Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $40.2000 (0.2%) ($39.9100 - $40.3400) on Tue. May. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $40.2000(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(49%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(5%)    USO(11%)    TIP(14%)    SHY(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $40.46
5 Day Moving Average   $40.17(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.03(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.46(-0.64%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2013	38.16	40.46	40.03	40.17			40.2(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	4	-58	9.01	65%	0.13	-16.3	0.67%	0	-0.5	39	0
2	May_20_2013	38.11	40.49	40.08	40.11			40.12(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-10000	7	-79	11.34	65%	0.16	-15.6	0.68%	0	-0.7	34	0
3	May_17_2013	38.05	40.52	40.09	40.01			40.32(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-24	-10000	7	-115	9.05	66%	0.16	-12.7	0.67%	0	-0.4	37	0
4	May_16_2013	37.99	40.54	40.14	39.91			39.94(-0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	3	-132	10.06	64%	0.13	-14.8	0.67%	0	-1.2	38	0
5	May_15_2013	37.94	40.56	40.24	39.87			40.27(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-37	-10000	-2	-143	10.77	67%	0.05	-17.2	0.66%	0	-0.6	42	0

6	May_14_2013	37.92	40.55	40.3	39.89			39.89(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-10000	-12	-146	12.35	63%	0.13	-17.2	0.66%	0	-1.3	37	0
7	May_13_2013	37.87	40.57	40.45	40.05			39.62(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10000	-11	-114	12.33	62%	0.13	-3.8	0.66%	0	-1.8	35	0
8	May_10_2013	37.82	40.59	40.63	40.19			39.83(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-16	-90	10.53	62%	0.11	2.5	0.65%	0	-1.6	40	0
9	May_9_2013	37.78	40.62	40.75	40.4			39.74(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-10000	-19	-60	19.7	62%	0.11	22.4	0.66%	0	-1.9	37	0
10	May_8_2013	37.74	40.65	40.88	40.65			40.35(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-10	-12	7.17	66%	0.13	48.1	0.63%	0	-0.7	57	0

11	May_7_2013	37.69	40.64	40.94	40.78			40.71(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-12	26	7.29	69%	0.13	61.9	0.61%	0	0.1	65	0
12	May_6_2013	37.64	40.59	40.95	40.93			40.32(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-16	58	14.74	68%	0.13	74	0.6%	0	-0.5	55	0
13	May_3_2013	37.59	40.57	41	41.13			40.89(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-10000	-1	120	14.99	73%	0.16	87.2	0.57%	0	0.6	73	0
14	May_2_2013	37.53	40.51	40.98	41.14			40.97(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	-10000	1	135	8.83	73%	0.16	86.7	0.57%	0	0.8	60	0
15	May_1_2013	37.47	40.44	40.91	41.13			41.02(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	2	134	10.37	73%	0.13	84.8	0.58%	0	0.9	63	0

16	Apr_30_2013	37.42	40.34	40.81	41.11			41.43(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	12	143	7.82	78%	0.19	84.9	0.55%	0	1.6	71	0
17	Apr_29_2013	37.35	40.23	40.69	40.98			41.32(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	12	139	5.84	78%	0.16	88.4	0.55%	0	1.7	73	0
18	Apr_26_2013	37.29	40.11	40.54	40.85			40.98(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	4	116	5.94	76%	0.13	95.5	0.55%	0	1.4	67	0
19	Apr_25_2013	37.24	40.02	40.47	40.8			40.92(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	13	134	9.95	76%	0.16	101.9	0.55%	0	1.5	70	0
20	Apr_24_2013	37.18	39.9	40.39	40.65			40.91(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	17	133	10.55	76%	0.16	95	0.55%	0	1.6	72	0

21	Apr_23_2013	37.12	39.78	40.3	40.46			40.78(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	10	132	11.79	76%	0.16	87.5	0.55%	0	1.5	74	0
22	Apr_22_2013	37.06	39.65	40.2	40.35			40.68(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	16	135	7	78%	0.16	79.9	0.55%	0	1.5	71	0
23	Apr_19_2013	37	39.52	40.11	40.17			40.73(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	7	125	11.67	78%	0.16	71.4	0.56%	0	1.7	73	0
24	Apr_18_2013	36.94	39.39	39.99	40.17			40.13(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	0	129	6.28	77%	0.16	68.6	0.54%	0	1	67	0
25	Apr_17_2013	36.88	39.3	39.93	40.09			40(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10000	-2	153	8.89	77%		69.7	0.54%	0	0.9	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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