Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 18, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $34.7800 (-0.14%) ($34.6700 - $34.9300) on Wed. Apr. 18, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $34.7800(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.61(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.64(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.75(0.09%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2012	34.95	34.75	34.64	34.61			34.78(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	9	-53	3.59	43%	0.03	-21	0.58%	0	0.1	51	0
2	Apr_17_2012	34.94	34.74	34.67	34.52			34.83(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	-10000	11	-63	5.59	43%	0.03	-46.9	0.58%	0	0.3	46	0
3	Apr_16_2012	34.93	34.72	34.7	34.41			34.66(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-20	-10000	-1	-78	7.29	43%	0.03	-72.6	0.58%	0	-0.2	47	0
4	Apr_13_2012	34.92	34.73	34.74	34.42			34.33(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-11	-72	5.35	38%	-0.03	-78.6	0.57%	0	-1.4	47	0
5	Apr_12_2012	34.93	34.77	34.8	34.53			34.45(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-14	-48	5.84	38%	0.06	-69.1	0.57%	0	-1.1	49	0

6	Apr_11_2012	34.91	34.8	34.83	34.67			34.34(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-10000	-18	-21	4.92	38%	0	-53.8	0.56%	0	-1.6	49	0
7	Apr_10_2012	34.91	34.87	34.9	34.84			34.26(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-9	-10000	-19	20	7.64	38%	0	-20.7	0.57%	0	-1.9	46	0
8	Apr_9_2012	34.91	34.94	34.97	35.03			34.71(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-7	69	5.03	43%	0.03	3.3	0.54%	0	-0.7	57	0
9	Apr_5_2012	34.9	34.96	34.96	35.1			34.89(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	21	-10000	1	82	4.7	43%	0	12	0.54%	0	-0.2	53	0
10	Apr_4_2012	34.9	34.97	34.94	35.09			35.15(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	70	7.97	47%	0	12	0.53%	0	0.6	48	0

11	Apr_3_2012	34.9	34.95	34.87	35.01			35.2(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	4	35	5.76	39%	0.03	5.6	0.54%	0	0.8	48	0
12	Apr_2_2012	34.89	34.94	34.81	34.97			35.22(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	8	-2	12.07	39%	0	2.2	0.58%	0	0.9	37	0
13	Mar_30_2012	34.89	34.93	34.74	34.89			35.05(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	9	-42	5.37	39%	0	-5.8	0.58%	0	0.4	37	0
14	Mar_29_2012	34.89	34.92	34.71	34.8			34.85(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	5	-69	6.73	39%	0	-16.3	0.58%	0	-0.2	44	0
15	Mar_28_2012	34.89	34.93	34.73	34.75			34.72(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	4	-77	6.67	39%	-0.03	-19.8	0.59%	0	-0.7	45	0

16	Mar_27_2012	34.9	34.94	34.77	34.71			35.01(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	9	-78	4.6	42%	0	-25.6	0.58%	0	0.2	52	0
17	Mar_26_2012	34.9	34.93	34.83	34.62			34.84(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	6	-73	7	42%	0	-33.7	0.59%	0	-0.3	49	0
18	Mar_23_2012	34.9	34.94	34.89	34.56			34.6(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-4	-74	5.18	38%	-0.03	-39.5	0.59%	0	-1.1	42	0
19	Mar_22_2012	34.91	34.97	34.95	34.6			34.59(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-10000	-11	-67	10.25	38%	0	-37.3	0.59%	0	-1.3	44	0
20	Mar_21_2012	34.91	34.99	35	34.71			34.51(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-13	-50	4.36	46%	0.03	-25	0.59%	0	-1.7	42	0

21	Mar_20_2012	34.9	35.01	35.05	34.84			34.58(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-20	-31	6.93	55%	-0.03	-9.5	0.62%	0	-1.7	46	0
22	Mar_19_2012	34.91	35.03	35.09	35.06			34.54(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-13	-10000	-18	3	11.46	55%	0	17.4	0.68%	0	-2	45	0
23	Mar_16_2012	34.91	35.06	35.14	35.27			34.78(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.2	5	-10000	-6	36	7.6	52%	-0.03	50.8	0.68%	0	-1.3	45	0
24	Mar_15_2012	34.92	35.08	35.17	35.34			35.13(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	14	-10000	2	48	6.39	60%	0.03	68.3	0.69%	0	0.2	52	0
25	Mar_14_2012	34.91	35.06	35.15	35.32			35.16(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	14	-10000	3	47	8.63	60%		58.7	0.71%	0	0.5	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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