Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $43.8500 (0.53%) ($43.2300 - $43.8900) on Thu. Aug. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $43.8500(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    VYM(67%)    IVE(59%)    VT(57%)    XLV(57%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TBT(-2%)    DIA(-2%)    XHB(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.84(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.45(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.24(1.41%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2015	43.65	43.24	43.45	43.84			43.85(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	3	82	17.15	44%	-0.05	53.4	0.86%	0	1.2	54	0
2	Aug_5_2015	43.67	43.18	43.3	43.78			43.62(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	4	57	11.16	41%	0	63.1	0.86%	0	0.9	47	0
3	Aug_4_2015	43.67	43.16	43.23	43.7			43.51(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	5	46	12.03	41%	-0.02	77.1	0.9%	0	0.7	53	0
4	Aug_3_2015	43.68	43.15	43.15	43.61			44.22(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	14	41	13.2	43%	0.02	86.8	0.88%	0	2.2	62	0
5	Jul_31_2015	43.67	43.06	43.03	43.34			43.99(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	17	20	12.05	43%	0	89	0.89%	0	2.2	60	0

6	Jul_30_2015	43.67	42.97	42.95	43.01			43.55(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	9	-10000	13	-5	11.32	41%	0	80	0.88%	0	1.4	56	0
7	Jul_29_2015	43.67	42.88	42.96	42.76			43.23(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	3	-16	13.5	41%	0	53.6	0.89%	0	0.7	56	0
8	Jul_28_2015	43.67	42.8	42.95	42.7			43.07(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	4	-23	8.74	41%	-0.02	37.4	0.89%	0	0.5	48	0
9	Jul_27_2015	43.68	42.73	42.93	42.63			42.87(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	-3	-39	11.95	41%	0	23.1	0.89%	0	0.2	43	0
10	Jul_24_2015	43.68	42.68	42.94	42.68			42.33(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-11	-30	8.59	38%	-0.05	17.3	0.89%	0	-0.5	52	0

11	Jul_23_2015	43.7	42.65	43.02	42.89			42.29(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-15	-4	13.95	38%	-0.07	11.3	0.9%	0	-0.5	53	0
12	Jul_22_2015	43.73	42.63	43.07	43.19			42.93(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-2	43	8.25	40%	-0.02	15.2	0.88%	0	0.4	65	0
13	Jul_21_2015	43.74	42.63	43.1	43.23			42.74(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10000	-2	74	10.28	40%	-0.05	13.8	0.88%	0	0.2	66	0
14	Jul_20_2015	43.76	42.59	43.17	43.27			43.13(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	2	107	9.81	46%	-0.05	16.8	0.88%	0	0.8	69	0
15	Jul_17_2015	43.78	42.59	43.11	43.24			43.35(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	4	115	10.49	46%	-0.05	17.7	0.9%	0	1.1	68	0

16	Jul_16_2015	43.8	42.57	43	43.16			43.78(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	-10000	11	125	12.59	48%	-0.05	19.2	0.89%	0	1.7	75	0
17	Jul_15_2015	43.82	42.52	42.8	42.95			43.14(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	26	-10000	-1	105	9.9	44%	-0.07	14.8	0.87%	0	0.9	66	0
18	Jul_14_2015	43.85	42.49	42.64	42.97			42.93(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-5	97	6.82	44%	-0.07	18.3	0.87%	0	0.7	59	0
19	Jul_13_2015	43.88	42.47	42.51	43.07			42.99(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	6	96	8.58	44%	-0.07	23.2	0.88%	0	0.8	51	0
20	Jul_10_2015	43.91	42.47	42.39	42.96			42.97(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	8	73	12.41	44%	-0.07	16.9	0.88%	0	0.8	50	0

21	Jul_9_2015	43.94	42.44	42.25	42.81			42.74(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	11	31	15.58	44%	-0.07	8.1	0.89%	0	0.5	40	0
22	Jul_8_2015	43.97	42.42	42.15	42.6			43.22(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	14	-10000	19	-1	15.5	46%	-0.05	-6	0.88%	0	1.3	49	0
23	Jul_7_2015	43.99	42.38	42.03	42.25			43.45(2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	6	-10000	21	-40	26.12	46%	-0.02	-34.5	0.88%	0	1.8	55	0
24	Jul_6_2015	44	42.32	41.94	41.87			42.4(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-15	-10000	7	-82	14	43%	-0.11	-73.8	0.83%	0	0.1	49	0
25	Jul_2_2015	44.05	42.34	41.96	41.75			42.23(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	-10000	8	-90	9.58	43%		-91.1	0.84%	0	-0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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