Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $43.0300 (-0.09%) ($42.6500 - $43.3600) on Thu. Jan. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $43.0300(-0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(73%)    VYM(68%)    SDY(65%)    IVE(59%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    DIA(-5%)    XHB(-4%)    TBT(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $43.38
5 Day Moving Average   $43.47(-1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.33(-0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.38(-0.81%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.67% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2016	43.08	43.38	43.33	43.47			43.03(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	0	-10000	-1	4	14.09	41%	0.05	52.2	1.07%	0	-1.2	42	0
2	Jan_20_2016	43.06	43.36	43.37	43.5			43.07(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-0	-10000	-1	2	19.9	41%	0.02	67.7	1.07%	0	-1.1	42	0
3	Jan_19_2016	43.05	43.33	43.42	43.52			44.06(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	7	-10000	7	6	17.88	44%	0.05	76.1	1.04%	0	2.5	56	0
4	Jan_15_2016	43.03	43.33	43.33	43.37			43.41(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10000	3	-10	18.94	44%	0	71.1	1.01%	0	0.3	49	0
5	Jan_14_2016	43.03	43.3	43.31	43.31			43.8(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	6	-16	23.08	44%	0.02	75.3	1.02%	0	1.4	54	0

6	Jan_13_2016	43.02	43.23	43.3	43.18			43.15(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-2	-19	17.48	41%	0.02	65.4	1%	0	-0.2	58	0
7	Jan_12_2016	43.01	43.18	43.36	43.23			43.17(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-3	-0	14.36	41%	0	53.8	1%	0	-0	64	0
8	Jan_11_2016	43.01	43.12	43.4	43.3			43.34(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	1	20	16.39	41%	-0.05	42.1	1.01%	0	0.4	66	0
9	Jan_8_2016	43.03	43.05	43.41	43.27			43.11(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-1	17	11.68	44%	-0.05	35.6	1.01%	0	0.1	45	0
10	Jan_7_2016	43.05	43.03	43.45	43.3			43.13(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-6	19	12.27	44%	-0.07	37	1.02%	0	0.2	47	0

11	Jan_6_2016	43.08	43	43.43	43.43			43.42(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-3	36	12.72	44%	-0.05	38.3	1.02%	0	0.7	63	0
12	Jan_5_2016	43.1	42.96	43.35	43.5			43.5(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	-0	51	10.95	46%	-0.07	41.5	1.02%	0	0.9	67	0
13	Jan_4_2016	43.13	42.91	43.25	43.51			43.19(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-3	59	14.85	46%	-0.09	41	1.03%	0	0.5	67	0
14	Dec_31_2015	43.17	42.85	43.28	43.57			43.28(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10000	-2	85	10.43	49%	-0.05	36.2	1.04%	0	0.7	66	0
15	Dec_30_2015	43.19	42.79	43.29	43.61			43.75(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	8	104	7.83	54%	-0.02	33.6	1.04%	0	1.5	60	0

16	Dec_29_2015	43.2	42.76	43.16	43.43			43.79(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	11	87	9.22	54%	0	29	1.07%	0	1.7	61	0
17	Dec_28_2015	43.2	42.7	42.98	43.17			43.55(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	9	61	5.04	54%	-0.05	14.3	1.07%	0	1.5	58	0
18	Dec_24_2015	43.22	42.66	42.81	43.17			43.47(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	0	35	2.72	54%	0	0	1.07%	0	1.5	60	0
19	Dec_23_2015	43.22	42.61	42.65	42.96			43.5(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	1	37	8.58	54%	0	0	1.07%	0	1.8	65	0
20	Dec_22_2015	43.22	42.57	42.55	42.94			42.84(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	4	44	8.13	49%	-0.02	2.8	1.05%	0	0.6	57	0

21	Dec_21_2015	43.23	42.58	42.52	42.84			42.48(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	11	-10000	4	30	9.03	49%	-0.05	-5.5	1.06%	0	-0.2	43	0
22	Dec_18_2015	43.25	42.62	42.52	42.75			42.51(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	11	-10000	7	23	18.41	47%	-0.02	-3.4	1.06%	0	-0.2	47	0
23	Dec_17_2015	43.26	42.65	42.54	42.6			43.49(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	13	-10000	14	11	13.16	53%	0	-6.7	1.04%	0	1.6	56	0
24	Dec_16_2015	43.26	42.61	42.37	42.29			43.4(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.3	-1	-10000	7	-25	18.3	53%	0.02	-28.3	1.05%	0	1.6	56	0
25	Dec_15_2015	43.25	42.56	42.24	42.13			42.33(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-2	-51	10.11	48%		-44.7	1.01%	0	-0.5	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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