Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $34.3900 (0.09%) ($34.1900 - $34.5900) on Mon. Nov. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $34.3900(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(56%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(48%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(2%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(14%)    SHY(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.05(-15.53%)
Resistance Level   $35.53
5 Day Moving Average   $34.32(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.59(-0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.53(-3.21%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2012	36.65	35.53	34.59				34.39(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-65	-10000	0	-260	16.54	31%	-0.08	-63.4	0.65%	0	-1.1	21	0
2	Nov_16_2012	36.68	35.68	34.71	34.32			34.36(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-76	-10000	-5	-287	12.34	31%	-0.05	-60.2	0.65%	0	-1.3	20	0
3	Nov_15_2012	36.7	35.82	34.89	34.38			34.07(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-84	-10000	-14	-295	15.3	28%	-0.08	-55.9	0.64%	0	-1.6	19	0
4	Nov_14_2012	36.73	35.96	35.13	34.54			34.27(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-80	-10000	-13	-280	10.37	28%	-0.05	-53.6	0.64%	0	-1.6	18	0
5	Nov_13_2012	36.75	36.09	35.39	34.68			34.51(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-83	-10000	-21	-270	12.46	29%	-0.05	-55	0.64%	0	-1.6	18	0

6	Nov_12_2012	36.77	36.2	35.6	34.91			34.38(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-82	-10000	-23	-258	7.12	29%	-0.05	-53.8	0.63%	0	-2	14	0
7	Nov_9_2012	36.79	36.32	35.82	35.17			34.67(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-83	-10000	-29	-246	9.68	31%	-0.03	-54.4	0.63%	0	-2.1	14	0
8	Nov_8_2012	36.8	36.43	36	35.49			34.88(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-77	-10000	-28	-224	9.67	31%	-0.05	-49.7	0.63%	0	-2.3	19	0
9	Nov_7_2012	36.82	36.53	36.19	35.81			34.94(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-73	-10000	-35	-186	12	29%	-0.05	-41.7	0.63%	0	-2.8	30	0
10	Nov_6_2012	36.84	36.63	36.41	36.21			35.69(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-10000	-16	-124	8.27	33%	-0.05	-24.8	0.59%	0	-2.2	39	0

11	Nov_5_2012	36.86	36.69	36.55	36.38			35.67(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-35	-10000	-18	-86	8.29	33%	-0.03	-10.9	0.59%	0	-2.8	41	0
12	Nov_2_2012	36.87	36.75	36.73	36.57			36.26(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-2	-36	4.3	39%	-0.03	11.8	0.58%	0	-1.8	45	0
13	Nov_1_2012	36.88	36.75	36.83	36.59			36.51(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-4	-18	8.43	39%	0	20.6	0.57%	0	-1	49	0
14	Oct_31_2012	36.88	36.77	36.86	36.63			36.9(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-4	-10000	-2	-11	11.07	40%	0	26.5	0.57%	0	0.5	53	0
15	Oct_26_2012	36.88	36.74	36.86	36.65			36.58(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	-10000	-9	-14	7.49	46%	0	23.7	0.58%	0	-0.6	46	0

16	Oct_25_2012	36.88	36.73	36.83	36.75			36.58(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-15	-6	5.65	46%	0	37.8	0.61%	0	-0.5	48	0
17	Oct_24_2012	36.88	36.71	36.85	36.92			36.4(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-7	-10000	-15	17	5.78	44%	0	50	0.61%	0	-1	43	0
18	Oct_23_2012	36.88	36.72	36.88	37.09			36.67(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	11	-10000	-2	49	6.89	44%	0.03	67.9	0.61%	0	-0.2	54	0
19	Oct_22_2012	36.87	36.7	36.89	37.11			37.01(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	6	66	4.74	46%	0.05	70.1	0.6%	0	1	65	0
20	Oct_19_2012	36.85	36.67	36.87	37.04			37.11(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	11	72	7.84	46%	0.03	61.3	0.6%	0	1.3	71	0

21	Oct_18_2012	36.84	36.61	36.83	36.92			37.41(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	13	65	5.45	48%	0.05	48.3	0.6%	0	2.5	72	0
22	Oct_17_2012	36.82	36.56	36.77	36.78			37.24(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	23	-10000	11	59	9.85	48%	0.03	36.5	0.59%	0	2.5	73	0
23	Oct_16_2012	36.81	36.51	36.7	36.66			36.79(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	1	45	8.36	44%	0	28.6	0.58%	0	1.2	61	0
24	Oct_15_2012	36.81	36.48	36.66	36.65			36.65(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-3	46	4.84	44%	0.03	21.7	0.57%	0	0.8	61	0
25	Oct_12_2012	36.8	36.46	36.62	36.68			36.5(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-5	47	4.18	47%		21.7	0.58%	0	0.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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