Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 15, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $35.1300 (-0.09%) ($34.9500 - $35.2900) on Thu. Mar. 15, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $35.1300(-0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.34(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.17(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.08(0.14%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.6% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2012	34.92	35.08	35.17	35.34			35.13(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	14	-10000	2	48	6.39	60%	0.03	68.3	0.69%	0	0.2	52	0
2	Mar_14_2012	34.91	35.06	35.15	35.32			35.16(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	14	-10000	3	47	8.63	60%	0.03	58.7	0.71%	0	0.5	57	0
3	Mar_13_2012	34.9	35.04	35.13	35.28			35.69(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	21	-10000	13	44	6.16	66%	0.03	47	0.69%	0	2.8	72	0
4	Mar_12_2012	34.89	34.99	35.04	35.12			35.57(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	12	-10000	9	21	8.02	66%	0.03	39.2	0.69%	0	3.2	71	0
5	Mar_9_2012	34.88	34.95	34.99	35.01			35.17(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	4	-10000	3	5	3.89	67%	0	32.4	0.68%	0	1.8	53	0

6	Mar_8_2012	34.88	34.95	34.98	34.97			35.03(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	1	-1	5.52	60%	0.03	32.3	0.7%	0	0.9	47	0
7	Mar_7_2012	34.87	34.95	34.98	34.96			34.92(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	1	-10000	1	2	6.24	60%	0.03	35.5	0.72%	0	-0.1	60	0
8	Mar_6_2012	34.86	34.93	34.98	34.96			34.9(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	1	-10000	0	5	7.34	60%	0.03	45.2	0.72%	0	-0.3	56	0
9	Mar_5_2012	34.85	34.92	34.98	34.95			35.04(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	1	-10000	-1	8	4.67	60%	0.06	47.1	0.72%	0	1	62	0
10	Mar_2_2012	34.83	34.91	34.97	34.96			34.96(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-2	14	4.87	60%	0.03	52.9	0.73%	0	0.4	58	0

11	Mar_1_2012	34.82	34.9	34.98	34.98			34.98(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	1	23	5.53	60%	0.03	44.1	0.74%	0	0.7	55	0
12	Feb_29_2012	34.81	34.89	34.96	34.97			34.89(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-1	14	6.14	67%	0.03	32.4	0.82%	0	0	47	0
13	Feb_28_2012	34.8	34.88	34.95	34.97			34.9(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	3	-10000	0	13	6.83	69%	0.03	40.5	0.83%	0	0.2	49	0
14	Feb_27_2012	34.79	34.86	34.94	34.97			35.07(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	0	15	4.69	69%	0.06	30.2	0.84%	0	1.4	65	0
15	Feb_24_2012	34.77	34.86	34.91	34.97			35.08(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	0	14	3.33	69%	0.06	32.6	0.84%	0	1.5	58	0

16	Feb_23_2012	34.75	34.86	34.91	34.99			34.93(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10000	3	18	4.84	64%	0.06	51.2	0.85%	0	0.5	57	0
17	Feb_22_2012	34.73	34.85	34.91	34.94			34.96(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	3	16	4.57	60%	0.09	45.7	0.87%	0	0.7	55	0
18	Feb_21_2012	34.7	34.83	34.89	34.9			34.92(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	16	5.92	57%	0.09	25	0.89%	0	0.5	59	0
19	Feb_17_2012	34.67	34.82	34.86	34.87			35.05(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	3	16	4.63	57%	0.03	17.3	0.9%	0	1.3	68	0
20	Feb_16_2012	34.66	34.8	34.84	34.82			35.07(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6	-10000	3	13	7.38	54%	0.06	1.9	0.9%	0	1.5	59	0

21	Feb_15_2012	34.64	34.77	34.8	34.78			34.7(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10000	-3	-1	7.35	52%	0.03	-15.2	0.9%	0	-0.4	37	0
22	Feb_14_2012	34.63	34.77	34.82	34.83			34.77(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-2	1	5.59	52%	0.03	-15.2	0.9%	0	-0.1	43	0
23	Feb_13_2012	34.62	34.78	34.81	34.87			34.76(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	-10000	1	9	6.71	52%	0.03	-14.3	0.92%	0	-0.1	57	0
24	Feb_10_2012	34.61	34.78	34.79	34.85			34.8(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-1	3	4.56	55%	0.06	-20.4	0.93%	0	0.1	51	0
25	Feb_9_2012	34.59	34.79	34.78	34.86			34.87(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	2	7	6.86	50%		-26.5	0.94%	0	0.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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