Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $36.7400 (1.13%) ($36.3800 - $36.7500) on Thu. Sep. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $36.7400(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.61(-5.8%)
Resistance Level   $36.86
5 Day Moving Average   $36.46(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.53(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.86(-0.33%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121006

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_6_2012	36.55	36.86		36.46			36.74(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	3	-77	5.53	56%	0.05	-68.8	0.57%	0	-0.3	38	0
2	Sep_5_2012	36.53	36.89	36.53	36.43			36.33(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-29	-10000	-6	-98	3.54	54%	0.05	-70.2	0.58%	0	-1.3	24	0
3	Sep_4_2012	36.51	36.94	36.58	36.49			36.49(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-4	-104	12.97	54%	0.11	-74.8	0.58%	0	-1.1	23	0
4	Aug_31_2012	36.47	37.01	36.65	36.53			36.35(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-31	-10000	-5	-109	6.15	54%	0.05	-70.5	0.58%	0	-1.5	18	0
5	Aug_30_2012	36.45	37.08	36.72	36.58			36.39(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-29	-10000	-1	-112	2.09	52%	0.05	-74.1	0.58%	0	-1.6	18	0

6	Aug_29_2012	36.43	37.14	36.8	36.59			36.57(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-10000	-6	-120	5.39	52%	0.05	-80	0.58%	0	-1.4	25	0
7	Aug_28_2012	36.41	37.19	36.87	36.65			36.63(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-10000	-5	-116	3.17	52%	0.05	-71.8	0.59%	0	-1.4	26	0
8	Aug_27_2012	36.39	37.25	36.95	36.7			36.7(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-8	-109	4.07	52%	0.03	-55.9	0.59%	0	-1.2	29	0
9	Aug_24_2012	36.38	37.33	37.03	36.79			36.62(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-8	-104	3.28	52%	0.03	-41.3	0.59%	0	-1.6	20	0
10	Aug_23_2012	36.37	37.4	37.12	36.88			36.45(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-36	-10000	-14	-102	7.97	51%	0.06	-34.5	0.59%	0	-2.3	13	0

11	Aug_22_2012	36.35	37.47	37.22	37.03			36.83(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-8	-80	5.61	55%	0.03	-28.1	0.58%	0	-1.8	37	0
12	Aug_21_2012	36.34	37.49	37.29	37.12			36.89(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-11	-74	8.07	55%	0.06	-28.6	0.58%	0	-1.8	34	0
13	Aug_20_2012	36.32	37.5	37.34	37.24			37.16(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-6	-70	5.33	57%	0.06	-24.7	0.57%	0	-1.1	32	0
14	Aug_17_2012	36.3	37.52	37.4	37.3			37.09(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-8	-73	6.4	55%	0.06	-18.1	0.58%	0	-1.4	26	0
15	Aug_16_2012	36.28	37.55	37.47	37.39			37.19(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-4	-64	7.88	55%	0.08	-6.5	0.58%	0	-1.2	32	0

16	Aug_15_2012	36.25	37.57	37.5	37.44			37.28(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-3	-63	5.52	54%	0.06	6.7	0.58%	0	-1	45	0
17	Aug_14_2012	36.23	37.57	37.54	37.47			37.46(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	-10000	1	-44	6.66	54%	0.08	18.7	0.58%	0	-0.4	58	0
18	Aug_13_2012	36.2	37.58	37.58	37.46			37.5(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-4	-30	3.8	54%	0.08	28	0.58%	0	-0.3	58	0
19	Aug_10_2012	36.17	37.58	37.65	37.51			37.54(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-6	-2	6.13	56%	0.08	42.9	0.58%	0	-0.1	53	0
20	Aug_9_2012	36.14	37.57	37.7	37.51			37.43(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	0	20	4.55	56%	0.08	53	0.59%	0	-0.5	47	0

21	Aug_8_2012	36.11	37.55	37.73	37.57			37.43(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-4	20	4.91	56%	0.08	52.3	0.59%	0	-0.4	49	0
22	Aug_7_2012	36.08	37.53	37.7	37.61			37.38(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-10	13	9.22	56%	0.08	47.5	0.59%	0	-0.4	49	0
23	Aug_6_2012	36.05	37.5	37.68	37.72			37.77(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-8	24	6.33	58%	0.08	46.7	0.57%	0	0.7	56	0
24	Aug_3_2012	36.02	37.45	37.65	37.81			37.86(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-5	43	6.82	58%	0.08	49.1	0.57%	0	1	59	0
25	Aug_2_2012	35.99	37.4	37.63	37.86			37.42(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-4	62	7.95	54%		52.7	0.56%	0	0	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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