Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $37.3200 (-0.05%) ($37.2400 - $37.3800) on Mon. Jul. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $37.3200(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(56%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.08(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.02(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.82(1.36%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2012	35.66	36.82	37.02	37.08			37.32(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	13	86	5.14	67%	0.06	16.8	0.5%	0	1.4	76	0
2	Jul_13_2012	35.64	36.8	36.99	36.96			37.34(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	-10000	11	84	7.06	67%	0.06	8.9	0.51%	0	1.6	74	0
3	Jul_12_2012	35.62	36.78	36.93	36.86			37.01(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	2	80	5.27	65%	0.08	4.8	0.51%	0	0.7	71	0
4	Jul_11_2012	35.59	36.78	36.89	36.84			36.96(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	17	-10000	-3	76	4.11	65%	0.06	9.5	0.51%	0	0.6	57	0
5	Jul_10_2012	35.57	36.78	36.83	36.87			36.77(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-10	61	4.03	59%	0.03	25	0.5%	0	0	44	0

6	Jul_9_2012	35.56	36.78	36.78	36.96			36.71(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-6	52	8.7	59%	0.06	47.6	0.53%	0	-0.2	42	0
7	Jul_6_2012	35.54	36.78	36.74	37.02			36.83(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	1	46	5.47	59%	0.03	69	0.54%	0	0.2	47	0
8	Jul_5_2012	35.53	36.77	36.68	37.01			36.91(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	6	24	8.85	57%	0.08	82.1	0.54%	0	0.5	45	0
9	Jul_3_2012	35.5	36.75	36.65	36.95			37.13(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	17	13	2.76	59%	0.08	78.9	0.54%	0	1.1	54	0
10	Jul_2_2012	35.47	36.69	36.63	36.78			37.22(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	13	-10000	21	-10	11.59	59%	0.06	61.5	0.54%	0	1.4	56	0

11	Jun_29_2012	35.45	36.62	36.6	36.57			36.99(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	15	-41	7.62	57%	0.06	43.8	0.54%	0	0.9	53	0
12	Jun_28_2012	35.43	36.56	36.59	36.42			36.78(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	11	-66	4.23	53%	0.06	33.9	0.53%	0	0.5	48	0
13	Jun_27_2012	35.41	36.52	36.61	36.32			36.65(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	1	-77	5.22	53%	0.06	29.3	0.55%	0	0.3	48	0
14	Jun_26_2012	35.39	36.47	36.63	36.31			36.24(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-15	-78	3.98	52%	0.06	27.9	0.53%	0	-0.5	48	0
15	Jun_25_2012	35.37	36.46	36.69	36.46			36.19(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-18	-31	5.32	52%	0.03	40.2	0.54%	0	-0.6	59	0

16	Jun_22_2012	35.36	36.44	36.76	36.64			36.26(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-13	27	3.46	52%	0.06	52.6	0.54%	0	-0.4	63	0
17	Jun_21_2012	35.34	36.42	36.82	36.77			36.25(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-17	80	9.59	52%	0.03	59.4	0.54%	0	-0.3	65	0
18	Jun_20_2012	35.33	36.39	36.88	36.94			36.63(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	34	-10000	-4	146	7.39	55%	0.06	63	0.52%	0	0.4	69	0
19	Jun_19_2012	35.31	36.34	36.87	36.98			36.99(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	-10000	3	190	5.59	56%	0.09	65.6	0.5%	0	1.1	82	0
20	Jun_18_2012	35.28	36.27	36.77	36.95			37.07(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	5	188	5.17	56%	0.06	61.1	0.51%	0	1.4	75	0

21	Jun_15_2012	35.26	36.18	36.65	36.9			36.93(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	3	176	5.95	53%	0.06	54.4	0.53%	0	1.3	75	0
22	Jun_14_2012	35.24	36.11	36.53	36.87			37.09(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	-10000	7	183	5.84	48%	0.06	52.6	0.52%	0	1.8	81	0
23	Jun_13_2012	35.22	36.04	36.41	36.8			36.84(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	-10000	7	175	6.66	46%	0.06	54.2	0.55%	0	1.6	81	0
24	Jun_12_2012	35.2	35.97	36.3	36.73			36.83(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	-10000	18	170	4.74	49%	0.06	54.9	0.55%	0	1.8	73	0
25	Jun_11_2012	35.18	35.92	36.2	36.55			36.79(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	-10000	18	149	7.42	49%		54.2	0.57%	0	2	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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