Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $35.8400 (0.31%) ($35.6100 - $35.8900) on Thu. Dec. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $35.8400(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(56%)    JNK(49%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(14%)    SHY(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.71(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.59(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.28(1.59%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2012	36.16	35.28	35.59	35.71			35.84(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	8	60	9.68	47%	-0.06	76.7	0.7%	0	1.2	60	0
2	Dec_19_2012	36.18	35.2	35.55	35.61			35.73(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	4	56	6.81	47%	-0.06	64.8	0.71%	0	1	64	0
3	Dec_18_2012	36.2	35.13	35.52	35.56			36(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	7	68	10.11	49%	-0.06	60.1	0.7%	0	1.7	72	0
4	Dec_17_2012	36.22	35.04	35.41	35.47			35.75(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	5	64	8.59	45%	-0.08	58	0.69%	0	1.4	72	0
5	Dec_14_2012	36.25	34.97	35.35	35.41			35.21(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-4	69	6.29	40%	-0.06	54.3	0.67%	0	0.5	68	0

6	Dec_13_2012	36.27	34.92	35.36	35.46			35.35(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-2	108	8.36	44%	-0.06	47	0.67%	0	0.8	77	0
7	Dec_12_2012	36.29	34.87	35.32	35.48			35.49(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	1	126	10.14	43%	-0.03	42.1	0.7%	0	1.2	78	0
8	Dec_11_2012	36.3	34.82	35.25	35.47			35.55(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	10	141	6.45	43%	-0.06	32.9	0.7%	0	1.4	74	0
9	Dec_10_2012	36.32	34.76	35.16	35.35			35.47(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	7	131	4.36	43%	-0.08	15.9	0.7%	0	1.5	71	0
10	Dec_7_2012	36.35	34.71	35.07	35.27			35.46(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	3	125	7.42	43%	-0.05	-3.1	0.7%	0	1.7	71	0

11	Dec_6_2012	36.37	34.68	34.94	35.24			35.43(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	7	127	6.49	45%	-0.05	-23.1	0.7%	0	1.8	75	0
12	Dec_5_2012	36.39	34.68	34.81	35.15			35.45(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	11	113	18.67	45%	-0.05	-54	0.72%	0	2.1	69	0
13	Dec_4_2012	36.41	34.65	34.7	35.01			34.92(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	5	94	5.55	41%	-0.05	-71.2	0.69%	0	0.7	57	0
14	Dec_3_2012	36.43	34.68	34.65	34.95			35.1(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	10	89	12.5	41%	-0.08	-75	0.69%	0	0.9	62	0
15	Nov_30_2012	36.46	34.73	34.57	34.83			35.32(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	21	73	29.06	41%	-0.05	-69.5	0.68%	0	1	59	0

16	Nov_29_2012	36.48	34.77	34.44	34.58			34.95(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	13	17	9.57	38%	-0.05	-69.4	0.67%	0	0.3	48	0
17	Nov_28_2012	36.5	34.86	34.37	34.43			34.75(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	-10000	7	-23	10.53	38%	-0.05	-64.3	0.67%	0	-0.1	43	0
18	Nov_27_2012	36.52	34.94	34.34	34.35			34.61(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	5	-65	13.66	38%	-0.05	-68.8	0.66%	0	-0.4	30	0
19	Nov_26_2012	36.54	35.03	34.31	34.3			34.52(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	3	-105	16.18	38%	-0.05	-73.2	0.66%	0	-0.6	28	0
20	Nov_23_2012	36.56	35.12	34.32	34.3			34.09(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-38	-10000	0	-152	3.72	32%	-0.08	-72.4	0.65%	0	-1.1	14	0

21	Nov_21_2012	36.59	35.25	34.39	34.27			34.18(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-49	-10000	-1	-194	14.94	31%	-0.08	-71.2	0.65%	0	-1.1	14	0
22	Nov_20_2012	36.62	35.39	34.47	34.28			34.33(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-64	-10000	-4	-242	11.33	31%	-0.08	-68.2	0.65%	0	-1.1	12	0
23	Nov_19_2012	36.65	35.53	34.59	34.28			34.39(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-65	-10000	0	-260	16.54	31%	-0.08	-63.4	0.65%	0	-1.1	21	0
24	Nov_16_2012	36.68	35.68	34.71	34.32			34.36(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-76	-10000	-5	-287	12.34	31%	-0.05	-60.2	0.65%	0	-1.3	20	0
25	Nov_15_2012	36.7	35.82	34.89	34.38			34.07(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-84	-10000	-14	-295	15.3	28%		-55.9	0.64%	0	-1.6	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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