Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $49.3100 (0.55%) ($48.6700 - $49.4200) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $49.3100(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(76%)    XLP(73%)    VYM(68%)    SDY(65%)    IWD(60%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    DIA(-6%)    IPO(-5%)    XHB(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.6(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.19(2.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.41(4.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	44.43	47.41	48.19	48.6			49.31(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	47	-10000	10	157	17.53	64%	0.14	74.5	0.96%	0	2	93	0
2	Mar_16_2016	44.37	47.26	47.92	48.36			49.04(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	-10000	9	131	27.87	67%	0.11	71.6	0.96%	0	2	63	0
3	Mar_15_2016	44.32	47.09	47.64	48.16			48.3(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	4	106	13.74	65%	0.09	67	0.99%	0	1.5	63	0
4	Mar_14_2016	44.28	46.97	47.43	48.07			48.21(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	7	95	11.72	65%	0.09	64.1	0.99%	0	1.6	64	0
5	Mar_11_2016	44.24	46.84	47.24	47.9			48.15(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	8	80	15.7	65%	0.05	53.3	0.99%	0	1.7	64	0

6	Mar_10_2016	44.22	46.71	47.04	47.7			48.1(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	13	67	19.47	61%	0.09	44.2	1%	0	1.8	68	0
7	Mar_9_2016	44.18	46.63	46.96	47.39			48.06(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	15	58	14.26	61%	0.07	35.8	1.02%	0	2.1	63	0
8	Mar_8_2016	44.15	46.54	46.84	47.04			47.84(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	15	48	16.37	61%	0.07	29.5	1.02%	0	2.2	68	0
9	Mar_7_2016	44.12	46.47	46.72	46.69			47.37(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	9	32	18.49	61%	0.07	19.6	1.02%	0	1.7	64	0
10	Mar_4_2016	44.09	46.42	46.65	46.48			47.11(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	8	31	22.13	63%	0.05	20.4	1.02%	0	1.4	65	0

11	Mar_3_2016	44.07	46.42	46.56	46.29			46.59(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-2	-10000	-8	17	21.27	62%	0.07	28.9	1.02%	0	0.5	60	0
12	Mar_2_2016	44.04	46.38	46.55	46.47			46.31(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-5	31	30.22	58%	0.05	68	1.03%	0	-0.2	48	0
13	Mar_1_2016	44.02	46.37	46.51	46.6			46.07(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-6	31	23.64	58%	0.05	101	1.07%	0	-0.7	46	0
14	Feb_29_2016	44	46.36	46.49	46.75			46.3(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-3	37	20.14	58%	0.07	133.3	1.06%	0	-0.1	49	0
15	Feb_26_2016	43.97	46.32	46.43	46.83			46.17(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.3	9	-10000	-0	34	32.95	58%	0.05	140.9	1.06%	0	-0.3	47	0

16	Feb_25_2016	43.95	46.25	46.39	46.84			47.48(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	8	32	12.16	63%	0.09	125.4	1.01%	0	1.9	61	0
17	Feb_24_2016	43.91	46.07	46.28	46.65			47(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	11	18	16.75	62%	0.09	103.6	1%	0	1.2	53	0
18	Feb_23_2016	43.87	45.92	46.23	46.4			46.78(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	8	5	11.79	62%	0.07	80.7	1%	0	1	58	0
19	Feb_22_2016	43.84	45.76	46.18	46.21			46.74(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-10000	10	-1	12.44	62%	0.07	66.1	1.01%	0	1	60	0
20	Feb_19_2016	43.81	45.61	46.16	45.98			46.2(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	4	-7	17.02	60%	0.09	57.3	1%	0	0.6	61	0

21	Feb_18_2016	43.77	45.47	46.17	45.98			46.51(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-10000	0	6	18.88	60%	0.07	48.8	1.01%	0	0.9	72	0
22	Feb_17_2016	43.74	45.3	46.18	45.88			45.76(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-7	37	19.08	54%	0.09	46	0.99%	0	0.4	74	0
23	Feb_16_2016	43.7	45.22	46.21	46.04			45.85(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-5	76	14.64	56%	0.09	52.3	1.02%	0	0.5	75	0
24	Feb_12_2016	43.66	45.1	46.21	46.15			45.56(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-8	113	21.02	56%	0.07	54.6	1.03%	0	0.3	76	0
25	Feb_11_2016	43.63	45.02	46.22	46.35			45.7(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	33	-10000	-6	149	25.39	56%		61.1	1.04%	0	0.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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