Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $37.8600 (1.18%) ($37.6000 - $37.8900) on Fri. Aug. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $37.8600(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(56%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.81(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.65(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.45(1.09%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2012	36.02	37.45	37.65	37.81			37.86(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-5	43	6.82	58%	0.08	49.1	0.57%	0	1	59	0
2	Aug_2_2012	35.99	37.4	37.63	37.86			37.42(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-4	62	7.95	54%	0.06	52.7	0.56%	0	0	53	0
3	Aug_1_2012	35.97	37.38	37.65	37.9			37.63(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	30	-10000	10	91	15.69	56%	0.06	58.3	0.56%	0	0.6	62	0
4	Jul_31_2012	35.95	37.35	37.64	37.79			37.92(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	16	94	4.19	58%	0.06	62.5	0.55%	0	1.4	68	0
5	Jul_30_2012	35.93	37.32	37.58	37.63			38.23(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	35	-10000	17	87	6.79	61%	0.08	65.4	0.54%	0	2.3	78	0

6	Jul_27_2012	35.9	37.25	37.49	37.46			38.09(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	25	-10000	8	74	5.24	61%	0.11	72.3	0.54%	0	2.4	77	0
7	Jul_26_2012	35.86	37.18	37.41	37.38			37.65(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	1	74	6.13	59%	0.06	85.2	0.53%	0	1.6	69	0
8	Jul_25_2012	35.84	37.13	37.41	37.37			37.07(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-10	78	3.57	55%	0.08	85.2	0.5%	0	-0.2	57	0
9	Jul_24_2012	35.81	37.09	37.34	37.46			37.09(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	19	-10000	-6	92	10.02	57%	0.06	72.3	0.5%	0	0	50	0
10	Jul_23_2012	35.79	37.05	37.32	37.52			37.42(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	2	98	4.52	60%	0.06	57.4	0.49%	0	0.9	54	0

11	Jul_20_2012	35.77	37	37.25	37.5			37.67(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	8	92	9.02	65%	0.08	46.6	0.48%	0	1.6	67	0
12	Jul_19_2012	35.74	36.93	37.16	37.43			37.59(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	12	82	5.41	65%	0.08	34.2	0.5%	0	1.6	70	0
13	Jul_18_2012	35.71	36.88	37.09	37.32			37.52(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	12	70	5.44	65%	0.06	25.9	0.5%	0	1.6	72	0
14	Jul_17_2012	35.69	36.85	37.05	37.21			37.4(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	14	78	5.73	65%	0.08	22	0.5%	0	1.5	77	0
15	Jul_16_2012	35.66	36.82	37.02	37.08			37.32(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	13	86	5.14	67%	0.06	16.8	0.5%	0	1.4	76	0

16	Jul_13_2012	35.64	36.8	36.99	36.96			37.34(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	-10000	11	84	7.06	67%	0.06	8.9	0.51%	0	1.6	74	0
17	Jul_12_2012	35.62	36.78	36.93	36.86			37.01(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	2	80	5.27	65%	0.08	4.8	0.51%	0	0.7	71	0
18	Jul_11_2012	35.59	36.78	36.89	36.84			36.96(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	17	-10000	-3	76	4.11	65%	0.06	9.5	0.51%	0	0.6	57	0
19	Jul_10_2012	35.57	36.78	36.83	36.87			36.77(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-10	61	4.03	59%	0.03	25	0.5%	0	0	44	0
20	Jul_9_2012	35.56	36.78	36.78	36.96			36.71(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-6	52	8.7	59%	0.06	47.6	0.53%	0	-0.2	42	0

21	Jul_6_2012	35.54	36.78	36.74	37.02			36.83(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	1	46	5.47	59%	0.03	69	0.54%	0	0.2	47	0
22	Jul_5_2012	35.53	36.77	36.68	37.01			36.91(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	6	24	8.85	57%	0.08	82.1	0.54%	0	0.5	45	0
23	Jul_3_2012	35.5	36.75	36.65	36.95			37.13(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	17	13	2.76	59%	0.08	78.9	0.54%	0	1.1	54	0
24	Jul_2_2012	35.47	36.69	36.63	36.78			37.22(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	13	-10000	21	-10	11.59	59%	0.06	61.5	0.54%	0	1.4	56	0
25	Jun_29_2012	35.45	36.62	36.6	36.57			36.99(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	15	-41	7.62	57%		43.8	0.54%	0	0.9	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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