Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $33.1700 (0.03%) ($33.1200 - $33.3200) on Mon. May. 2, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $33.1700(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(57%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-5%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(12%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.95(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.55(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.22(2.95%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2011	31.8	32.22	32.55	32.95			33.17(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	-10000	15	174	5.55	58%	0.06	63.9	0.72%	0	1.9	83	0
2	Apr_29_2011	31.78	32.16	32.44	32.77			33.16(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	50	-10000	15	155	8.74	60%	0.06	67.1	0.72%	0	2.2	69	0
3	Apr_28_2011	31.76	32.09	32.29	32.59			33.09(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	41	-10000	14	121	6.76	57%	0.06	70.5	0.73%	0	2.6	65	0
4	Apr_27_2011	31.74	32.03	32.14	32.42			32.8(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	16	84	6.11	55%	0.06	82	0.74%	0	2.4	58	0
5	Apr_26_2011	31.72	31.97	32	32.23			32.54(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	13	46	5.28	54%	0.06	83.3	0.73%	0	2.1	59	0

6	Apr_25_2011	31.7	31.91	31.9	32.08			32.28(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	2	9	2.51	53%	0.03	67	0.73%	0	1.3	52	0
7	Apr_21_2011	31.69	31.86	31.87	32.05			32.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	7	-10000	8	3	4.07	54%	0.03	67	0.73%	0	1.3	51	0
8	Apr_20_2011	31.68	31.82	31.84	31.95			32.24(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	-10000	12	-5	5.87	55%	0.06	64.9	0.73%	0	1.4	56	0
9	Apr_19_2011	31.66	31.77	31.83	31.81			31.83(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	6	-22	5.66	53%	0.03	56.4	0.72%	0	0.2	48	0
10	Apr_18_2011	31.65	31.75	31.84	31.74			31.82(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	4	-24	7.15	53%	0.03	44.6	0.72%	0	0.2	56	0

11	Apr_15_2011	31.64	31.72	31.84	31.69			32.1(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	2	-14	7.16	55%	0	24.8	0.71%	0	1	66	0
12	Apr_14_2011	31.64	31.66	31.87	31.67			31.75(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-5	-3	5.78	53%	0.03	3.3	0.7%	0	0.2	59	0
13	Apr_13_2011	31.63	31.63	31.88	31.73			31.56(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-10000	-12	15	5.31	53%	0.03	-7.9	0.7%	0	-0.2	56	0
14	Apr_12_2011	31.62	31.63	31.92	31.86			31.48(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-9	53	8.53	53%	0	-19.7	0.7%	0	-0.3	58	0
15	Apr_11_2011	31.62	31.6	31.94	31.96			31.56(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-9	77	9.35	53%	0.03	-23.8	0.7%	0	-0.1	59	0

16	Apr_8_2011	31.61	31.63	31.93	32.06			31.98(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-3	102	5.96	54%	0	-15.2	0.68%	0	0.8	71	0
17	Apr_7_2011	31.61	31.65	31.87	32.09			32.07(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-10000	4	124	5.34	54%	0.03	-8.6	0.68%	0	0.9	79	0
18	Apr_6_2011	31.6	31.66	31.81	32.05			32.2(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	5	131	3.77	54%	0.03	-7.8	0.68%	0	1	77	0
19	Apr_5_2011	31.59	31.68	31.71	32			31.97(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	6	134	4.02	51%	0.03	-2.3	0.68%	0	0.5	75	0
20	Apr_4_2011	31.58	31.68	31.65	31.93			32.1(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	16	124	3.97	51%	0.03	-0.6	0.68%	0	0.7	61	0

21	Apr_1_2011	31.57	31.7	31.56	31.76			32.12(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	13	78	6.18	51%	0	-8.6	0.68%	0	0.8	47	0
22	Mar_31_2011	31.57	31.69	31.43	31.62			31.87(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	9	12	5.5	50%	0.03	-14.1	0.68%	0	0.3	37	0
23	Mar_30_2011	31.56	31.69	31.35	31.52			31.95(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-0	-10000	12	-37	5.6	50%	0	-14.1	0.68%	0	0.4	39	0
24	Mar_29_2011	31.56	31.7	31.25	31.39			31.59(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	6	-111	5.44	47%	0	-20.1	0.66%	0	-0.2	28	0
25	Mar_28_2011	31.56	31.71	31.23	31.33			31.28(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10000	1	-153	4.59	44%		-22.6	0.65%	0	-0.8	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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