Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $50.5100 (-0.12%) ($50.4700 - $50.8400) on Mon. Jun. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $50.5100(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(79%)    XLRE(76%)    XLP(73%)    VYM(68%)    SDY(66%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    DIA(-6%)    IPO(-5%)    XHB(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.4(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.02(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.25(2.56%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160713

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_13_2016	47.99	49.25	50.02	50.4			50.51(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	5	145	13.15	50%	0.15	33.9	0.85%	0	1.4	88	0
2	Jun_10_2016	47.92	49.19	49.85	50.3			50.57(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	4	147	12.91	50%	0.17	35.4	0.85%	0	1.6	78	0
3	Jun_9_2016	47.84	49.13	49.67	50.21			50.7(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	-10000	13	154	9.7	50%	0.17	37.9	0.85%	0	1.9	81	0
4	Jun_8_2016	47.76	49.05	49.42	49.93			50.27(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	10	142	6.77	48%	0.13	31.4	0.84%	0	1.6	82	0
5	Jun_7_2016	47.7	48.99	49.23	49.73			49.97(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	8	123	7.9	48%	0.04	28.7	0.85%	0	1.4	63	0

6	Jun_6_2016	47.68	48.94	49.02	49.56			50.01(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	11	93	10.84	48%	0.15	25.9	0.85%	0	1.6	52	0
7	Jun_3_2016	47.61	48.87	48.85	49.33			50.08(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	13	60	18.72	50%	0.15	20	0.86%	0	2	53	0
8	Jun_2_2016	47.54	48.87	48.65	49.06			49.3(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	11	21	7.7	46%	0.13	17.7	0.84%	0	0.9	44	0
9	Jun_1_2016	47.48	48.82	48.49	48.84			49.28(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	9	-19	11.28	46%	0.13	15.9	0.84%	0	0.8	48	0
10	May_31_2016	47.42	48.79	48.41	48.65			49.15(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	12	-41	15.59	46%	0.23	17.1	0.85%	0	0.7	49	0

11	May_27_2016	47.31	48.77	48.42	48.4			48.83(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	5	-62	15.11	46%	0.13	15.6	0.84%	0	0.1	46	0
12	May_26_2016	47.25	48.75	48.46	48.29			48.75(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	6	-64	13.15	41%	0.11	18.6	0.85%	0	0	49	0
13	May_25_2016	47.2	48.72	48.53	48.17			48.2(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	5	-64	14.35	41%	0.11	22.6	0.91%	0	-0.9	41	0
14	May_24_2016	47.15	48.73	48.64	48.07			48.34(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-10000	-3	-75	13.38	41%	0.11	18.7	0.92%	0	-0.6	40	0
15	May_23_2016	47.1	48.7	48.73	48.13			47.86(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-15	-73	12.69	38%	0.02	8.1	0.91%	0	-1.3	43	0

16	May_20_2016	47.09	48.69	48.86	48.45			48.29(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-10	-46	15.19	41%	0.11	10.6	0.91%	0	-0.6	46	0
17	May_19_2016	47.04	48.65	48.92	48.67			48.18(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-13	-26	19.58	41%	0.11	8.1	0.91%	0	-0.6	50	0
18	May_18_2016	46.99	48.6	49.02	48.96			47.7(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-9	-10000	-14	8	27.26	43%	0.09	8.6	0.91%	0	-1.1	49	0
19	May_17_2016	46.95	48.62	49.2	49.28			48.61(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-5	51	17.53	46%	0.11	17.1	0.9%	0	-0	58	0
20	May_16_2016	46.9	48.64	49.23	49.39			49.45(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-10000	3	83	11.09	50%	0.04	21.9	0.87%	0	1	78	0

21	May_13_2016	46.88	48.62	49.17	49.33			49.39(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	6	98	12.63	50%	0.15	22.4	0.87%	0	1	78	0
22	May_12_2016	46.81	48.58	49.07	49.21			49.63(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	29	-10000	4	103	17.73	50%	0.13	19.1	0.88%	0	1.4	83	0
23	May_11_2016	46.75	48.53	48.93	49.21			49.34(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	0	112	12.17	46%	0.15	17.4	0.88%	0	1.2	84	0
24	May_10_2016	46.68	48.49	48.81	49.12			49.16(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	4	116	13.26	46%	0.15	17.6	0.91%	0	1	63	0
25	May_9_2016	46.61	48.47	48.66	49.04			49.11(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	3	92	11.23	46%		17.4	0.91%	0	1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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