Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $44.5500 (0.18%) ($44.3500 - $44.7500) on Thu. Apr. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $44.5500(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    VYM(67%)    IVE(59%)    XLV(57%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-11%)    TBT(-3%)    DIA(-1%)    XHB(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.35(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.38(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.18(0.84%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2015	46.2	44.18	44.38	44.35			44.55(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	7	-3	11.27	41%	-0.02	-10.1	1.22%	0	0.6	62	0
2	Apr_1_2015	46.21	44.19	44.41	44.16			44.47(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	3	-6	17.29	41%	-0.04	-22.5	1.22%	0	0.5	56	0
3	Mar_31_2015	46.23	44.18	44.49	44.07			44.43(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2	-10000	-0	9	10.21	38%	-0.04	-36.2	1.23%	0	0.4	63	0
4	Mar_30_2015	46.25	44.19	44.47	44.08			44.42(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	1	-10000	-4	17	8.48	36%	-0.04	-47.8	1.25%	0	0.4	59	0
5	Mar_27_2015	46.27	44.18	44.45	44.2			43.88(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-8	30	6.78	38%	-0.04	-51.7	1.26%	0	-0.5	55	0

6	Mar_26_2015	46.29	44.25	44.43	44.42			43.62(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-9	44	12.7	40%	-0.06	-44.2	1.27%	0	-0.9	54	0
7	Mar_25_2015	46.32	44.33	44.47	44.68			43.99(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-10	53	14.16	40%	-0.04	-34.6	1.28%	0	-0.5	44	0
8	Mar_24_2015	46.34	44.4	44.4	44.96			44.51(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	3	63	10.63	43%	-0.02	-24.9	1.28%	0	0.1	51	0
9	Mar_23_2015	46.35	44.48	44.3	44.89			45.01(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	6	49	10.26	43%	-0.02	-19.7	1.3%	0	0.6	52	0
10	Mar_20_2015	46.36	44.52	44.14	44.73			44.98(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	11	34	13.88	43%	0	-20.1	1.29%	0	0.5	54	0

11	Mar_19_2015	46.36	44.55	43.98	44.43			44.93(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	-10000	7	-2	13.16	43%	0	-29.4	1.3%	0	0.4	46	0
12	Mar_18_2015	46.36	44.58	43.94	44.23			45.35(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	8	-10000	16	-16	23.73	46%	0.02	-35.6	1.3%	0	0.8	48	0
13	Mar_17_2015	46.35	44.61	43.82	43.78			44.16(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	5	-59	9.19	44%	0	-52.3	1.28%	0	-0.5	37	0
14	Mar_16_2015	46.35	44.66	43.82	43.63			44.23(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	5	-84	12.81	44%	-0.02	-60.7	1.3%	0	-0.4	32	0
15	Mar_13_2015	46.36	44.7	43.86	43.48			43.48(-1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-28	-10000	1	-113	13.98	42%	0	-71.4	1.27%	0	-1.2	29	0

16	Mar_12_2015	46.36	44.83	44.03	43.46			43.93(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-35	-10000	-6	-123	17.08	41%	0	-86.3	1.27%	0	-0.9	35	0
17	Mar_11_2015	46.36	44.93	44.15	43.62			43.11(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-9	-124	9.99	40%	-0.02	-90.9	1.25%	0	-1.8	27	0
18	Mar_10_2015	46.37	45.13	44.4	43.87			43.39(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-9	-116	13.62	38%	0	-91	1.26%	0	-1.7	25	0
19	Mar_9_2015	46.37	45.27	44.69	44.12			43.47(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-6	-90	13.03	38%	0	-102.9	1.27%	0	-1.9	40	0
20	Mar_6_2015	46.37	45.43	44.94	44.3			43.39(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-10000	-13	-77	26.8	38%	0.02	-115.9	1.26%	0	-2.4	39	0

21	Mar_5_2015	46.36	45.69	45.19	44.67			44.73(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-4	-57	11.56	41%	0.04	-98.6	1.22%	0	-1	41	0
22	Mar_4_2015	46.34	45.85	45.28	44.78			44.38(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-9	-57	12.06	41%	0.02	-89.3	1.22%	0	-1.4	36	0
23	Mar_3_2015	46.33	46.06	45.47	45.02			44.63(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-12	-53	18.56	41%	0.04	-78.7	1.21%	0	-1.2	31	0
24	Mar_2_2015	46.31	46.25	45.53	45.36			44.36(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-12	-44	27.53	41%	0.02	-70.3	1.21%	0	-1.5	39	0
25	Feb_27_2015	46.3	46.45	45.63	45.69			45.23(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-3	-36	12.48	45%		-67.3	1.18%	0	-1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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