Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 4, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $35.1500 (-0.14%) ($34.9900 - $35.2200) on Wed. Apr. 4, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $35.1500(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-6%)    TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.09(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.94(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.97(0.51%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2012	34.9	34.97	34.94	35.09			35.15(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	70	7.97	47%	0	12	0.53%	0	0.6	48	0
2	Apr_3_2012	34.9	34.95	34.87	35.01			35.2(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	4	35	5.76	39%	0.03	5.6	0.54%	0	0.8	48	0
3	Apr_2_2012	34.89	34.94	34.81	34.97			35.22(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	8	-2	12.07	39%	0	2.2	0.58%	0	0.9	37	0
4	Mar_30_2012	34.89	34.93	34.74	34.89			35.05(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	9	-42	5.37	39%	0	-5.8	0.58%	0	0.4	37	0
5	Mar_29_2012	34.89	34.92	34.71	34.8			34.85(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	5	-69	6.73	39%	0	-16.3	0.58%	0	-0.2	44	0

6	Mar_28_2012	34.89	34.93	34.73	34.75			34.72(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	4	-77	6.67	39%	-0.03	-19.8	0.59%	0	-0.7	45	0
7	Mar_27_2012	34.9	34.94	34.77	34.71			35.01(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	9	-78	4.6	42%	0	-25.6	0.58%	0	0.2	52	0
8	Mar_26_2012	34.9	34.93	34.83	34.62			34.84(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	6	-73	7	42%	0	-33.7	0.59%	0	-0.3	49	0
9	Mar_23_2012	34.9	34.94	34.89	34.56			34.6(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-4	-74	5.18	38%	-0.03	-39.5	0.59%	0	-1.1	42	0
10	Mar_22_2012	34.91	34.97	34.95	34.6			34.59(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-10000	-11	-67	10.25	38%	0	-37.3	0.59%	0	-1.3	44	0

11	Mar_21_2012	34.91	34.99	35	34.71			34.51(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-13	-50	4.36	46%	0.03	-25	0.59%	0	-1.7	42	0
12	Mar_20_2012	34.9	35.01	35.05	34.84			34.58(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-20	-31	6.93	55%	-0.03	-9.5	0.62%	0	-1.7	46	0
13	Mar_19_2012	34.91	35.03	35.09	35.06			34.54(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-13	-10000	-18	3	11.46	55%	0	17.4	0.68%	0	-2	45	0
14	Mar_16_2012	34.91	35.06	35.14	35.27			34.78(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.2	5	-10000	-6	36	7.6	52%	-0.03	50.8	0.68%	0	-1.3	45	0
15	Mar_15_2012	34.92	35.08	35.17	35.34			35.13(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	14	-10000	2	48	6.39	60%	0.03	68.3	0.69%	0	0.2	52	0

16	Mar_14_2012	34.91	35.06	35.15	35.32			35.16(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	14	-10000	3	47	8.63	60%	0.03	58.7	0.71%	0	0.5	57	0
17	Mar_13_2012	34.9	35.04	35.13	35.28			35.69(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	21	-10000	13	44	6.16	66%	0.03	47	0.69%	0	2.8	72	0
18	Mar_12_2012	34.89	34.99	35.04	35.12			35.57(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	12	-10000	9	21	8.02	66%	0.03	39.2	0.69%	0	3.2	71	0
19	Mar_9_2012	34.88	34.95	34.99	35.01			35.17(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	4	-10000	3	5	3.89	67%	0	32.4	0.68%	0	1.8	53	0
20	Mar_8_2012	34.88	34.95	34.98	34.97			35.03(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	1	-1	5.52	60%	0.03	32.3	0.7%	0	0.9	47	0

21	Mar_7_2012	34.87	34.95	34.98	34.96			34.92(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	1	-10000	1	2	6.24	60%	0.03	35.5	0.72%	0	-0.1	60	0
22	Mar_6_2012	34.86	34.93	34.98	34.96			34.9(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	1	-10000	0	5	7.34	60%	0.03	45.2	0.72%	0	-0.3	56	0
23	Mar_5_2012	34.85	34.92	34.98	34.95			35.04(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	1	-10000	-1	8	4.67	60%	0.06	47.1	0.72%	0	1	62	0
24	Mar_2_2012	34.83	34.91	34.97	34.96			34.96(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-2	14	4.87	60%	0.03	52.9	0.73%	0	0.4	58	0
25	Mar_1_2012	34.82	34.9	34.98	34.98			34.98(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	1	23	5.53	60%		44.1	0.74%	0	0.7	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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