Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 26, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $37.6500 (1.56%) ($37.3000 - $37.7100) on Thu. Jul. 26, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $37.6500(1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(56%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.38(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.41(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.18(1.26%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2012	35.86	37.18	37.41	37.38			37.65(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	1	74	6.13	59%	0.06	85.2	0.53%	0	1.6	69	0
2	Jul_25_2012	35.84	37.13	37.41	37.37			37.07(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-10	78	3.57	55%	0.08	85.2	0.5%	0	-0.2	57	0
3	Jul_24_2012	35.81	37.09	37.34	37.46			37.09(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	19	-10000	-6	92	10.02	57%	0.06	72.3	0.5%	0	0	50	0
4	Jul_23_2012	35.79	37.05	37.32	37.52			37.42(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	2	98	4.52	60%	0.06	57.4	0.49%	0	0.9	54	0
5	Jul_20_2012	35.77	37	37.25	37.5			37.67(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	8	92	9.02	65%	0.08	46.6	0.48%	0	1.6	67	0

6	Jul_19_2012	35.74	36.93	37.16	37.43			37.59(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	12	82	5.41	65%	0.08	34.2	0.5%	0	1.6	70	0
7	Jul_18_2012	35.71	36.88	37.09	37.32			37.52(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	12	70	5.44	65%	0.06	25.9	0.5%	0	1.6	72	0
8	Jul_17_2012	35.69	36.85	37.05	37.21			37.4(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	14	78	5.73	65%	0.08	22	0.5%	0	1.5	77	0
9	Jul_16_2012	35.66	36.82	37.02	37.08			37.32(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	13	86	5.14	67%	0.06	16.8	0.5%	0	1.4	76	0
10	Jul_13_2012	35.64	36.8	36.99	36.96			37.34(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	-10000	11	84	7.06	67%	0.06	8.9	0.51%	0	1.6	74	0

11	Jul_12_2012	35.62	36.78	36.93	36.86			37.01(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	2	80	5.27	65%	0.08	4.8	0.51%	0	0.7	71	0
12	Jul_11_2012	35.59	36.78	36.89	36.84			36.96(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	17	-10000	-3	76	4.11	65%	0.06	9.5	0.51%	0	0.6	57	0
13	Jul_10_2012	35.57	36.78	36.83	36.87			36.77(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-10	61	4.03	59%	0.03	25	0.5%	0	0	44	0
14	Jul_9_2012	35.56	36.78	36.78	36.96			36.71(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-6	52	8.7	59%	0.06	47.6	0.53%	0	-0.2	42	0
15	Jul_6_2012	35.54	36.78	36.74	37.02			36.83(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	1	46	5.47	59%	0.03	69	0.54%	0	0.2	47	0

16	Jul_5_2012	35.53	36.77	36.68	37.01			36.91(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	6	24	8.85	57%	0.08	82.1	0.54%	0	0.5	45	0
17	Jul_3_2012	35.5	36.75	36.65	36.95			37.13(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	17	13	2.76	59%	0.08	78.9	0.54%	0	1.1	54	0
18	Jul_2_2012	35.47	36.69	36.63	36.78			37.22(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	13	-10000	21	-10	11.59	59%	0.06	61.5	0.54%	0	1.4	56	0
19	Jun_29_2012	35.45	36.62	36.6	36.57			36.99(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	15	-41	7.62	57%	0.06	43.8	0.54%	0	0.9	53	0
20	Jun_28_2012	35.43	36.56	36.59	36.42			36.78(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	11	-66	4.23	53%	0.06	33.9	0.53%	0	0.5	48	0

21	Jun_27_2012	35.41	36.52	36.61	36.32			36.65(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	1	-77	5.22	53%	0.06	29.3	0.55%	0	0.3	48	0
22	Jun_26_2012	35.39	36.47	36.63	36.31			36.24(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-15	-78	3.98	52%	0.06	27.9	0.53%	0	-0.5	48	0
23	Jun_25_2012	35.37	36.46	36.69	36.46			36.19(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-18	-31	5.32	52%	0.03	40.2	0.54%	0	-0.6	59	0
24	Jun_22_2012	35.36	36.44	36.76	36.64			36.26(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-13	27	3.46	52%	0.06	52.6	0.54%	0	-0.4	63	0
25	Jun_21_2012	35.34	36.42	36.82	36.77			36.25(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-17	80	9.59	52%		59.4	0.54%	0	-0.3	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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