Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $44.4900 (0.38%) ($44.1000 - $44.5700) on Mon. May. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $44.4900(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    VYM(67%)    IVE(59%)    XLV(57%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TBT(-3%)    XHB(-1%)    DIA(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.9(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.84(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.22(0.61%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2015	45.63	44.22	43.84	43.9			44.49(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	7	-41	10.24	61%	-0.09	-27	1.03%	0	0.5	44	0
2	May_15_2015	45.67	44.23	43.84	43.75			44.32(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	3	-50	17.79	61%	-0.02	-30.4	1.07%	0	0.2	46	0
3	May_14_2015	45.68	44.22	43.86	43.69			43.75(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	0	-65	12.24	59%	-0.11	-39.1	1.06%	0	-0.9	36	0
4	May_13_2015	45.73	44.25	43.91	43.68			43.25(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-3	-74	13.98	53%	-0.09	-41.6	1.06%	0	-2	37	0
5	May_12_2015	45.77	44.31	44.05	43.74			43.68(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-1	-66	13.54	53%	-0.07	-43.4	1.07%	0	-1.4	43	0

6	May_11_2015	45.8	44.36	44.18	43.77			43.73(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-9	-62	12.64	48%	-0.09	-46.3	1.07%	0	-1.5	45	0
7	May_8_2015	45.84	44.38	44.27	43.98			44.03(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-4	-46	14.38	52%	-0.07	-44.4	1.12%	0	-0.9	43	0
8	May_7_2015	45.87	44.42	44.37	44.07			43.72(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-4	-30	12.69	52%	-0.07	-38.6	1.12%	0	-1.8	49	0
9	May_6_2015	45.9	44.45	44.48	44.17			43.56(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-13	-10000	-10	-21	16.98	45%	-0.04	-37	1.13%	0	-2.5	46	0
10	May_5_2015	45.92	44.51	44.58	44.41			43.8(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-8	-10000	-8	-6	18.62	45%	-0.02	-20.9	1.24%	0	-2.4	44	0

11	May_4_2015	45.93	44.55	44.58	44.63			44.8(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	1	11	13.32	47%	-0.02	3.2	1.22%	0	0.9	54	0
12	May_1_2015	45.94	44.56	44.64	44.59			44.47(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-5	12	12.51	47%	-0.04	20	1.21%	0	-0.3	54	0
13	Apr_30_2015	45.96	44.57	44.61	44.73			44.22(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	1	-10000	-4	16	17.59	43%	-0.04	49.2	1.21%	0	-1.3	46	0
14	Apr_29_2015	45.98	44.58	44.62	44.83			44.74(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	2	23	13.33	46%	-0.04	68.9	1.23%	0	0.6	55	0
15	Apr_28_2015	46	44.57	44.6	44.77			44.93(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	4	21	9.75	46%	-0.02	62.3	1.25%	0	1.3	54	0

16	Apr_27_2015	46.01	44.54	44.55	44.65			44.61(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-1	11	10.51	46%	-0.04	43.1	1.25%	0	0.3	49	0
17	Apr_24_2015	46.03	44.51	44.51	44.68			45.15(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8	-10000	8	7	14.54	46%	-0.02	23.9	1.23%	0	2.1	47	0
18	Apr_23_2015	46.04	44.43	44.45	44.47			44.7(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	3	-7	9.22	46%	-0.02	-13.9	1.23%	0	0.8	51	0
19	Apr_22_2015	46.05	44.43	44.41	44.39			44.45(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-1	-16	8.75	46%	-0.04	-39.2	1.23%	0	0.2	50	0
20	Apr_21_2015	46.07	44.4	44.42	44.41			44.36(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-10000	-0	-13	11.7	47%	-0.04	-33.8	1.23%	0	-0.1	50	0

21	Apr_20_2015	46.09	44.43	44.45	44.42			44.76(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	4	-9	9.27	47%	-0.04	-20.3	1.23%	0	0.9	54	0
22	Apr_17_2015	46.11	44.44	44.48	44.31			44.1(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-4	-6	8.5	45%	-0.04	-9.6	1.22%	0	-0.9	55	0
23	Apr_16_2015	46.13	44.48	44.53	44.43			44.26(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-10000	-0	12	13.57	45%	-0.02	10.8	1.22%	0	-0.6	61	0
24	Apr_15_2015	46.14	44.53	44.55	44.44			44.55(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	0	18	9.68	45%	-0.02	35.9	1.23%	0	0	58	0
25	Apr_14_2015	46.15	44.51	44.54	44.43			44.44(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-2	16	11.03	45%		42.6	1.23%	0	-0.2	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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