Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $37.1500 (0.19%) ($37.0300 - $37.2900) on Fri. Oct. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $37.1500(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(5%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $37.53
5 Day Moving Average   $37.32(-0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.51(-0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.53(-1.01%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2013	38.04	37.53	37.51	37.32			37.15(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-3	-57	4.46	48%	-0.08	16.7	0.86%	0	-0.8	50	0
2	Oct_3_2013	38.07	37.52	37.56	37.37			37.08(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-7	-48	9.3	48%	-0.08	16	0.87%	0	-0.9	51	0
3	Oct_2_2013	38.1	37.51	37.69	37.49			37.52(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-2	-11	9.61	50%	-0.08	15.6	0.86%	0	0	59	0
4	Oct_1_2013	38.13	37.48	37.8	37.52			37.48(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-6	19	7.86	47%	-0.05	12.8	0.86%	0	0	57	0
5	Sep_30_2013	38.15	37.48	37.81	37.62			37.37(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-7	31	9.6	47%	-0.05	13.2	0.87%	0	-0.2	51	0

6	Sep_27_2013	38.17	37.48	37.82	37.74			37.41(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-2	50	7.64	47%	-0.08	16.9	0.87%	0	-0.1	55	0
7	Sep_26_2013	38.2	37.45	37.81	37.77			37.65(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-10	54	8.57	50%	-0.08	18.4	0.87%	0	0.4	59	0
8	Sep_25_2013	38.23	37.44	37.74	37.93			37.7(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-11	75	13.86	53%	-0.08	30.1	0.88%	0	0.5	62	0
9	Sep_24_2013	38.26	37.42	37.69	38.12			37.96(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-10000	5	104	11.98	53%	-0.05	39.7	0.89%	0	1.1	63	0
10	Sep_23_2013	38.28	37.39	37.63	38.03			37.99(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	8	108	15.39	53%	-0.08	38.2	0.89%	0	1.2	63	0

11	Sep_20_2013	38.31	37.36	37.54	37.9			37.53(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	26	-10000	4	93	18.84	45%	-0.08	32.5	0.88%	0	0.4	53	0
12	Sep_19_2013	38.34	37.35	37.49	37.83			38.47(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	-10000	18	87	20.02	45%	-0.08	23	0.9%	0	2.4	64	0
13	Sep_18_2013	38.37	37.28	37.31	37.53			38.65(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	25	-10000	19	44	29.5	45%	-0.08	-9.3	0.94%	0	3.4	62	0
14	Sep_17_2013	38.4	37.22	37.12	37.2			37.53(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	0	-10000	1	-2	9.72	38%	-0.1	-71.6	0.87%	0	1.2	51	0
15	Sep_16_2013	38.44	37.2	37.05	37.18			37.31(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	3	-12	25.24	38%	-0.1	-107.7	0.87%	0	0.5	47	0

16	Sep_13_2013	38.48	37.21	37.04	37.14			37.21(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	3	-23	10.38	42%	-0.08	-138.8	0.87%	0	0	40	0
17	Sep_12_2013	38.51	37.25	37.05	37.09			36.93(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-5	-10000	3	-29	18.82	40%	-0.1	-140.7	0.88%	0	-1.1	43	0
18	Sep_11_2013	38.55	37.32	37.1	37.05			37.03(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	2	-28	24.75	40%	-0.1	-121.9	0.89%	0	-0.7	49	0
19	Sep_10_2013	38.59	37.4	37.13	37.02			37.4(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	7	-34	8.34	42%	-0.1	-103.8	0.89%	0	0	46	0
20	Sep_9_2013	38.63	37.47	37.12	36.91			37.11(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-3	-47	6.51	42%	-0.08	-94.9	0.88%	0	-0.6	49	0

21	Sep_6_2013	38.66	37.56	37.17	36.95			36.98(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-4	-43	10.93	45%	-0.08	-84	0.88%	0	-0.9	42	0
22	Sep_5_2013	38.69	37.68	37.21	37.01			36.72(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-9	-49	8.77	43%	-0.1	-74	0.89%	0	-1.2	32	0
23	Sep_4_2013	38.73	37.8	37.26	37.16			36.87(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-18	-10000	-6	-54	7.32	43%	-0.08	-66.5	0.9%	0	-1.2	28	0
24	Sep_3_2013	38.76	37.91	37.33	37.26			36.87(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-6	-64	11.97	43%	-0.13	-65.9	0.9%	0	-1.3	26	0
25	Aug_30_2013	38.81	38.03	37.37	37.36			37.3(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-4	-83	7.87	45%		-60.2	0.88%	0	-0.8	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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