Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $41.4300 (0.27%) ($41.1900 - $41.4400) on Tue. Apr. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $41.4300(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(49%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(14%)    SHY(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.11(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.81(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.34(2.7%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2013	37.42	40.34	40.81	41.11			41.43(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	12	143	7.82	78%	0.19	84.9	0.55%	0	1.6	71	0
2	Apr_29_2013	37.35	40.23	40.69	40.98			41.32(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	12	139	5.84	78%	0.16	88.4	0.55%	0	1.7	73	0
3	Apr_26_2013	37.29	40.11	40.54	40.85			40.98(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	4	116	5.94	76%	0.13	95.5	0.55%	0	1.4	67	0
4	Apr_25_2013	37.24	40.02	40.47	40.8			40.92(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	13	134	9.95	76%	0.16	101.9	0.55%	0	1.5	70	0
5	Apr_24_2013	37.18	39.9	40.39	40.65			40.91(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	17	133	10.55	76%	0.16	95	0.55%	0	1.6	72	0

6	Apr_23_2013	37.12	39.78	40.3	40.46			40.78(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	10	132	11.79	76%	0.16	87.5	0.55%	0	1.5	74	0
7	Apr_22_2013	37.06	39.65	40.2	40.35			40.68(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	16	135	7	78%	0.16	79.9	0.55%	0	1.5	71	0
8	Apr_19_2013	37	39.52	40.11	40.17			40.73(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	7	125	11.67	78%	0.16	71.4	0.56%	0	1.7	73	0
9	Apr_18_2013	36.94	39.39	39.99	40.17			40.13(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	0	129	6.28	77%	0.16	68.6	0.54%	0	1	67	0
10	Apr_17_2013	36.88	39.3	39.93	40.09			40(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10000	-2	153	8.89	77%	0.14	69.7	0.54%	0	0.9	71	0

11	Apr_16_2013	36.83	39.21	39.84	40.11			40.23(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	52	-10000	9	181	5.57	79%	0.16	68.4	0.53%	0	1.3	77	0
12	Apr_15_2013	36.77	39.09	39.73	40.01			39.75(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	46	-10000	-3	192	10.64	78%	0.16	65	0.53%	0	0.9	77	0
13	Apr_12_2013	36.71	39.01	39.66	40.04			40.33(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	77	-10000	17	256	5.34	86%	0.11	66.5	0.48%	0	1.7	86	0
14	Apr_11_2013	36.67	38.9	39.53	39.88			40.16(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	78	-10000	16	263	7.59	86%	0.16	67.6	0.48%	0	1.7	86	0
15	Apr_10_2013	36.61	38.8	39.38	39.73			40.07(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	80	-10000	22	254	4.83	86%	0.16	68	0.48%	0	1.9	79	0

16	Apr_9_2013	36.55	38.69	39.22	39.52			39.75(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	-10000	13	230	7.4	86%	0.16	63.2	0.48%	0	1.7	80	0
17	Apr_8_2013	36.49	38.6	39.06	39.4			39.87(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	69	-10000	18	221	5.84	86%	0.16	64.1	0.48%	0	2.2	83	0
18	Apr_5_2013	36.43	38.5	38.89	39.23			39.57(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	-10000	9	185	7.45	78%	0.14	68.1	0.5%	0	2.1	74	0
19	Apr_4_2013	36.38	38.41	38.74	39.14			39.4(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	-10000	16	173	5.27	78%	0.17	75.4	0.5%	0	2.1	70	0
20	Apr_3_2013	36.32	38.34	38.63	38.98			39.03(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	11	155	5.66	76%	0.14	85	0.49%	0	1.7	68	0

21	Apr_2_2013	36.27	38.29	38.53	38.87			39.14(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	-10000	22	143	8.03	79%	0.14	97	0.49%	0	2.2	73	0
22	Apr_1_2013	36.22	38.22	38.4	38.66			39.01(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	-10000	17	95	4.25	79%	0.14	109.3	0.53%	0	2.4	68	0
23	Mar_28_2013	36.17	38.15	38.31	38.49			39.1(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	32	-10000	19	72	7.2	76%	0.14	97.8	0.55%	0	2.8	72	0
24	Mar_27_2013	36.12	38.06	38.21	38.29			38.63(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	7	45	5.41	74%	0.08	102.5	0.55%	0	1.9	67	0
25	Mar_26_2013	36.09	38	38.16	38.22			38.45(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	8	38	5.88	69%		88	0.55%	0	1.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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