Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 4, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $36.8000 (0.57%) ($36.6600 - $36.9600) on Thu. Oct. 4, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $36.8000(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    SHY(13%)    TIP(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.48(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.38(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.41(1.07%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.55% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2012	36.73	36.41	36.38	36.48			36.8(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	-10000	10	27	6.69	47%	0.03	5.5	0.59%	0	2	53	0
2	Oct_3_2012	36.72	36.4	36.33	36.37			36.59(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	5	-2	4.7	47%	0.03	-8.2	0.59%	0	1.1	44	0
3	Oct_2_2012	36.71	36.4	36.3	36.32			36.41(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	2	-12	6.2	49%	0.03	-22.4	0.58%	0	0.1	52	0
4	Oct_1_2012	36.7	36.39	36.27	36.3			36.22(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-25	7.19	49%	0	-30.8	0.59%	0	-0.9	45	0
5	Sep_28_2012	36.7	36.39	36.28	36.33			36.39(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	6	-23	7.97	50%	0	-34.7	0.59%	0	-0.1	46	0

6	Sep_27_2012	36.7	36.4	36.29	36.26			36.23(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-3	-41	7	53%	0.03	-46.9	0.59%	0	-0.9	42	0
7	Sep_26_2012	36.69	36.41	36.35	36.29			36.37(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	3	-33	6.33	53%	0.03	-49	0.6%	0	-0.2	42	0
8	Sep_25_2012	36.68	36.43	36.34	36.26			36.29(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	1	-40	6.73	53%	0.03	-57.7	0.6%	0	-0.7	50	0
9	Sep_24_2012	36.67	36.45	36.36	36.25			36.37(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	2	-42	8.22	53%	0	-71.2	0.6%	0	-0.4	48	0
10	Sep_21_2012	36.67	36.46	36.38	36.23			36.03(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-10000	-10	-45	7.59	48%	0.03	-84.6	0.59%	0	-2.3	46	0

11	Sep_20_2012	36.66	36.48	36.44	36.34			36.39(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-7	-23	4.76	48%	0.03	-97.9	0.59%	0	-0.5	51	0
12	Sep_19_2012	36.65	36.5	36.47	36.34			36.24(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1	-10000	0	-4	12.56	48%	0	-93.9	0.6%	0	-1.4	44	0
13	Sep_18_2012	36.65	36.53	36.48	36.42			36.2(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-10000	-5	-12	10.37	48%	0.03	-100	0.6%	0	-1.7	42	0
14	Sep_17_2012	36.64	36.58	36.48	36.48			36.31(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-5	-8	5.18	48%	0	-88.3	0.6%	0	-1.2	42	0
15	Sep_14_2012	36.64	36.62	36.52	36.54			36.54(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-10000	-1	-5	9.1	51%	0.03	-87.3	0.6%	0	-0.3	48	0

16	Sep_13_2012	36.63	36.65	36.51	36.55			36.79(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	1	-4	8.45	53%	0.05	-80.3	0.6%	0	0.5	57	0
17	Sep_12_2012	36.61	36.67	36.48	36.54			36.28(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-1	-13	3.84	50%	0.03	-75.9	0.57%	0	-1.3	37	0
18	Sep_11_2012	36.6	36.73	36.52	36.54			36.49(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	0	-18	3.38	51%	0.05	-67.8	0.57%	0	-0.7	39	0
19	Sep_10_2012	36.58	36.77	36.52	36.55			36.58(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	4	-29	3.71	51%	0.03	-64.3	0.57%	0	-0.5	35	0
20	Sep_7_2012	36.57	36.82	36.54	36.51			36.62(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	5	-49	5.11	53%	0.05	-67	0.57%	0	-0.5	38	0

21	Sep_6_2012	36.55	36.86	36.54	36.46			36.74(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	3	-77	5.53	56%	0.05	-68.8	0.57%	0	-0.3	38	0
22	Sep_5_2012	36.53	36.89	36.53	36.43			36.33(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-29	-10000	-6	-98	3.54	54%	0.05	-70.2	0.58%	0	-1.3	24	0
23	Sep_4_2012	36.51	36.94	36.58	36.49			36.49(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-4	-104	12.97	54%	0.11	-74.8	0.58%	0	-1.1	23	0
24	Aug_31_2012	36.47	37.01	36.65	36.53			36.35(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-31	-10000	-5	-109	6.15	54%	0.05	-70.5	0.58%	0	-1.5	18	0
25	Aug_30_2012	36.45	37.08	36.72	36.58			36.39(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-29	-10000	-1	-112	2.09	52%		-74.1	0.58%	0	-1.6	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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