    XLP(73%)    VYM(69%)    SDY(66%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-5%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $48.59
5 Day Moving Average   $47.93(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.58(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.59(-0.35%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.88% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2016	50.31	48.59	47.58	47.93			48.42(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	12	-39	14.76	37%	-0.04	-26	1.02%	0	-0.1	33	0
2	Oct_17_2016	50.33	48.64	47.46	47.64			48.01(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	4	-94	11.44	37%	-0.02	-28.1	1.02%	0	-0.4	28	0
3	Oct_14_2016	50.34	48.73	47.48	47.54			47.75(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	-10000	5	-129	17.95	37%	-0.02	-29.4	1.02%	0	-0.7	22	0
4	Oct_13_2016	50.35	48.81	47.58	47.41			48.02(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	-10000	7	-160	30.54	37%	0	-29.8	1.02%	0	-0.6	22	0
5	Oct_12_2016	50.35	48.87	47.69	47.24			47.43(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-48	-10000	2	-196	15.43	33%	-0.02	-37.6	1.01%	0	-1	15	0

6	Oct_11_2016	50.36	48.95	47.94	47.19			46.97(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-55	-10000	-3	-210	14.35	33%	-0.02	-44.2	1.01%	0	-1.5	14	0
7	Oct_10_2016	50.37	49.05	48.25	47.26			47.51(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-57	-10000	-7	-207	9.77	34%	-0.02	-51.4	1%	0	-1.2	33	0
8	Oct_7_2016	50.38	49.15	48.56	47.42			47.12(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-10000	-15	-191	17.22	34%	-0.02	-51.6	1.01%	0	-1.7	28	0
9	Oct_6_2016	50.39	49.23	48.94	47.79			47.18(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-10000	-17	-150	20.2	34%	0	-48.3	1.03%	0	-1.8	35	0
10	Oct_5_2016	50.39	49.39	49.32	48.22			47.19(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-10000	-23	-108	28.17	34%	-0.04	-37.2	1.03%	0	-2.1	36	0

11	Oct_4_2016	50.41	49.55	49.68	48.8			47.29(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-30	-10000	-22	-53	25.69	34%	-0.04	-20	1.04%	0	-2.4	42	0
12	Oct_3_2016	50.43	49.71	49.95	49.37			48.3(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-20	-5	19.49	36%	-0.02	0	1.01%	0	-1.7	51	0
13	Sep_30_2016	50.44	49.78	50.12	49.87			48.99(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-16	36	14.84	41%	-0.02	21.2	1%	0	-1.1	49	0
14	Sep_29_2016	50.45	49.78	50.17	50.26			49.33(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	8	-10000	-13	70	19.25	41%	0	29.1	1.04%	0	-0.6	60	0
15	Sep_28_2016	50.45	49.79	50.18	50.59			50.08(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	18	-10000	-5	87	16.62	43%	0.02	35.8	1.02%	0	0.4	48	0

16	Sep_27_2016	50.44	49.74	50.06	50.71			50.15(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	25	-10000	4	86	17.94	44%	0.02	33.3	1.02%	0	0.5	49	0
17	Sep_26_2016	50.43	49.71	49.93	50.61			50.81(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	8	66	8.05	46%	0.04	25.5	1.02%	0	1.4	53	0
18	Sep_23_2016	50.41	49.62	49.77	50.4			50.94(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	13	52	11	46%	0.04	11.7	1.02%	0	1.8	58	0
19	Sep_22_2016	50.39	49.57	49.52	50.06			50.98(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	14	25	12.04	46%	0.04	-6	1.02%	0	2.1	63	0
20	Sep_21_2016	50.37	49.52	49.43	49.71			50.67(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	-10000	15	14	19.41	46%	0.04	-24	1.02%	0	1.9	59	0

21	Sep_20_2016	50.35	49.48	49.36	49.34			49.66(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10000	8	-1	12.86	43%	0	-39.8	0.98%	0	0.3	55	0
22	Sep_19_2016	50.35	49.52	49.4	49.14			49.75(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	4	-10	12.53	43%	0.04	-45.4	0.99%	0	0.4	51	0
23	Sep_16_2016	50.33	49.54	49.38	49.05			49.26(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	7	-10	21.72	41%	0.02	-52.8	0.98%	0	-0.5	52	0
24	Sep_15_2016	50.32	49.61	49.36	48.89			49.2(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-10	-41	30.97	41%	0.02	-54.8	0.98%	0	-0.6	43	0
25	Sep_14_2016	50.31	49.67	49.37	49.12			48.83(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-11	-37	15.23	41%		-48.2	0.98%	0	-1.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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