Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $33.6800 (0.81%) ($33.3300 - $33.7200) on Mon. Sep. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $33.6800(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(56%)    JNK(49%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-2%)    IGOV(8%)    USO(12%)    TIP(12%)    SHY(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.62(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.66(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.54(0.42%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2011	33.26	33.54	33.66	33.62			33.68(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-1	23	10.97	51%	0.03	43.3	1.46%	0	0.4	57	0
2	Sep_23_2011	33.25	33.51	33.6	33.64			33.41(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-5	21	12.02	50%	0	50.9	1.46%	0	-0.3	52	0
3	Sep_22_2011	33.25	33.49	33.55	33.76			33.08(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-0	-10000	-7	20	27.63	50%	0	64.6	1.45%	0	-1.1	44	0
4	Sep_21_2011	33.25	33.52	33.6	33.93			33.65(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	9	-10000	1	31	13.77	51%	0	87.3	1.44%	0	0.4	47	0
5	Sep_20_2011	33.25	33.49	33.58	33.9			34.28(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	8	31	18.21	53%	0.03	83.6	1.42%	0	2	56	0

6	Sep_19_2011	33.24	33.39	33.47	33.7			33.79(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	6	10	7.28	52%	0.03	60.3	1.41%	0	1	51	0
7	Sep_16_2011	33.23	33.32	33.41	33.56			33.98(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	10	5	8.07	53%	0.03	53.6	1.41%	0	1.4	63	0
8	Sep_15_2011	33.22	33.25	33.37	33.32			33.94(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	4	-7	5.91	51%	0.03	46.4	1.41%	0	1.5	61	0
9	Sep_14_2011	33.21	33.2	33.36	33.32			33.52(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-3	-10000	0	-12	7.02	51%	0.03	69.2	1.41%	0	0.7	49	0
10	Sep_13_2011	33.2	33.16	33.37	33.23			33.29(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	1	-3	7.17	51%	0.03	84.2	1.41%	0	0.3	56	0

11	Sep_12_2011	33.19	33.14	33.37	33.2			33.07(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-2	9	7.65	51%	0	109.8	1.41%	0	-0.2	60	0
12	Sep_9_2011	33.19	33.08	33.4	33.24			32.8(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-7	18	14.08	51%	0	92	1.41%	0	-0.5	57	0
13	Sep_8_2011	33.19	33.04	33.44	33.41			33.48(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-4	38	6.84	54%	0.06	93.4	1.39%	0	0.7	61	0
14	Sep_7_2011	33.17	32.91	33.45	33.5			33.5(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10000	-1	54	7.57	54%	0.03	63.7	1.39%	0	0.8	56	0
15	Sep_6_2011	33.16	32.8	33.39	33.53			33.13(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-5	58	11.57	54%	0.09	52.1	1.38%	0	0.4	55	0

16	Sep_2_2011	33.13	32.66	33.32	33.64			33.29(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	3	66	8.91	54%	0.03	33.7	1.37%	0	0.6	57	0
17	Sep_1_2011	33.12	32.59	33.24	33.58			33.67(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	6	72	10.67	52%	0.06	26.4	1.37%	0	1.1	71	0
18	Aug_31_2011	33.1	32.49	33.13	33.45			33.89(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	2	71	9.64	53%	0.09	15.1	1.37%	0	1.4	70	0
19	Aug_30_2011	33.07	32.42	33.04	33.4			33.67(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	7	100	7.75	53%	0.06	9.5	1.37%	0	1.4	77	0
20	Aug_29_2011	33.05	32.36	32.94	33.24			33.66(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	12	111	14.86	53%	0.06	-0.7	1.38%	0	1.5	69	0

21	Aug_26_2011	33.03	32.36	32.84	32.97			33(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	5	124	12.52	51%	0.03	-13	1.36%	0	0.8	72	0
22	Aug_25_2011	33.02	32.33	32.72	32.85			33.05(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	4	115	14.28	51%	0.03	-20	1.36%	0	0.8	57	0
23	Aug_24_2011	33.01	32.34	32.61	32.76			33.6(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	6	117	14.31	53%	0.03	-24.3	1.34%	0	1.4	61	0
24	Aug_23_2011	33	32.33	32.32	32.63			32.89(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	1	82	15.73	49%	0.03	-27.1	1.32%	0	0.6	50	0
25	Aug_22_2011	32.99	32.37	32.15	32.6			32.31(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-5	61	19.82	47%		-24.8	1.3%	0	-0.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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