Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $46.2900 (1.78%) ($45.5400 - $46.4000) on Wed. Dec. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $46.2900(1.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    VYM(67%)    IVE(58%)    XLV(57%)    SPY(56%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    TBT(-3%)    XHB(0%)    TLT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.91(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.02(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.91(0.83%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2014	43.68	45.91	46.02	45.91			46.29(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	4	-11	18.7	65%	0.09	34.6	0.88%	0	1	59	0
2	Dec_16_2014	43.64	45.91	46.01	45.83			45.48(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-10	-11	14.84	65%	0.05	21.8	0.86%	0	-1.1	55	0
3	Dec_15_2014	43.62	45.88	46.1	46.03			45.52(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-0	-10000	-7	21	11.04	65%	0.09	25.6	0.87%	0	-1	55	0
4	Dec_12_2014	43.58	45.86	46.17	46.17			45.91(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	0	43	10.96	60%	0.07	18	0.86%	0	0.1	54	0
5	Dec_11_2014	43.55	45.83	46.18	46.16			46.35(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	49	9.72	62%	0.07	10.4	0.88%	0	1.2	61	0

6	Dec_10_2014	43.52	45.78	46.1	46.14			45.89(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-4	45	9.41	61%	0.09	-2.2	0.88%	0	0.3	55	0
7	Dec_9_2014	43.48	45.8	46.06	46.22			46.47(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	1	50	10.51	61%	0.09	10.4	0.87%	0	1.5	63	0
8	Dec_8_2014	43.44	45.8	45.94	46.2			46.24(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	1	47	12.11	61%	0.07	16.7	0.88%	0	1	63	0
9	Dec_5_2014	43.41	45.79	45.89	46.17			45.87(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-1	55	17.07	63%	0.09	22.9	0.88%	0	0.2	67	0
10	Dec_4_2014	43.37	45.78	45.86	46.2			46.23(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	7	67	13.87	63%	0.07	28.1	0.88%	0	1	69	0

11	Dec_3_2014	43.34	45.79	45.79	46.06			46.27(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	9	59	8.18	63%	0.09	39	0.88%	0	1	61	0
12	Dec_2_2014	43.3	45.75	45.73	45.87			46.4(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	11	36	13.33	61%	0.09	36.7	0.88%	0	1.4	48	0
13	Dec_1_2014	43.26	45.72	45.63	45.65			46.09(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4	-10000	4	2	19.18	61%	0.07	38.3	0.89%	0	0.9	42	0
14	Nov_28_2014	43.23	45.69	45.52	45.57			46(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	4	-21	7.79	61%	0.09	44.6	0.89%	0	0.7	45	0
15	Nov_26_2014	43.19	45.66	45.52	45.48			45.52(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-1	-40	6.83	58%	0.05	46.7	0.89%	0	-0.3	47	0

16	Nov_25_2014	43.17	45.61	45.43	45.5			45.32(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-16	-10000	-3	-54	13.11	58%	0.07	49.1	0.9%	0	-0.6	36	0
17	Nov_24_2014	43.14	45.59	45.52	45.56			45.32(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-2	-39	11.73	58%	0.05	56	0.9%	0	-0.5	49	0
18	Nov_21_2014	43.12	45.55	45.63	45.61			45.7(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	8	-23	14.88	58%	0.07	61.2	0.9%	0	0.2	50	0
19	Nov_20_2014	43.09	45.5	45.68	45.45			45.52(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	3	-28	8.32	58%	0.07	60.5	0.9%	0	0	52	0
20	Nov_19_2014	43.06	45.44	45.7	45.38			45.62(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	2	-31	12.13	60%	0.05	61.5	0.9%	0	0.2	52	0

21	Nov_18_2014	43.04	45.36	45.79	45.35			45.66(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-6	-10	6.69	60%	0.02	62.6	0.91%	0	0.4	61	0
22	Nov_17_2014	43.03	45.27	45.78	45.48			45.53(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-10000	-9	10	8.56	60%	0.05	65.6	0.91%	0	0.3	58	0
23	Nov_14_2014	43.01	45.18	45.81	45.67			44.94(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-13	42	7.85	60%	0.02	67.7	0.9%	0	-0.2	57	0
24	Nov_13_2014	43	45.1	45.88	45.93			45.13(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-6	81	15.12	60%	0.02	68.4	0.9%	0	0	57	0
25	Nov_12_2014	42.99	44.99	45.92	46.06			45.5(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-10	111	18.06	60%		67.2	0.89%	0	0.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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