Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 1, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $34.9800 (0.26%) ($34.8500 - $35.1000) on Thu. Mar. 1, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $34.9800(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.98(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.98(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.9(0.23%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.34% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2012	34.82	34.9	34.98	34.98			34.98(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	1	23	5.53	60%	0.03	44.1	0.74%	0	0.7	55	0
2	Feb_29_2012	34.81	34.89	34.96	34.97			34.89(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-1	14	6.14	67%	0.03	32.4	0.82%	0	0	47	0
3	Feb_28_2012	34.8	34.88	34.95	34.97			34.9(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	3	-10000	0	13	6.83	69%	0.03	40.5	0.83%	0	0.2	49	0
4	Feb_27_2012	34.79	34.86	34.94	34.97			35.07(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	0	15	4.69	69%	0.06	30.2	0.84%	0	1.4	65	0
5	Feb_24_2012	34.77	34.86	34.91	34.97			35.08(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	0	14	3.33	69%	0.06	32.6	0.84%	0	1.5	58	0

6	Feb_23_2012	34.75	34.86	34.91	34.99			34.93(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10000	3	18	4.84	64%	0.06	51.2	0.85%	0	0.5	57	0
7	Feb_22_2012	34.73	34.85	34.91	34.94			34.96(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	3	16	4.57	60%	0.09	45.7	0.87%	0	0.7	55	0
8	Feb_21_2012	34.7	34.83	34.89	34.9			34.92(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	16	5.92	57%	0.09	25	0.89%	0	0.5	59	0
9	Feb_17_2012	34.67	34.82	34.86	34.87			35.05(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	3	16	4.63	57%	0.03	17.3	0.9%	0	1.3	68	0
10	Feb_16_2012	34.66	34.8	34.84	34.82			35.07(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6	-10000	3	13	7.38	54%	0.06	1.9	0.9%	0	1.5	59	0

11	Feb_15_2012	34.64	34.77	34.8	34.78			34.7(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10000	-3	-1	7.35	52%	0.03	-15.2	0.9%	0	-0.4	37	0
12	Feb_14_2012	34.63	34.77	34.82	34.83			34.77(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-2	1	5.59	52%	0.03	-15.2	0.9%	0	-0.1	43	0
13	Feb_13_2012	34.62	34.78	34.81	34.87			34.76(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	-10000	1	9	6.71	52%	0.03	-14.3	0.92%	0	-0.1	57	0
14	Feb_10_2012	34.61	34.78	34.79	34.85			34.8(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-1	3	4.56	55%	0.06	-20.4	0.93%	0	0.1	51	0
15	Feb_9_2012	34.59	34.79	34.78	34.86			34.87(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	2	7	6.86	50%	0.03	-26.5	0.94%	0	0.5	55	0

16	Feb_8_2012	34.58	34.79	34.8	34.83			34.97(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	2	13	6.42	50%	0.03	-36.7	0.98%	0	1	58	0
17	Feb_7_2012	34.57	34.8	34.81	34.8			34.93(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	3	13	6.93	50%	0.03	-43.6	0.98%	0	0.7	51	0
18	Feb_6_2012	34.56	34.81	34.76	34.75			34.68(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	-10000	2	2	6.08	50%	0.03	-72.7	0.98%	0	-0.7	47	0
19	Feb_3_2012	34.55	34.82	34.77	34.71			34.83(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	1	-4	9.23	50%	0.03	-105.5	0.98%	0	0.1	48	0
20	Feb_2_2012	34.54	34.84	34.75	34.69			34.74(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-5	-13	8.04	53%	0.03	-116.7	0.99%	0	-0.5	46	0

21	Feb_1_2012	34.53	34.86	34.73	34.78			34.8(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-2	-10	8.2	50%	0.06	-120.6	1.01%	0	-0.3	46	0
22	Jan_31_2012	34.51	34.88	34.74	34.82			34.68(0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	2	-8	7.36	50%	0.03	-114.5	1.05%	0	-0.8	40	0
23	Jan_30_2012	34.5	34.94	34.75	34.78			34.51(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-3	-17	9.48	50%	0.06	-113	1.05%	0	-1.8	38	0
24	Jan_27_2012	34.48	35.03	34.79	34.83			34.73(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	-10000	1	-13	8.1	53%	0.03	-72.5	1.05%	0	-0.9	43	0
25	Jan_26_2012	34.47	35.08	34.81	34.81			35.16(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	6	-18	7.35	55%		-46.7	1.08%	0	0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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