Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $38.0600 (-0.05%) ($37.9500 - $38.1900) on Wed. Mar. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $38.0600(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(49%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(14%)    SHY(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.79(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.43(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.13(2.5%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2013	35.87	37.13	37.43	37.79			38.06(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	13	130	5.42	62%	0.03	72.7	0.63%	0	2.1	68	0
2	Mar_5_2013	35.86	37.05	37.32	37.64			38.08(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	-10000	19	114	5.81	65%	0.06	71.2	0.63%	0	2.5	68	0
3	Mar_4_2013	35.84	36.97	37.21	37.41			37.88(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	-10000	17	86	7.64	65%	0.03	68.4	0.65%	0	2.6	68	0
4	Mar_1_2013	35.83	36.9	37.09	37.21			37.5(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	6	55	5.72	63%	0.03	73.7	0.65%	0	2.1	66	0
5	Feb_28_2013	35.82	36.85	37	37.14			37.43(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	10	48	8.98	65%	0.03	85.3	0.66%	0	2.3	65	0

6	Feb_27_2013	35.81	36.8	36.95	37.02			37.3(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	6	36	6.01	65%	0.03	95	0.66%	0	2.3	64	0
7	Feb_26_2013	35.8	36.76	36.91	36.95			36.96(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	-2	34	9.67	65%	0	107.4	0.65%	0	1	61	0
8	Feb_25_2013	35.8	36.73	36.89	36.97			36.85(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	2	46	9.81	65%	0	106.3	0.66%	0	0.5	62	0
9	Feb_22_2013	35.8	36.7	36.88	36.94			37.18(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	8	48	6.09	68%	0	111.8	0.65%	0	1.9	61	0
10	Feb_21_2013	35.8	36.64	36.83	36.84			36.81(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-2	32	9.04	67%	0.03	109.9	0.65%	0	0.7	57	0

11	Feb_20_2013	35.79	36.6	36.81	36.84			36.97(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	0	40	8.17	67%	0	106.1	0.65%	0	1.2	64	0
12	Feb_19_2013	35.79	36.55	36.77	36.86			37.04(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	5	44	9.47	67%	0	112.9	0.65%	0	1.6	67	0
13	Feb_15_2013	35.79	36.48	36.71	36.86			36.72(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	0	41	5.24	67%	0.03	104.3	0.64%	0	0.7	68	0
14	Feb_14_2013	35.78	36.42	36.71	36.8			36.64(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-1	50	10.25	64%	0	86.7	0.65%	0	0.5	65	0
15	Feb_13_2013	35.78	36.36	36.7	36.81			36.94(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	21	-10000	5	68	4.74	67%	0.03	78.3	0.65%	0	1.2	81	0

16	Feb_12_2013	35.77	36.28	36.65	36.75			36.94(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	7	75	5.21	64%	0	73.3	0.65%	0	1.3	83	0
17	Feb_11_2013	35.77	36.2	36.6	36.67			36.78(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	-10000	6	74	4.82	64%	0.03	67.4	0.66%	0	1.2	76	0
18	Feb_8_2013	35.76	36.13	36.55	36.6			36.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	1	77	4.84	64%	0.03	60.3	0.66%	0	1.1	80	0
19	Feb_7_2013	35.75	36.07	36.5	36.59			36.69(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	2	97	8.04	57%	0	58.9	0.66%	0	1.2	83	0
20	Feb_6_2013	35.75	35.99	36.44	36.57			36.64(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	2	105	7.5	57%	0.03	54.2	0.72%	0	1.3	84	0

21	Feb_5_2013	35.74	35.93	36.37	36.54			36.53(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	29	-10000	1	113	6.41	53%	0	57	0.72%	0	1.2	76	0
22	Feb_4_2013	35.74	35.87	36.31	36.53			36.43(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	4	124	6.3	53%	0	66.9	0.75%	0	1.1	76	0
23	Feb_1_2013	35.74	35.83	36.24	36.48			36.68(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	7	128	7.11	49%	0	75.2	0.75%	0	1.7	81	0
24	Jan_31_2013	35.74	35.77	36.12	36.39			36.58(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10000	7	120	6.83	51%	0	86.2	0.76%	0	1.8	80	0
25	Jan_30_2013	35.74	35.72	35.99	36.29			36.49(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	9	110	8.2	51%		92.9	0.77%	0	1.9	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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