Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $49.0000 (-0.43%) ($48.6500 - $49.4800) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $49.0000(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    VYM(67%)    IVE(58%)    XLV(57%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    TBT(-3%)    XHB(-0%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.75(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.17(1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.91(2.28%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	45.1	47.91	48.17	48.75			49(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	10	113	17.53	64%	0.13	73.9	0.96%	0	1.5	70	0
2	Jan_21_2015	45.04	47.81	48	48.51			49.21(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	-10000	16	92	13.82	64%	0.13	78.5	0.96%	0	2	58	0
3	Jan_20_2015	44.98	47.69	47.77	48.15			48.74(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	13	39	11.24	64%	0.13	77.9	0.96%	0	1.6	43	0
4	Jan_16_2015	44.92	47.61	47.57	47.86			48.62(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	8	-10000	11	-2	12.99	64%	0.13	74.2	0.96%	0	1.6	48	0
5	Jan_15_2015	44.86	47.49	47.44	47.61			48.19(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	4	-30	14.54	61%	0.13	71.8	0.96%	0	1.2	51	0

6	Jan_14_2015	44.8	47.36	47.34	47.51			47.81(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	4	-36	15.46	62%	0.11	54.8	0.98%	0	0.7	56	0
7	Jan_13_2015	44.75	47.26	47.35	47.42			47.4(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10000	5	-31	15.98	62%	0.11	38.7	0.98%	0	0.2	55	0
8	Jan_12_2015	44.7	47.19	47.51	47.31			47.27(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-10000	3	-13	10.88	62%	0.11	31.9	0.98%	0	0.1	55	0
9	Jan_9_2015	44.65	47.14	47.63	47.23			47.38(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-0	-6	8.92	59%	0.11	28.5	0.98%	0	0.3	52	0
10	Jan_8_2015	44.6	47.07	47.69	47.24			47.68(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	4	16	14.03	62%	0.11	26.8	1%	0	0.7	62	0

11	Jan_7_2015	44.55	47.01	47.64	47.15			47.35(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10000	-6	24	14.32	62%	0.13	24.3	1.03%	0	0.4	65	0
12	Jan_6_2015	44.49	46.96	47.61	47.3			46.89(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-18	47	19.39	62%	0.11	29.4	1.02%	0	-0.1	63	0
13	Jan_5_2015	44.44	46.91	47.62	47.74			46.86(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	13	-10000	-14	93	23.91	62%	0.11	41.5	1.02%	0	-0.1	59	0
14	Jan_2_2015	44.39	46.89	47.67	48.08			47.44(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	30	-10000	-5	134	16.91	64%	0.18	53.5	1.01%	0	0.5	58	0
15	Dec_31_2014	44.31	46.83	47.57	48.19			47.22(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	39	-10000	1	152	15.16	64%	0.16	62.7	1.01%	0	0.4	61	0

16	Dec_30_2014	44.24	46.79	47.42	48.16			48.09(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10000	9	150	13.02	68%	0.16	67.9	0.98%	0	1.3	61	0
17	Dec_29_2014	44.17	46.68	47.17	47.94			49.11(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	-10000	20	138	24.52	72%	0.16	66.7	0.94%	0	2.6	70	0
18	Dec_26_2014	44.1	46.51	46.84	47.49			48.55(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	-10000	12	105	19.85	71%	0.27	70.2	0.93%	0	2.7	70	0
19	Dec_24_2014	43.98	46.36	46.6	47.22			47.97(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	-10000	15	89	14.41	70%	0.18	72.4	0.92%	0	2.6	63	0
20	Dec_23_2014	43.9	46.22	46.39	46.89			47.1(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	16	61	9.58	68%	0.14	65.2	0.9%	0	1.7	57	0

21	Dec_22_2014	43.84	46.13	46.31	46.56			46.98(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	14	36	11.3	68%	0.11	47.8	0.9%	0	1.6	54	0
22	Dec_19_2014	43.79	46.06	46.23	46.27			46.86(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	9	13	17.98	68%	0.14	42.3	0.91%	0	1.7	57	0
23	Dec_18_2014	43.73	45.99	46.13	46.08			47.2(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	5	-10000	8	-5	14.66	68%	0.11	37	0.9%	0	2.6	61	0
24	Dec_17_2014	43.68	45.91	46.02	45.91			46.29(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	4	-11	18.7	65%	0.09	34.6	0.88%	0	1	59	0
25	Dec_16_2014	43.64	45.88	46.01	45.83			45.48(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-10	-11	14.84	65%		21.8	0.86%	0	-1.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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