Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $37.0400 (0.87%) ($36.6800 - $37.1000) on Tue. Feb. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $37.0400(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(49%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(14%)    SHY(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.86(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.77(0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.55(1.34%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2013	35.79	36.55	36.77	36.86			37.04(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	5	44	9.47	67%	0	112.9	0.65%	0	1.6	67	0
2	Feb_15_2013	35.79	36.48	36.71	36.86			36.72(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	0	41	5.24	67%	0.03	104.3	0.64%	0	0.7	68	0
3	Feb_14_2013	35.78	36.42	36.71	36.8			36.64(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-1	50	10.25	64%	0	86.7	0.65%	0	0.5	65	0
4	Feb_13_2013	35.78	36.36	36.7	36.81			36.94(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	21	-10000	5	68	4.74	67%	0.03	78.3	0.65%	0	1.2	81	0
5	Feb_12_2013	35.77	36.28	36.65	36.75			36.94(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	7	75	5.21	64%	0	73.3	0.65%	0	1.3	83	0

6	Feb_11_2013	35.77	36.2	36.6	36.67			36.78(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	-10000	6	74	4.82	64%	0.03	67.4	0.66%	0	1.2	76	0
7	Feb_8_2013	35.76	36.13	36.55	36.6			36.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	1	77	4.84	64%	0.03	60.3	0.66%	0	1.1	80	0
8	Feb_7_2013	35.75	36.07	36.5	36.59			36.69(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	2	97	8.04	57%	0	58.9	0.66%	0	1.2	83	0
9	Feb_6_2013	35.75	35.99	36.44	36.57			36.64(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	2	105	7.5	57%	0.03	54.2	0.72%	0	1.3	84	0
10	Feb_5_2013	35.74	35.93	36.37	36.54			36.53(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	29	-10000	1	113	6.41	53%	0	57	0.72%	0	1.2	76	0

11	Feb_4_2013	35.74	35.87	36.31	36.53			36.43(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	4	124	6.3	53%	0	66.9	0.75%	0	1.1	76	0
12	Feb_1_2013	35.74	35.83	36.24	36.48			36.68(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	7	128	7.11	49%	0	75.2	0.75%	0	1.7	81	0
13	Jan_31_2013	35.74	35.77	36.12	36.39			36.58(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10000	7	120	6.83	51%	0	86.2	0.76%	0	1.8	80	0
14	Jan_30_2013	35.74	35.72	35.99	36.29			36.49(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	9	110	8.2	51%	0	92.9	0.77%	0	1.9	82	0
15	Jan_29_2013	35.74	35.64	35.88	36.17			36.46(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	30	-10000	7	99	8.71	51%	0	86.5	0.77%	0	2.2	78	0

16	Jan_28_2013	35.74	35.54	35.77	36.07			36.21(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	7	89	7.71	51%	-0.03	67.3	0.77%	0	1.9	70	0
17	Jan_25_2013	35.75	35.47	35.68	35.97			36.23(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	12	73	8.03	51%	0	41.6	0.77%	0	1.9	58	0
18	Jan_24_2013	35.75	35.4	35.59	35.8			36.05(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	12	49	6.34	50%	-0.03	18.7	0.77%	0	1.7	59	0
19	Jan_23_2013	35.76	35.35	35.51	35.64			35.89(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	6	21	6.17	48%	0	0	0.78%	0	1.5	56	0
20	Jan_22_2013	35.76	35.32	35.44	35.55			35.98(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	9	18	6.67	48%	-0.03	-5.9	0.78%	0	1.8	70	0

21	Jan_18_2013	35.77	35.32	35.44	35.42			35.68(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	4	19	6.67	45%	0	-11.4	0.78%	0	1.2	73	0
22	Jan_17_2013	35.77	35.3	35.38	35.42			35.4(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	0	30	5.53	46%	-0.06	-13.2	0.77%	0	0.3	61	0
23	Jan_16_2013	35.79	35.33	35.39	35.36			35.26(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	1	44	4.72	46%	-0.03	-7.3	0.79%	0	-0.2	58	0
24	Jan_15_2013	35.8	35.35	35.42	35.35			35.43(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	2	52	6.25	46%	-0.03	-3.8	0.79%	0	0.2	54	0
25	Jan_14_2013	35.81	35.34	35.37	35.32			35.33(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-1	40	5.64	46%		-9.3	0.79%	0	-0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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