Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $36.9000 (-0.3%) ($36.5100 - $37.1300) on Fri. Jul. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $36.9000(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(5%)    USO(11%)    TIP(14%)    SHY(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $37.39
5 Day Moving Average   $37.17(-0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.1(-0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.39(-1.31%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2013	38.68	37.39	37.1	37.17			36.9(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-8	-44	13.63	40%	0.05	-21.1	0.92%	0	-0.9	37	0
2	Jul_3_2013	38.66	37.44	37.06	37.3			37.01(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-5	-55	5.71	41%	0	-16.9	0.92%	0	-0.8	39	0
3	Jul_2_2013	38.66	37.46	37.1	37.39			37.15(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-9	-10000	2	-42	10.09	41%	0	-17.3	0.92%	0	-0.6	49	0
4	Jul_1_2013	38.66	37.48	37.21	37.36			37.16(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	8	-33	12.56	41%	0.03	-25.2	0.92%	0	-0.6	45	0
5	Jun_28_2013	38.65	37.48	37.3	37.23			37.63(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	13	-42	9.76	45%	0.03	-41.7	0.91%	0	0.2	46	0

6	Jun_27_2013	38.64	37.51	37.33	37.01			37.54(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	13	-63	8.18	45%	0	-66.9	0.92%	0	0.1	45	0
7	Jun_26_2013	38.64	37.53	37.36	36.79			37.46(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-23	-10000	-1	-88	11.21	46%	0.03	-91.5	0.92%	0	-0.1	47	0
8	Jun_25_2013	38.63	37.54	37.35	36.8			36.99(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-10000	-16	-94	9.48	44%	0.03	-106.8	0.92%	0	-1	48	0
9	Jun_24_2013	38.62	37.61	37.42	37.07			36.51(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10000	-20	-71	20.41	42%	0	-108.9	0.9%	0	-2	40	0
10	Jun_21_2013	38.62	37.73	37.57	37.4			36.54(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-10000	-17	-37	20.07	42%	0	-105.5	0.9%	0	-2.2	39	0

11	Jun_20_2013	38.62	37.86	37.72	37.69			36.44(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-15	-10000	-18	-4	25.65	43%	0	-94	0.9%	0	-2.5	39	0
12	Jun_19_2013	38.62	38.02	37.87	37.99			37.5(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	10	-10000	2	34	22.78	47%	0.03	-87.3	0.84%	0	-0.9	45	0
13	Jun_18_2013	38.61	38.14	37.86	37.96			38.38(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	9	26	11.69	51%	0.05	-68.1	0.79%	0	0.3	57	0
14	Jun_17_2013	38.59	38.22	37.78	37.82			38.12(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	2	-5	12.43	51%	0.05	-61.4	0.79%	0	-0.1	44	0
15	Jun_14_2013	38.57	38.32	37.74	37.82			38(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	0	-29	11.42	51%	0.05	-53.6	0.79%	0	-0.3	37	0

16	Jun_13_2013	38.55	38.41	37.71	37.79			37.95(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	3	-57	16.74	51%	0.05	-50.6	0.79%	0	-0.5	32	0
17	Jun_12_2013	38.53	38.52	37.7	37.79			37.34(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-24	-10000	0	-96	10.09	48%	0.03	-49.6	0.76%	0	-1.1	21	0
18	Jun_11_2013	38.52	38.65	37.75	37.74			37.71(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	-10000	1	-145	11.18	50%	0	-53.4	0.75%	0	-0.9	19	0
19	Jun_10_2013	38.52	38.74	37.81	37.72			37.96(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-43	-10000	3	-181	9.93	50%	0.05	-58	0.75%	0	-0.7	21	0
20	Jun_7_2013	38.5	38.84	37.88	37.68			37.97(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-51	-10000	4	-216	15.38	50%	0.08	-64.1	0.75%	0	-0.8	20	0

21	Jun_6_2013	38.47	38.93	38	37.62			37.74(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	-10000	-3	-241	18.76	50%	0.05	-71.3	0.75%	0	-1.1	24	0
22	Jun_5_2013	38.45	39.06	38.16	37.66			37.3(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-71	-10000	-7	-263	15.44	47%	0.05	-73.8	0.73%	0	-1.7	16	0
23	Jun_4_2013	38.43	39.23	38.45	37.76			37.63(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-10000	-11	-252	14.56	51%	0.05	-77.7	0.73%	0	-1.6	25	0
24	Jun_3_2013	38.41	39.37	38.69	37.91			37.76(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	-10000	-15	-228	31.99	51%	0.08	-82.9	0.74%	0	-1.7	31	0
25	May_31_2013	38.38	39.53	38.94	38.12			37.68(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-67	-10000	-22	-202	28.51	51%		-80.7	0.74%	0	-2	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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