Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 14, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $33.5200 (0.69%) ($33.0300 - $33.7900) on Wed. Sep. 14, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $33.5200(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(56%)    JNK(49%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    IGOV(8%)    TIP(11%)    USO(12%)    SHY(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.23(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.36(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.2(0.96%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2011	33.21	33.2	33.36				33.52(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-3	-10000	0	-12	7.02	51%	0.03	69.2	1.41%	0	0.7	49	0
2	Sep_13_2011	33.2	33.16	33.37	33.23			33.29(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	1	-3	7.17	51%	0.03	84.2	1.41%	0	0.3	56	0
3	Sep_12_2011	33.19	33.14	33.37	33.2			33.07(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-2	9	7.65	51%	0	109.8	1.41%	0	-0.2	60	0
4	Sep_9_2011	33.19	33.08	33.4	33.24			32.8(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-7	18	14.08	51%	0	92	1.41%	0	-0.5	57	0
5	Sep_8_2011	33.19	33.04	33.44	33.41			33.48(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-4	38	6.84	54%	0.06	93.4	1.39%	0	0.7	61	0

6	Sep_7_2011	33.17	32.91	33.45	33.5			33.5(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10000	-1	54	7.57	54%	0.03	63.7	1.39%	0	0.8	56	0
7	Sep_6_2011	33.16	32.8	33.39	33.53			33.13(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-5	58	11.57	54%	0.09	52.1	1.38%	0	0.4	55	0
8	Sep_2_2011	33.13	32.66	33.32	33.64			33.29(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	3	66	8.91	54%	0.03	33.7	1.37%	0	0.6	57	0
9	Sep_1_2011	33.12	32.59	33.24	33.58			33.67(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	6	72	10.67	52%	0.06	26.4	1.37%	0	1.1	71	0
10	Aug_31_2011	33.1	32.49	33.13	33.45			33.89(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	2	71	9.64	53%	0.09	15.1	1.37%	0	1.4	70	0

11	Aug_30_2011	33.07	32.42	33.04	33.4			33.67(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	7	100	7.75	53%	0.06	9.5	1.37%	0	1.4	77	0
12	Aug_29_2011	33.05	32.36	32.94	33.24			33.66(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	12	111	14.86	53%	0.06	-0.7	1.38%	0	1.5	69	0
13	Aug_26_2011	33.03	32.36	32.84	32.97			33(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	5	124	12.52	51%	0.03	-13	1.36%	0	0.8	72	0
14	Aug_25_2011	33.02	32.33	32.72	32.85			33.05(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	4	115	14.28	51%	0.03	-20	1.36%	0	0.8	57	0
15	Aug_24_2011	33.01	32.34	32.61	32.76			33.6(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	6	117	14.31	53%	0.03	-24.3	1.34%	0	1.4	61	0

16	Aug_23_2011	33	32.33	32.32	32.63			32.89(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	1	82	15.73	49%	0.03	-27.1	1.32%	0	0.6	50	0
17	Aug_22_2011	32.99	32.37	32.15	32.6			32.31(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-5	61	19.82	47%	0	-24.8	1.3%	0	-0.1	48	0
18	Aug_19_2011	32.99	32.44	31.96	32.7			32.39(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	7	34	15.17	47%	0.03	-17.9	1.3%	0	-0	44	0
19	Aug_18_2011	32.98	32.51	31.9	32.56			32.59(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	7	6	22.51	47%	0	-19	1.3%	0	0.1	46	0
20	Aug_17_2011	32.98	32.57	31.8	32.42			32.98(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	-10000	23	-23	13.99	47%	0.06	-19.2	1.29%	0	0.4	46	0

21	Aug_16_2011	32.96	32.59	31.75	31.94			32.74(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	15	-79	11.3	47%	0.03	-31.1	1.29%	0	0.1	43	0
22	Aug_15_2011	32.95	32.62	31.72	31.63			32.78(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-10000	25	-116	27.84	47%	0.06	-39.7	1.29%	0	0.1	43	0
23	Aug_12_2011	32.93	32.63	31.74	31.12			31.7(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-48	-10000	-2	-187	9.7	43%	0	-54.1	1.22%	0	-0.8	35	0
24	Aug_11_2011	32.93	32.71	31.87	31.15			31.89(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-46	-10000	3	-192	17.47	43%	0.03	-56	1.23%	0	-0.7	37	0
25	Aug_10_2011	32.92	32.78	32.02	31.1			30.6(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-78	-10000	-24	-241	16.84	39%		-60.4	1.1%	0	-2	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.