Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 23, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $33.7300 (-1.17%) ($33.7200 - $34.0900) on Mon. May. 23, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $33.7300(-1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(57%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-5%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(12%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.06(-0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.99(-0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.58(0.45%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2011	32.17	33.58	33.99	34.06			33.73(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-4	85	6.02	60%	0.06	90.1	0.76%	0	0.3	58	0
2	May_20_2011	32.15	33.51	33.96	34.11			34.13(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	4	104	4.47	62%	0.09	93.9	0.74%	0	1.1	71	0
3	May_19_2011	32.12	33.42	33.88	34.06			34.17(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	2	101	3.2	62%	0.09	89.8	0.75%	0	1.3	72	0
4	May_18_2011	32.09	33.33	33.77	34.04			34.09(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	6	102	5.45	62%	0.09	92.3	0.75%	0	1.2	72	0
5	May_17_2011	32.06	33.22	33.7	33.97			34.2(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	6	106	8.71	62%	0.09	85.4	0.75%	0	1.5	78	0

6	May_16_2011	32.03	33.1	33.61	33.9			33.95(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	37	-10000	10	119	8.11	62%	0.03	82.9	0.75%	0	1.3	79	0
7	May_13_2011	32.02	33.01	33.54	33.78			33.91(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	10	127	6.91	61%	0.09	79.6	0.74%	0	1.3	81	0
8	May_12_2011	31.99	32.9	33.46	33.66			34.07(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	16	134	5.89	61%	0.09	71.9	0.75%	0	1.7	86	0
9	May_11_2011	31.96	32.77	33.36	33.46			33.73(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	6	127	4.1	59%	0.09	60.2	0.74%	0	1.4	84	0
10	May_10_2011	31.93	32.66	33.27	33.39			33.84(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	8	143	8.58	59%	0.06	53.7	0.74%	0	1.7	90	0

11	May_9_2011	31.91	32.55	33.14	33.29			33.36(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	3	152	3.92	57%	0.09	48.3	0.72%	0	1.2	88	0
12	May_6_2011	31.88	32.47	33.03	33.26			33.29(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	42	-10000	3	157	5.74	58%	0.06	47.8	0.71%	0	1.2	76	0
13	May_5_2011	31.86	32.41	32.93	33.26			33.1(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-10000	0	165	5.73	58%	0.06	51	0.72%	0	1.1	78	0
14	May_4_2011	31.84	32.36	32.85	33.23			33.34(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	9	191	8.65	58%	0.06	54.5	0.71%	0	1.6	86	0
15	May_3_2011	31.82	32.29	32.7	33.12			33.38(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	-10000	14	188	16.42	58%	0.06	56.5	0.72%	0	1.9	88	0

16	May_2_2011	31.8	32.22	32.55	32.95			33.17(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	-10000	15	174	5.55	58%	0.06	63.9	0.72%	0	1.9	83	0
17	Apr_29_2011	31.78	32.16	32.44	32.77			33.16(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	50	-10000	15	155	8.74	60%	0.06	67.1	0.72%	0	2.2	69	0
18	Apr_28_2011	31.76	32.09	32.29	32.59			33.09(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	41	-10000	14	121	6.76	57%	0.06	70.5	0.73%	0	2.6	65	0
19	Apr_27_2011	31.74	32.03	32.14	32.42			32.8(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	16	84	6.11	55%	0.06	82	0.74%	0	2.4	58	0
20	Apr_26_2011	31.72	31.97	32	32.23			32.54(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	13	46	5.28	54%	0.06	83.3	0.73%	0	2.1	59	0

21	Apr_25_2011	31.7	31.91	31.9	32.08			32.28(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	2	9	2.51	53%	0.03	67	0.73%	0	1.3	52	0
22	Apr_21_2011	31.69	31.86	31.87	32.05			32.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	7	-10000	8	3	4.07	54%	0.03	67	0.73%	0	1.3	51	0
23	Apr_20_2011	31.68	31.82	31.84	31.95			32.24(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	-10000	12	-5	5.87	55%	0.06	64.9	0.73%	0	1.4	56	0
24	Apr_19_2011	31.66	31.77	31.83	31.81			31.83(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	6	-22	5.66	53%	0.03	56.4	0.72%	0	0.2	48	0
25	Apr_18_2011	31.65	31.75	31.84	31.74			31.82(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	4	-24	7.15	53%		44.6	0.72%	0	0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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