Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 14, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $33.2500 (0.39%) ($33.0400 - $33.4000) on Tue. Jun. 14, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $33.2500(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(57%)    JNK(50%)    XLY(48%)    XLK(47%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-5%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(12%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.04(-6.65%)
Resistance Level   $33.51
5 Day Moving Average   $33.14(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.19(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.51(-0.78%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2011	32.43	33.51	33.19	33.14			33.25(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	4	-69	7.12	57%	0.03	-48.7	0.68%	0	-0.6	36	0
2	Jun_13_2011	32.42	33.55	33.24	33.1			33.12(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	-10000	1	-71	5.19	57%	0.03	-45.4	0.7%	0	-1.1	31	0
3	Jun_10_2011	32.41	33.59	33.29	33.09			32.97(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-24	-10000	-3	-88	8.34	54%	0.03	-41.4	0.7%	0	-1.6	20	0
4	Jun_9_2011	32.4	33.64	33.36	33.13			33.19(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-4	-95	5.69	56%	0.06	-28.3	0.71%	0	-1.2	21	0
5	Jun_8_2011	32.38	33.67	33.4	33.18			33.16(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-6	-100	8.01	58%	0.03	-21.5	0.72%	0	-1.4	24	0

6	Jun_7_2011	32.37	33.71	33.45	33.25			33.08(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-13	-105	10.15	58%	0.03	-10.9	0.73%	0	-1.9	20	0
7	Jun_6_2011	32.36	33.73	33.52	33.41			33.04(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-9	-88	5.29	58%	0.03	5.3	0.73%	0	-2.2	30	0
8	Jun_3_2011	32.35	33.73	33.63	33.52			33.19(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-10000	-7	-69	6.09	58%	0.06	18.6	0.73%	0	-1.9	33	0
9	Jun_2_2011	32.33	33.73	33.73	33.61			33.42(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-3	-54	6.2	58%	0.06	27	0.74%	0	-1.1	34	0
10	Jun_1_2011	32.31	33.73	33.8	33.65			33.52(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-3	-42	7.17	56%	0.06	38	0.74%	0	-0.7	47	0

11	May_31_2011	32.29	33.75	33.86	33.69			33.87(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	2	-29	6.38	60%	0.09	53.3	0.73%	0	0.4	51	0
12	May_27_2011	32.26	33.71	33.87	33.66			33.62(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-10000	-8	-23	4.5	59%	0.06	57.7	0.74%	0	-0.3	59	0
13	May_26_2011	32.24	33.69	33.9	33.76			33.62(-0.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-6	-10000	-9	3	3.8	59%	0.09	73.6	0.75%	0	-0.2	61	0
14	May_25_2011	32.21	33.67	33.95	33.87			33.63(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-7	38	6.27	60%	0.06	84.4	0.76%	0	-0.1	64	0
15	May_24_2011	32.19	33.63	33.97	33.96			33.7(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-8	59	4.46	60%	0.06	89.3	0.76%	0	0.1	59	0

16	May_23_2011	32.17	33.58	33.99	34.06			33.73(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-4	85	6.02	60%	0.06	90.1	0.76%	0	0.3	58	0
17	May_20_2011	32.15	33.51	33.96	34.11			34.13(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	4	104	4.47	62%	0.09	93.9	0.74%	0	1.1	71	0
18	May_19_2011	32.12	33.42	33.88	34.06			34.17(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	2	101	3.2	62%	0.09	89.8	0.75%	0	1.3	72	0
19	May_18_2011	32.09	33.33	33.77	34.04			34.09(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	6	102	5.45	62%	0.09	92.3	0.75%	0	1.2	72	0
20	May_17_2011	32.06	33.22	33.7	33.97			34.2(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	6	106	8.71	62%	0.09	85.4	0.75%	0	1.5	78	0

21	May_16_2011	32.03	33.1	33.61	33.9			33.95(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	37	-10000	10	119	8.11	62%	0.03	82.9	0.75%	0	1.3	79	0
22	May_13_2011	32.02	33.01	33.54	33.78			33.91(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	10	127	6.91	61%	0.09	79.6	0.74%	0	1.3	81	0
23	May_12_2011	31.99	32.9	33.46	33.66			34.07(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	16	134	5.89	61%	0.09	71.9	0.75%	0	1.7	86	0
24	May_11_2011	31.96	32.77	33.36	33.46			33.73(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	6	127	4.1	59%	0.09	60.2	0.74%	0	1.4	84	0
25	May_10_2011	31.93	32.66	33.27	33.39			33.84(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	8	143	8.58	59%		53.7	0.74%	0	1.7	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.