Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 7, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $34.9300 (0.72%) ($34.5000 - $35.0400) on Tue. Feb. 7, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $34.9300(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(55%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(1%)    IGOV(6%)    USO(11%)    TIP(13%)    SHY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.8(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.81(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.8(0.37%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.55% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2012	34.57	34.8	34.81	34.8			34.93(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	3	13	6.93	50%	0.03	-43.6	0.98%	0	0.7	51	0
2	Feb_6_2012	34.56	34.81	34.76	34.75			34.68(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	-10000	2	2	6.08	50%	0.03	-72.7	0.98%	0	-0.7	47	0
3	Feb_3_2012	34.55	34.82	34.77	34.71			34.83(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	1	-4	9.23	50%	0.03	-105.5	0.98%	0	0.1	48	0
4	Feb_2_2012	34.54	34.84	34.75	34.69			34.74(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-5	-13	8.04	53%	0.03	-116.7	0.99%	0	-0.5	46	0
5	Feb_1_2012	34.53	34.86	34.73	34.78			34.8(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-2	-10	8.2	50%	0.06	-120.6	1.01%	0	-0.3	46	0

6	Jan_31_2012	34.51	34.88	34.74	34.82			34.68(0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	2	-8	7.36	50%	0.03	-114.5	1.05%	0	-0.8	40	0
7	Jan_30_2012	34.5	34.94	34.75	34.78			34.51(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-3	-17	9.48	50%	0.06	-113	1.05%	0	-1.8	38	0
8	Jan_27_2012	34.48	35.03	34.79	34.83			34.73(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	-10000	1	-13	8.1	53%	0.03	-72.5	1.05%	0	-0.9	43	0
9	Jan_26_2012	34.47	35.08	34.81	34.81			35.16(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	6	-18	7.35	55%	0.06	-46.7	1.08%	0	0.2	46	0
10	Jan_25_2012	34.45	35.13	34.81	34.69			35.04(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	2	-33	12.93	55%	0.06	-32.8	1.08%	0	-0.2	45	0

11	Jan_24_2012	34.43	35.16	34.79	34.65			34.47(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-14	-10000	-4	-43	5	53%	0	-20.9	1.07%	0	-1.3	22	0
12	Jan_23_2012	34.43	35.22	34.85	34.73			34.75(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-1	-48	24.4	53%	0.03	-12.7	1.07%	0	-0.9	17	0
13	Jan_20_2012	34.42	35.26	34.88	34.75			34.61(0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-18	-10000	-3	-64	6.34	55%	0.03	-3.4	1.09%	0	-1.3	10	0
14	Jan_19_2012	34.41	35.26	34.94	34.81			34.56(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-21	-10000	-4	-71	7.63	55%	0.03	2.2	1.09%	0	-1.5	21	0
15	Jan_18_2012	34.4	35.28	35	34.89			34.85(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-22	-10000	-3	-78	5.94	55%	0.03	3.1	1.08%	0	-0.9	21	0

16	Jan_17_2012	34.39	35.27	35.04	34.95			34.86(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-2	-81	6.64	55%	0.09	1.6	1.09%	0	-0.9	32	0
17	Jan_13_2012	34.36	35.28	35.15	34.99			34.89(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-2	-73	6.02	55%	0.06	8.2	1.09%	0	-0.8	39	0
18	Jan_12_2012	34.34	35.27	35.28	35.02			34.91(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-3	-63	6.01	55%	0.03	5.5	1.09%	0	-0.7	40	0
19	Jan_11_2012	34.33	35.28	35.38	35.08			34.96(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-45	6.16	55%	0.06	6	1.09%	0	-0.6	52	0
20	Jan_10_2012	34.31	35.27	35.49	35.11			35.12(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-3	-19	4.51	58%	0.09	5.2	1.09%	0	-0.3	65	0

21	Jan_9_2012	34.28	35.26	35.56	35.16			35.07(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-10000	-9	0	4.53	58%	0.09	9.6	1.12%	0	-0.3	60	0
22	Jan_6_2012	34.25	35.24	35.62	35.34			35.02(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-12	22	7.31	60%	0.09	14.7	1.12%	0	-0.4	52	0
23	Jan_5_2012	34.22	35.25	35.68	35.58			35.21(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-7	58	12.11	60%	0.06	24.7	1.13%	0	-0.1	59	0
24	Jan_4_2012	34.2	35.25	35.67	35.73			35.14(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-9	74	5.78	60%	0.06	39.5	1.13%	0	-0.2	55	0
25	Jan_3_2012	34.18	35.24	35.6	35.92			35.34(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	19	-10000	-4	88	19.19	56%		59.3	1.13%	0	0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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