Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 8, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $30.2000 (-5.3%) ($30.0800 - $31.7200) on Mon. Aug. 8, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $30.2000(-5.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(57%)    JNK(50%)    XLY(48%)    XLK(47%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-5%)    IGOV(8%)    TIP(9%)    SHY(12%)    USO(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.05(-10.43%)
Resistance Level   $33.06
5 Day Moving Average   $31.82(-5.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.6(-7.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.06(-8.65%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.66% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2011	32.93	33.06	32.6	31.82			30.2(-5.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-77	-10000	-38	-193	17.83	34%	-0.03	-56.4	1.01%	0	-3.3	24	0
2	Aug_5_2011	32.94	33.24	32.99	32.44			31.89(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-10000	-19	-146	21.97	41%	0.03	-59.1	0.78%	0	-2.3	39	0
3	Aug_4_2011	32.93	33.34	33.19	32.69			31.63(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-51	-10000	-30	-112	17.03	38%	0.03	-52.2	0.77%	0	-3.2	32	0
4	Aug_3_2011	32.92	33.46	33.44	33.07			32.7(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-27	-10000	-18	-52	12.98	45%	0.03	-42.6	0.66%	0	-2.1	43	0
5	Aug_2_2011	32.91	33.51	33.53	33.27			32.7(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-21	-10000	-21	-21	9.37	45%	0.03	-23.2	0.67%	0	-2.5	41	0

6	Aug_1_2011	32.9	33.56	33.61	33.5			33.27(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-10000	-12	12	7.55	49%	0	6.3	0.63%	0	-1.1	46	0
7	Jul_29_2011	32.9	33.6	33.59	33.63			33.17(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-3	-10000	-12	25	10.2	49%	0.03	38.8	0.63%	0	-1.6	48	0
8	Jul_28_2011	32.89	33.6	33.62	33.76			33.51(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-10	38	5.64	54%	0.03	70.3	0.62%	0	-0.4	45	0
9	Jul_27_2011	32.88	33.61	33.6	33.87			33.72(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	14	-10000	4	44	13.82	58%	0.03	90.5	0.63%	0	0.4	46	0
10	Jul_26_2011	32.87	33.59	33.58	33.83			33.82(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	10	34	4.82	60%	0.06	81.3	0.63%	0	0.9	50	0

11	Jul_25_2011	32.85	33.55	33.55	33.73			33.94(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	17	18	4.89	60%	0.06	65.1	0.64%	0	1.3	53	0
12	Jul_22_2011	32.83	33.49	33.49	33.55			33.82(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	9	-25	4.43	60%	0.03	41.9	0.63%	0	1.1	47	0
13	Jul_21_2011	32.82	33.44	33.48	33.46			34.03(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	14	-32	7.55	60%	0.09	24.8	0.63%	0	1.7	58	0
14	Jul_20_2011	32.79	33.39	33.45	33.31			33.53(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	1	-50	3.63	59%	0.03	16.2	0.61%	0	0.4	53	0
15	Jul_19_2011	32.78	33.37	33.47	33.3			33.33(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-4	-39	8.02	59%	0.06	15.2	0.62%	0	-0.1	54	0

16	Jul_18_2011	32.76	33.37	33.51	33.34			33.04(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-8	-19	6.54	55%	0.03	19.2	0.61%	0	-1	53	0
17	Jul_15_2011	32.75	33.36	33.59	33.42			33.36(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-8	21	6.03	60%	0.06	25.5	0.61%	0	0	64	0
18	Jul_14_2011	32.73	33.35	33.61	33.5			33.31(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-10	54	7.4	60%	0.03	31.4	0.63%	0	-0.1	66	0
19	Jul_13_2011	32.72	33.33	33.62	33.61			33.46(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-6	86	4.46	60%	0.06	34.3	0.63%	0	0.4	61	0
20	Jul_12_2011	32.7	33.32	33.6	33.67			33.55(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-3	100	6.08	60%	0.03	41.7	0.62%	0	0.6	57	0

21	Jul_11_2011	32.69	33.3	33.56	33.7			33.4(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	19	-10000	-9	101	7.47	56%	0.06	46.7	0.62%	0	0.3	55	0
22	Jul_8_2011	32.67	33.28	33.51	33.79			33.76(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	5	118	5.93	59%	0.06	50.9	0.63%	0	1.3	66	0
23	Jul_7_2011	32.65	33.25	33.41	33.74			33.89(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	10	104	7.83	59%	0.06	46.1	0.63%	0	1.9	65	0
24	Jul_6_2011	32.63	33.21	33.31	33.64			33.75(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	10	94	4.05	61%	0.06	38.9	0.63%	0	1.8	68	0
25	Jul_5_2011	32.61	33.17	33.25	33.53			33.68(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	12	76	5.96	61%		17.9	0.64%	0	1.8	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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