Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $45.7000 (0.4%) ($45.2900 - $45.9300) on Fri. Nov. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $45.7000(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    XLV(57%)    SPY(56%)    VT(56%)    XLI(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    TBT(-3%)    XHB(0%)    TLT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.61(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.63(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.55(0.33%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2014	43.12	45.55	45.63	45.61			45.7(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	8	-23	14.88	58%	0.07	61.2	0.9%	0	0.2	50	0
2	Nov_20_2014	43.09	45.5	45.68	45.45			45.52(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	3	-28	8.32	58%	0.07	60.5	0.9%	0	0	52	0
3	Nov_19_2014	43.06	45.44	45.7	45.38			45.62(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	2	-31	12.13	60%	0.05	61.5	0.9%	0	0.2	52	0
4	Nov_18_2014	43.04	45.36	45.79	45.35			45.66(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-6	-10	6.69	60%	0.02	62.6	0.91%	0	0.4	61	0
5	Nov_17_2014	43.03	45.27	45.78	45.48			45.53(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-10000	-9	10	8.56	60%	0.05	65.6	0.91%	0	0.3	58	0

6	Nov_14_2014	43.01	45.18	45.81	45.67			44.94(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-13	42	7.85	60%	0.02	67.7	0.9%	0	-0.2	57	0
7	Nov_13_2014	43	45.1	45.88	45.93			45.13(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-6	81	15.12	60%	0.02	68.4	0.9%	0	0	57	0
8	Nov_12_2014	42.99	44.99	45.92	46.06			45.5(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-10	111	18.06	60%	0.05	67.2	0.89%	0	0.4	64	0
9	Nov_11_2014	42.97	44.86	45.84	46.27			46.31(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	-10000	8	151	5.56	63%	0.07	67.9	0.86%	0	1.2	73	0
10	Nov_10_2014	42.94	44.71	45.69	46.12			46.48(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	7	155	9.43	63%	0.09	68	0.86%	0	1.4	76	0

11	Nov_7_2014	42.9	44.53	45.48	45.98			46.25(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	8	153	11.79	67%	0.05	68.8	0.89%	0	1.4	76	0
12	Nov_6_2014	42.88	44.36	45.31	45.82			45.77(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	43	-10000	3	163	37.09	63%	0.05	68.6	0.89%	0	1.2	78	0
13	Nov_5_2014	42.86	44.21	45.15	45.76			46.56(2.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	63	-10000	21	190	21.54	64%	0.09	72.3	0.88%	0	2.1	89	0
14	Nov_4_2014	42.82	44.04	44.89	45.34			45.53(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-10000	8	176	15.19	61%	0.05	73.5	0.86%	0	1.4	87	0
15	Nov_3_2014	42.8	43.89	44.71	45.18			45.77(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	-10000	13	175	13.13	61%	0.09	73	0.86%	0	1.9	77	0

16	Oct_31_2014	42.76	43.72	44.49	44.92			45.47(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	10	164	16.1	58%	0.07	74.2	0.86%	0	1.9	78	0
17	Oct_30_2014	42.73	43.57	44.25	44.73			45.46(2.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	48	-10000	14	150	33.87	55%	0.07	77.2	0.88%	0	2.1	77	0
18	Oct_29_2014	42.7	43.41	43.98	44.46			44.48(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	5	128	15.31	50%	0.05	81.7	0.87%	0	1.4	74	0
19	Oct_28_2014	42.68	43.3	43.81	44.36			44.74(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	10	113	10.77	52%	0.05	81.7	0.88%	0	1.8	63	0
20	Oct_27_2014	42.66	43.16	43.65	44.17			44.43(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	9	108	8.31	52%	0.02	78.9	0.89%	0	1.7	70	0

21	Oct_24_2014	42.65	43.04	43.5	44			44.53(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	-10000	16	103	10.62	52%	0.05	74.3	0.89%	0	2.1	70	0
22	Oct_23_2014	42.63	42.9	43.33	43.69			44.1(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	14	83	9.46	50%	0.02	61	0.89%	0	1.8	67	0
23	Oct_22_2014	42.62	42.78	43.19	43.42			44.02(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	13	67	13.95	50%	0.02	49	0.89%	0	2	69	0
24	Oct_21_2014	42.61	42.67	43.12	43.16			43.75(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	5	59	10.09	50%	0.02	34.3	0.88%	0	1.9	66	0
25	Oct_20_2014	42.6	42.58	42.99	43.07			43.6(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	8	58	10.47	50%		25.4	0.88%	0	2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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