Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $38.7800 (1.54%) ($38.2500 - $38.8300) on Thu. Jan. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $38.7800(1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    DIA(-3%)    TLT(1%)    GDXJ(3%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.25(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.28(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.99(2.08%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2014	38.12	37.99	38.28	38.25			38.78(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	6	41	8.4	56%	0.05	26.9	0.7%	0	1.9	67	0
2	Jan_29_2014	38.1	37.94	38.18	38.17			38.19(-0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-5	37	11.04	52%	0.03	28.6	0.67%	0	0.7	64	0
3	Jan_28_2014	38.09	37.93	38.16	38.24			38.21(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-4	51	7.9	52%	0.03	34.7	0.68%	0	0.8	60	0
4	Jan_27_2014	38.08	37.9	38.12	38.24			38.07(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	0	73	8.42	52%	0.03	38.9	0.67%	0	0.5	63	0
5	Jan_24_2014	38.07	37.9	38.13	38.29			37.98(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	22	-10000	-1	92	15.02	55%	0.05	33.7	0.69%	0	0.3	63	0

6	Jan_23_2014	38.05	37.88	38.11	38.31			38.41(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	9	109	9.42	59%	0.03	37.9	0.67%	0	1.5	68	0
7	Jan_22_2014	38.04	37.84	38.02	38.19			38.52(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	10	85	7.47	62%	0.05	29.3	0.67%	0	1.9	56	0
8	Jan_21_2014	38.02	37.8	37.93	38.06			38.48(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-10000	10	62	5.73	62%	0.03	27.8	0.69%	0	2.3	57	0
9	Jan_17_2014	38.01	37.8	37.81	37.93			38.06(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	-10000	-2	33	4.32	63%	0.03	24.2	0.67%	0	1.2	53	0
10	Jan_16_2014	38	37.76	37.74	37.96			38.07(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	6	32	8.36	65%	0.03	39.1	0.7%	0	1.3	56	0

11	Jan_15_2014	37.99	37.76	37.67	37.88			37.81(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	5	13	5.95	60%	0	27.3	0.71%	0	0.3	49	0
12	Jan_14_2014	37.99	37.74	37.68	37.81			37.88(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	3	9	7.67	60%	0.03	10.6	0.73%	0	0.6	53	0
13	Jan_13_2014	37.98	37.72	37.68	37.77			37.83(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	7	7	12.42	60%	0	-10.9	0.73%	0	0.5	49	0
14	Jan_10_2014	37.98	37.71	37.67	37.67			38.22(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	10	-10000	14	-4	26.52	66%	0.03	-28.8	0.72%	0	2	54	0
15	Jan_9_2014	37.97	37.71	37.61	37.48			37.68(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	4	-40	9.37	64%	0	-72.4	0.73%	0	0	40	0

16	Jan_8_2014	37.97	37.67	37.62	37.42			37.46(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-8	-50	14.38	64%	0	-84.5	0.72%	0	-1	48	0
17	Jan_7_2014	37.97	37.71	37.64	37.52			37.66(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	-4	-37	8.65	64%	0.03	-65.5	0.72%	0	-0.2	49	0
18	Jan_6_2014	37.96	37.75	37.66	37.57			37.33(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-8	-28	11.24	62%	-0.03	-45.5	0.72%	0	-1.7	49	0
19	Jan_3_2014	37.97	37.78	37.71	37.67			37.27(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-6	-10	13.77	58%	0	-33.8	0.72%	0	-1.8	46	0
20	Jan_2_2014	37.97	37.83	37.8	37.75			37.39(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-10000	-6	12	20.42	58%	-0.05	-27.3	0.73%	0	-1.8	50	0

21	Dec_31_2013	37.99	37.83	37.83	37.83			37.97(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	4	24	7.02	63%	-0.03	-25.8	0.71%	0	0.4	52	0
22	Dec_30_2013	38	37.83	37.81	37.78			37.9(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-10000	1	5	5.66	63%	-0.05	-49.2	0.71%	0	0.2	42	0
23	Dec_27_2013	38.02	37.86	37.77	37.76			37.81(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-1	-16	12.8	63%	-0.03	-60.6	0.71%	0	-0.2	37	0
24	Dec_26_2013	38.03	37.87	37.75	37.77			37.66(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-7	-24	10.31	63%	-0.08	-69.7	0.71%	0	-0.8	46	0
25	Dec_24_2013	38.06	37.9	37.74	37.87			37.83(0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	3	-22	4.94	63%		-75.8	0.71%	0	-0.3	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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