Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $33.0800 (0.12%) ($33.0700 - $33.3900) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $33.0800(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(57%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-5%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(12%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $33.71
5 Day Moving Average   $33.25(-0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.45(-1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.71(-1.87%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2011	32.37	33.71	33.45	33.25			33.08(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-13	-105	10.15	58%	0.03	-10.9	0.73%	0	-1.9	20	0
2	Jun_6_2011	32.36	33.73	33.52	33.41			33.04(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-9	-88	5.29	58%	0.03	5.3	0.73%	0	-2.2	30	0
3	Jun_3_2011	32.35	33.73	33.63	33.52			33.19(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-10000	-7	-69	6.09	58%	0.06	18.6	0.73%	0	-1.9	33	0
4	Jun_2_2011	32.33	33.73	33.73	33.61			33.42(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-3	-54	6.2	58%	0.06	27	0.74%	0	-1.1	34	0
5	Jun_1_2011	32.31	33.73	33.8	33.65			33.52(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-3	-42	7.17	56%	0.06	38	0.74%	0	-0.7	47	0

6	May_31_2011	32.29	33.75	33.86	33.69			33.87(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	2	-29	6.38	60%	0.09	53.3	0.73%	0	0.4	51	0
7	May_27_2011	32.26	33.71	33.87	33.66			33.62(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-10000	-8	-23	4.5	59%	0.06	57.7	0.74%	0	-0.3	59	0
8	May_26_2011	32.24	33.69	33.9	33.76			33.62(-0.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-6	-10000	-9	3	3.8	59%	0.09	73.6	0.75%	0	-0.2	61	0
9	May_25_2011	32.21	33.67	33.95	33.87			33.63(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-7	38	6.27	60%	0.06	84.4	0.76%	0	-0.1	64	0
10	May_24_2011	32.19	33.63	33.97	33.96			33.7(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-8	59	4.46	60%	0.06	89.3	0.76%	0	0.1	59	0

11	May_23_2011	32.17	33.58	33.99	34.06			33.73(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-4	85	6.02	60%	0.06	90.1	0.76%	0	0.3	58	0
12	May_20_2011	32.15	33.51	33.96	34.11			34.13(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	4	104	4.47	62%	0.09	93.9	0.74%	0	1.1	71	0
13	May_19_2011	32.12	33.42	33.88	34.06			34.17(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	2	101	3.2	62%	0.09	89.8	0.75%	0	1.3	72	0
14	May_18_2011	32.09	33.33	33.77	34.04			34.09(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	6	102	5.45	62%	0.09	92.3	0.75%	0	1.2	72	0
15	May_17_2011	32.06	33.22	33.7	33.97			34.2(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	6	106	8.71	62%	0.09	85.4	0.75%	0	1.5	78	0

16	May_16_2011	32.03	33.1	33.61	33.9			33.95(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	37	-10000	10	119	8.11	62%	0.03	82.9	0.75%	0	1.3	79	0
17	May_13_2011	32.02	33.01	33.54	33.78			33.91(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	10	127	6.91	61%	0.09	79.6	0.74%	0	1.3	81	0
18	May_12_2011	31.99	32.9	33.46	33.66			34.07(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	16	134	5.89	61%	0.09	71.9	0.75%	0	1.7	86	0
19	May_11_2011	31.96	32.77	33.36	33.46			33.73(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	6	127	4.1	59%	0.09	60.2	0.74%	0	1.4	84	0
20	May_10_2011	31.93	32.66	33.27	33.39			33.84(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	8	143	8.58	59%	0.06	53.7	0.74%	0	1.7	90	0

21	May_9_2011	31.91	32.55	33.14	33.29			33.36(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	3	152	3.92	57%	0.09	48.3	0.72%	0	1.2	88	0
22	May_6_2011	31.88	32.47	33.03	33.26			33.29(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	42	-10000	3	157	5.74	58%	0.06	47.8	0.71%	0	1.2	76	0
23	May_5_2011	31.86	32.41	32.93	33.26			33.1(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-10000	0	165	5.73	58%	0.06	51	0.72%	0	1.1	78	0
24	May_4_2011	31.84	32.36	32.85	33.23			33.34(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	9	191	8.65	58%	0.06	54.5	0.71%	0	1.6	86	0
25	May_3_2011	31.82	32.29	32.7	33.12			33.38(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	-10000	14	188	16.42	58%		56.5	0.72%	0	1.9	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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