Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 25, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $34.3400 (-1.12%) ($34.2700 - $34.7400) on Tue. Oct. 25, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $34.3400(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(56%)    JNK(48%)    XAR(47%)    XLK(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-1%)    IGOV(7%)    USO(12%)    TIP(12%)    SHY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.47(-0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.18(0.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.79(1.63%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2011	33.27	33.79	34.18	34.47			34.34(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	2	62	9.68	53%	0.03	44.2	1.53%	0	0.9	74	0
2	Oct_24_2011	33.26	33.76	34.12	34.42			34.73(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	7	74	8.57	53%	0.06	40.4	1.52%	0	1.7	81	0
3	Oct_21_2011	33.24	33.7	34.05	34.24			34.88(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	25	-10000	7	77	7.49	54%	0.03	33.1	1.52%	0	2.3	79	0
4	Oct_20_2011	33.23	33.62	33.89	34.06			34.3(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	5	64	5.66	53%	0.03	21.2	1.52%	0	1.5	57	0
5	Oct_19_2011	33.22	33.56	33.79	33.93			34.11(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	4	48	8.8	53%	0.03	5.5	1.52%	0	1.3	50	0

6	Oct_18_2011	33.21	33.56	33.66	33.84			34.08(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	2	34	10.92	52%	0	0.8	1.52%	0	1.2	56	0
7	Oct_17_2011	33.21	33.54	33.52	33.78			33.84(-0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-2	17	4.73	52%	0.03	7	1.52%	0	0.7	50	0
8	Oct_14_2011	33.2	33.54	33.42	33.82			33.98(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	5	13	9.62	52%	0	16.8	1.52%	0	1	52	0
9	Oct_13_2011	33.2	33.53	33.37	33.7			33.66(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	3	7	7.8	52%	0	21.9	1.52%	0	0.3	53	0
10	Oct_12_2011	33.2	33.54	33.4	33.62			33.66(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	8	14	6.45	52%	0	21.9	1.52%	0	0.3	57	0

11	Oct_11_2011	33.2	33.53	33.4	33.43			33.74(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	-10000	9	-1	12.1	51%	0	9.2	1.52%	0	0.5	50	0
12	Oct_10_2011	33.2	33.51	33.37	33.21			34.05(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	3	-10000	10	-20	6.8	51%	0	-2.3	1.52%	0	1.2	46	0
13	Oct_7_2011	33.2	33.46	33.37	32.96			33.4(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-12	-10000	-2	-43	10.61	49%	-0.03	-20.1	1.5%	0	-0.1	46	0
14	Oct_6_2011	33.21	33.43	33.32	33.01			33.26(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-17	-10000	-6	-48	12.19	49%	-0.03	-25.9	1.5%	0	-0.4	43	0
15	Oct_5_2011	33.22	33.44	33.31	33.16			32.68(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-6	-49	13.08	48%	-0.03	-20.7	1.49%	0	-1.7	38	0

16	Oct_4_2011	33.23	33.49	33.41	33.31			32.66(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-10000	-9	-39	22.27	48%	-0.06	-14.4	1.49%	0	-2	44	0
17	Oct_3_2011	33.25	33.52	33.57	33.54			32.82(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-9	-10000	-7	-13	15.33	48%	-0.03	-5.2	1.5%	0	-1.8	48	0
18	Sep_30_2011	33.26	33.52	33.67	33.71			33.62(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	2	9	10.46	51%	0	11.2	1.48%	0	0.2	57	0
19	Sep_29_2011	33.26	33.55	33.71	33.67			34(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	7	22	12.23	52%	0	15.9	1.47%	0	1.3	64	0
20	Sep_28_2011	33.26	33.54	33.7	33.49			33.46(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-1	12	12.53	50%	0	4.8	1.46%	0	-0.2	50	0

21	Sep_27_2011	33.26	33.55	33.71	33.52			33.8(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	1	-10000	-4	14	9.17	51%	0	18.3	1.46%	0	0.7	53	0
22	Sep_26_2011	33.26	33.54	33.66	33.62			33.68(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-1	23	10.97	51%	0.03	43.3	1.46%	0	0.4	57	0
23	Sep_23_2011	33.25	33.51	33.6	33.64			33.41(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-5	21	12.02	50%	0	50.9	1.46%	0	-0.3	52	0
24	Sep_22_2011	33.25	33.49	33.55	33.76			33.08(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-0	-10000	-7	20	27.63	50%	0	64.6	1.45%	0	-1.1	44	0
25	Sep_21_2011	33.25	33.52	33.6	33.93			33.65(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	9	-10000	1	31	13.77	51%		87.3	1.44%	0	0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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