Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $37.5000 (-2.29%) ($37.4900 - $38.4500) on Wed. Jun. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $37.5000(-2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(49%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(5%)    USO(11%)    TIP(14%)    SHY(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $38.02
5 Day Moving Average   $37.99(-1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.87(-0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.02(-1.37%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2013	38.62	38.02	37.87	37.99			37.5(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	10	-10000	2	34	22.78	47%	0.03	-87.3	0.84%	0	-0.9	45	0
2	Jun_18_2013	38.61	38.14	37.86	37.96			38.38(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	9	26	11.69	51%	0.05	-68.1	0.79%	0	0.3	57	0
3	Jun_17_2013	38.59	38.22	37.78	37.82			38.12(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	2	-5	12.43	51%	0.05	-61.4	0.79%	0	-0.1	44	0
4	Jun_14_2013	38.57	38.32	37.74	37.82			38(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	0	-29	11.42	51%	0.05	-53.6	0.79%	0	-0.3	37	0
5	Jun_13_2013	38.55	38.41	37.71	37.79			37.95(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	3	-57	16.74	51%	0.05	-50.6	0.79%	0	-0.5	32	0

6	Jun_12_2013	38.53	38.52	37.7	37.79			37.34(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-24	-10000	0	-96	10.09	48%	0.03	-49.6	0.76%	0	-1.1	21	0
7	Jun_11_2013	38.52	38.65	37.75	37.74			37.71(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	-10000	1	-145	11.18	50%	0	-53.4	0.75%	0	-0.9	19	0
8	Jun_10_2013	38.52	38.74	37.81	37.72			37.96(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-43	-10000	3	-181	9.93	50%	0.05	-58	0.75%	0	-0.7	21	0
9	Jun_7_2013	38.5	38.84	37.88	37.68			37.97(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-51	-10000	4	-216	15.38	50%	0.08	-64.1	0.75%	0	-0.8	20	0
10	Jun_6_2013	38.47	38.93	38	37.62			37.74(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	-10000	-3	-241	18.76	50%	0.05	-71.3	0.75%	0	-1.1	24	0

11	Jun_5_2013	38.45	39.06	38.16	37.66			37.3(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-71	-10000	-7	-263	15.44	47%	0.05	-73.8	0.73%	0	-1.7	16	0
12	Jun_4_2013	38.43	39.23	38.45	37.76			37.63(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-10000	-11	-252	14.56	51%	0.05	-77.7	0.73%	0	-1.6	25	0
13	Jun_3_2013	38.41	39.37	38.69	37.91			37.76(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	-10000	-15	-228	31.99	51%	0.08	-82.9	0.74%	0	-1.7	31	0
14	May_31_2013	38.38	39.53	38.94	38.12			37.68(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-67	-10000	-22	-202	28.51	51%	0.05	-80.7	0.74%	0	-2	28	0
15	May_30_2013	38.36	39.7	39.17	38.44			37.91(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-10000	-22	-164	17.13	51%	0.08	-77.5	0.75%	0	-2	31	0

16	May_29_2013	38.33	39.86	39.42	38.76			37.81(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-10000	-33	-136	31.54	51%	0.08	-72.8	0.75%	0	-2.5	26	0
17	May_28_2013	38.3	40.04	39.64	39.24			38.38(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-10000	-24	-99	24.04	54%	0.13	-61	0.73%	0	-2.3	26	0
18	May_24_2013	38.25	40.19	39.78	39.58			38.83(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-10000	-21	-74	9.97	56%	0.1	-48.5	0.71%	0	-2	36	0
19	May_23_2013	38.21	40.3	39.89	39.88			39.25(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-10	-57	24.05	59%	0.08	-39.6	0.7%	0	-1.8	33	0
20	May_22_2013	38.18	40.39	39.95	40.02			39.52(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-11	-65	24.96	60%	0.05	-29.5	0.7%	0	-1.6	34	0

21	May_21_2013	38.16	40.46	40.03	40.17			40.2(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	4	-58	9.01	65%	0.13	-16.3	0.67%	0	-0.5	39	0
22	May_20_2013	38.11	40.49	40.08	40.11			40.12(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-10000	7	-79	11.34	65%	0.16	-15.6	0.68%	0	-0.7	34	0
23	May_17_2013	38.05	40.52	40.09	40.01			40.32(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-24	-10000	7	-115	9.05	66%	0.16	-12.7	0.67%	0	-0.4	37	0
24	May_16_2013	37.99	40.54	40.14	39.91			39.94(-0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	3	-132	10.06	64%	0.13	-14.8	0.67%	0	-1.2	38	0
25	May_15_2013	37.94	40.56	40.24	39.87			40.27(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-37	-10000	-2	-143	10.77	67%		-17.2	0.66%	0	-0.6	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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