Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 9, 2013

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $37.1100 (0.35%) ($36.8500 - $37.1600) on Mon. Sep. 9, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $37.1100(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(5%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.26(-7.68%)
Resistance Level   $37.47
5 Day Moving Average   $36.91(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.12(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.47(-0.96%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2013	38.63	37.47	37.12	36.91			37.11(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-3	-47	6.51	42%	-0.08	-94.9	0.88%	0	-0.6	49	0
2	Sep_6_2013	38.66	37.56	37.17	36.95			36.98(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-4	-43	10.93	45%	-0.08	-84	0.88%	0	-0.9	42	0
3	Sep_5_2013	38.69	37.68	37.21	37.01			36.72(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-9	-49	8.77	43%	-0.1	-74	0.89%	0	-1.2	32	0
4	Sep_4_2013	38.73	37.8	37.26	37.16			36.87(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-18	-10000	-6	-54	7.32	43%	-0.08	-66.5	0.9%	0	-1.2	28	0
5	Sep_3_2013	38.76	37.91	37.33	37.26			36.87(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-6	-64	11.97	43%	-0.13	-65.9	0.9%	0	-1.3	26	0

6	Aug_30_2013	38.81	38.03	37.37	37.36			37.3(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-4	-83	7.87	45%	-0.08	-60.2	0.88%	0	-0.8	27	0
7	Aug_29_2013	38.84	38.14	37.4	37.43			37.27(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-1	-102	6.09	43%	-0.05	-55.8	0.88%	0	-1	25	0
8	Aug_28_2013	38.86	38.25	37.46	37.45			37.49(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	-10000	4	-120	8.25	41%	-0.08	-53.6	0.9%	0	-0.9	24	0
9	Aug_27_2013	38.89	38.34	37.55	37.38			37.36(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-10000	-2	-143	9.12	41%	-0.05	-54	0.91%	0	-1.1	25	0
10	Aug_26_2013	38.91	38.45	37.68	37.42			37.38(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-35	-10000	2	-144	6.58	41%	-0.05	-53.7	0.92%	0	-1.2	29	0

11	Aug_23_2013	38.93	38.55	37.83	37.39			37.66(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-37	-10000	2	-154	7.58	39%	-0.05	-56.5	0.92%	0	-1	29	0
12	Aug_22_2013	38.95	38.64	37.96	37.36			37.35(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-49	-10000	-8	-170	8.17	37%	-0.05	-59.4	0.92%	0	-1.5	22	0
13	Aug_21_2013	38.97	38.74	38.16	37.49			37.14(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-52	-10000	-15	-164	12.32	37%	-0.05	-60.3	0.93%	0	-2	18	0
14	Aug_20_2013	38.99	38.83	38.38	37.76			37.57(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-10000	-13	-142	13.59	38%	-0.03	-59	0.93%	0	-1.8	28	0
15	Aug_19_2013	39	38.93	38.53	37.99			37.22(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-48	-10000	-19	-134	12.21	36%	-0.05	-52.7	0.92%	0	-2.6	20	0

16	Aug_16_2013	39.02	39.05	38.75	38.33			37.54(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-40	-10000	-18	-106	16.94	37%	-0.05	-48.1	0.92%	0	-2.9	25	0
17	Aug_15_2013	39.04	39.15	38.96	38.65			37.98(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-31	-10000	-16	-75	10.1	41%	0	-33	0.92%	0	-3	30	0
18	Aug_14_2013	39.04	39.22	39.12	38.93			38.47(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-9	-42	8.66	44%	0	-4.2	0.91%	0	-2.7	39	0
19	Aug_13_2013	39.04	39.26	39.21	39.09			38.72(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-8	-10000	-4	-19	9.84	44%	0	35.6	0.92%	0	-2.3	51	0
20	Aug_12_2013	39.04	39.28	39.29	39.16			38.93(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6	-10000	-4	-11	5.62	44%	0.03	82.4	0.92%	0	-1.8	43	0

21	Aug_9_2013	39.03	39.3	39.35	39.23			39.14(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-4	-4	6.32	42%	0.03	116.9	0.91%	0	-0.7	47	0
22	Aug_8_2013	39.02	39.28	39.37	39.31			39.41(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-10000	-2	3	7.69	41%	0.03	135.2	0.93%	0	0.5	50	0
23	Aug_7_2013	39.01	39.23	39.35	39.31			39.26(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	-10000	0	5	7.71	43%	0.03	118.2	0.93%	0	0.1	48	0
24	Aug_6_2013	39	39.17	39.32	39.35			39.08(-0.51%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-4	-10000	-5	1	10.57	41%	0.05	100	0.94%	0	-0.2	53	0
25	Aug_5_2013	38.98	39.11	39.36	39.44			39.28(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-2	16	5.54	41%		91.7	0.95%	0	0.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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