Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $40.4200 (0.35%) ($40.3000 - $40.5500) on Tue. Feb. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $40.4200(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(48%)    XLF(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    DIA(-3%)    TLT(1%)    GDXJ(3%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.97(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.4(2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.94(3.8%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2014	38.32	38.94	39.4	39.97			40.42(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	-10000	18	164	9.74	61%	0.1	75.3	0.7%	0	2.1	79	0
2	Feb_14_2014	38.28	38.82	39.22	39.72			40.28(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	53	-10000	20	152	7.24	63%	0.08	72.1	0.7%	0	2.3	79	0
3	Feb_13_2014	38.25	38.7	39.09	39.44			40.02(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	51	-10000	20	143	8.21	63%	0.05	73.9	0.7%	0	2.4	79	0
4	Feb_12_2014	38.23	38.59	38.96	39.17			39.59(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	-10000	18	121	5.82	61%	0.05	70.9	0.69%	0	2	65	0
5	Feb_11_2014	38.21	38.5	38.82	38.93			39.54(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	-10000	15	84	10.1	61%	0.03	65	0.7%	0	2.3	62	0

6	Feb_10_2014	38.2	38.41	38.69	38.73			39.17(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	5	52	7.33	59%	0.05	66.3	0.69%	0	1.9	59	0
7	Feb_7_2014	38.18	38.36	38.58	38.66			38.88(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	8	-10000	-3	41	10.06	54%	0	79.8	0.68%	0	1.4	62	0
8	Feb_6_2014	38.18	38.3	38.49	38.7			38.67(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-1	47	10.54	57%	0	85.6	0.69%	0	1	60	0
9	Feb_5_2014	38.18	38.24	38.46	38.72			38.39(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	18	-10000	3	62	7.81	56%	0.03	76.2	0.71%	0	0.4	61	0
10	Feb_4_2014	38.17	38.21	38.47	38.68			38.56(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	5	72	10.91	56%	0.05	68.2	0.71%	0	0.8	62	0

11	Feb_3_2014	38.15	38.15	38.46	38.61			38.79(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	10	80	20.56	56%	0.03	55.1	0.71%	0	1.4	67	0
12	Jan_31_2014	38.14	38.08	38.39	38.47			39.1(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	-10000	16	63	14.01	58%	0.05	41.3	0.71%	0	2.2	63	0
13	Jan_30_2014	38.12	37.99	38.28	38.25			38.78(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	6	41	8.4	56%	0.05	26.9	0.7%	0	1.9	67	0
14	Jan_29_2014	38.1	37.94	38.18	38.17			38.19(-0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-5	37	11.04	52%	0.03	28.6	0.67%	0	0.7	64	0
15	Jan_28_2014	38.09	37.93	38.16	38.24			38.21(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-4	51	7.9	52%	0.03	34.7	0.68%	0	0.8	60	0

16	Jan_27_2014	38.08	37.9	38.12	38.24			38.07(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	0	73	8.42	52%	0.03	38.9	0.67%	0	0.5	63	0
17	Jan_24_2014	38.07	37.9	38.13	38.29			37.98(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	22	-10000	-1	92	15.02	55%	0.05	33.7	0.69%	0	0.3	63	0
18	Jan_23_2014	38.05	37.88	38.11	38.31			38.41(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	9	109	9.42	59%	0.03	37.9	0.67%	0	1.5	68	0
19	Jan_22_2014	38.04	37.84	38.02	38.19			38.52(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	10	85	7.47	62%	0.05	29.3	0.67%	0	1.9	56	0
20	Jan_21_2014	38.02	37.8	37.93	38.06			38.48(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-10000	10	62	5.73	62%	0.03	27.8	0.69%	0	2.3	57	0

21	Jan_17_2014	38.01	37.8	37.81	37.93			38.06(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	-10000	-2	33	4.32	63%	0.03	24.2	0.67%	0	1.2	53	0
22	Jan_16_2014	38	37.76	37.74	37.96			38.07(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	6	32	8.36	65%	0.03	39.1	0.7%	0	1.3	56	0
23	Jan_15_2014	37.99	37.76	37.67	37.88			37.81(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	5	13	5.95	60%	0	27.3	0.71%	0	0.3	49	0
24	Jan_14_2014	37.99	37.74	37.68	37.81			37.88(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	3	9	7.67	60%	0.03	10.6	0.73%	0	0.6	53	0
25	Jan_13_2014	37.98	37.72	37.67	37.77			37.83(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	7	7	12.42	60%		-10.9	0.73%	0	0.5	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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