Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $35.3900 (-0.98%) ($35.3100 - $35.7200) on Mon. Jan. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $35.3900(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(56%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(14%)    SHY(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.43(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.19(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.37(0.06%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_7_2013	35.89	35.37	35.19	35.43			35.39(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	6	-10000	13	-16	8.37	46%	-0.06	11.8	0.79%	0	0.1	53	0
2	Jan_4_2013	35.91	35.38	35.22	35.25			35.74(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	-10000	14	-31	6.18	47%	-0.03	4.5	0.78%	0	0.9	54	0
3	Jan_3_2013	35.92	35.36	35.21	35.06			35.56(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-5	-10000	10	-51	8.14	47%	-0.06	-0.9	0.78%	0	0.5	50	0
4	Jan_2_2013	35.94	35.33	35.24	34.92			35.56(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-11	-10000	6	-61	12.8	47%	-0.11	-7.4	0.78%	0	0.6	49	0
5	Dec_31_2012	35.98	35.3	35.25	34.84			34.92(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-6	-74	16.31	43%	-0.08	-6.5	0.75%	0	-1	43	0

6	Dec_28_2012	36.01	35.33	35.29	34.92			34.45(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-10000	-21	-79	8.51	40%	-0.08	13.3	0.73%	0	-2.4	35	0
7	Dec_27_2012	36.04	35.33	35.39	35.19			34.8(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-10000	-15	-44	17.72	42%	-0.06	52.2	0.72%	0	-1.8	40	0
8	Dec_26_2012	36.06	35.33	35.46	35.38			34.86(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-19	-10000	-18	-21	5.8	42%	-0.14	72	0.72%	0	-1.5	41	0
9	Dec_24_2012	36.11	35.36	35.54	35.61			35.16(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-10	26	5.87	46%	-0.08	83.2	0.71%	0	-0.5	57	0
10	Dec_21_2012	36.14	35.33	35.57	35.73			35.31(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	15	-10000	2	54	8.67	44%	-0.06	78.5	0.72%	0	-0	56	0

11	Dec_20_2012	36.16	35.28	35.59	35.71			35.84(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	8	60	9.68	47%	-0.06	76.7	0.7%	0	1.2	60	0
12	Dec_19_2012	36.18	35.2	35.55	35.61			35.73(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	4	56	6.81	47%	-0.06	64.8	0.71%	0	1	64	0
13	Dec_18_2012	36.2	35.13	35.52	35.56			36(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	7	68	10.11	49%	-0.06	60.1	0.7%	0	1.7	72	0
14	Dec_17_2012	36.22	35.04	35.41	35.47			35.75(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	5	64	8.59	45%	-0.08	58	0.69%	0	1.4	72	0
15	Dec_14_2012	36.25	34.97	35.35	35.41			35.21(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-4	69	6.29	40%	-0.06	54.3	0.67%	0	0.5	68	0

16	Dec_13_2012	36.27	34.92	35.36	35.46			35.35(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-2	108	8.36	44%	-0.06	47	0.67%	0	0.8	77	0
17	Dec_12_2012	36.29	34.87	35.32	35.48			35.49(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	1	126	10.14	43%	-0.03	42.1	0.7%	0	1.2	78	0
18	Dec_11_2012	36.3	34.82	35.25	35.47			35.55(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	10	141	6.45	43%	-0.06	32.9	0.7%	0	1.4	74	0
19	Dec_10_2012	36.32	34.76	35.16	35.35			35.47(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	7	131	4.36	43%	-0.08	15.9	0.7%	0	1.5	71	0
20	Dec_7_2012	36.35	34.71	35.07	35.27			35.46(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	3	125	7.42	43%	-0.05	-3.1	0.7%	0	1.7	71	0

21	Dec_6_2012	36.37	34.68	34.94	35.24			35.43(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	7	127	6.49	45%	-0.05	-23.1	0.7%	0	1.8	75	0
22	Dec_5_2012	36.39	34.68	34.81	35.15			35.45(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	11	113	18.67	45%	-0.05	-54	0.72%	0	2.1	69	0
23	Dec_4_2012	36.41	34.65	34.7	35.01			34.92(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	5	94	5.55	41%	-0.05	-71.2	0.69%	0	0.7	57	0
24	Dec_3_2012	36.43	34.68	34.65	34.95			35.1(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	10	89	12.5	41%	-0.08	-75	0.69%	0	0.9	62	0
25	Nov_30_2012	36.46	34.73	34.57	34.83			35.32(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	21	73	29.06	41%		-69.5	0.68%	0	1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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