Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 11, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.5600 (-1.31%) ($31.4900 - $31.9800) on Mon. Apr. 11, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $31.5600(-1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(57%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-5%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(12%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $31.6
5 Day Moving Average   $31.96(-1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.94(-1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.6(-0.13%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2011	31.62	31.6	31.94	31.96			31.56(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-9	77	9.35	53%	0.03	-23.8	0.7%	0	-0.1	59	0
2	Apr_8_2011	31.61	31.63	31.93	32.06			31.98(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-3	102	5.96	54%	0	-15.2	0.68%	0	0.8	71	0
3	Apr_7_2011	31.61	31.65	31.87	32.09			32.07(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	-10000	4	124	5.34	54%	0.03	-8.6	0.68%	0	0.9	79	0
4	Apr_6_2011	31.6	31.66	31.81	32.05			32.2(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	5	131	3.77	54%	0.03	-7.8	0.68%	0	1	77	0
5	Apr_5_2011	31.59	31.68	31.71	32			31.97(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	6	134	4.02	51%	0.03	-2.3	0.68%	0	0.5	75	0

6	Apr_4_2011	31.58	31.68	31.65	31.93			32.1(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	16	124	3.97	51%	0.03	-0.6	0.68%	0	0.7	61	0
7	Apr_1_2011	31.57	31.7	31.56	31.76			32.12(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	13	78	6.18	51%	0	-8.6	0.68%	0	0.8	47	0
8	Mar_31_2011	31.57	31.69	31.43	31.62			31.87(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	9	12	5.5	50%	0.03	-14.1	0.68%	0	0.3	37	0
9	Mar_30_2011	31.56	31.69	31.35	31.52			31.95(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-0	-10000	12	-37	5.6	50%	0	-14.1	0.68%	0	0.4	39	0
10	Mar_29_2011	31.56	31.7	31.25	31.39			31.59(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	6	-111	5.44	47%	0	-20.1	0.66%	0	-0.2	28	0

11	Mar_28_2011	31.56	31.71	31.23	31.33			31.28(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10000	1	-153	4.59	44%	-0.03	-22.6	0.65%	0	-0.8	31	0
12	Mar_25_2011	31.57	31.75	31.3	31.32			31.39(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	10	-155	3.41	44%	-0.03	-22	0.65%	0	-0.7	40	0
13	Mar_24_2011	31.58	31.77	31.4	31.22			31.4(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10000	8	-162	6.2	44%	0	-28.8	0.65%	0	-0.7	42	0
14	Mar_23_2011	31.58	31.78	31.5	31.14			31.27(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	-10000	5	-172	5.62	44%	-0.03	-34.7	0.65%	0	-0.9	38	0
15	Mar_22_2011	31.59	31.81	31.64	31.09			31.29(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-43	-10000	-3	-162	7.27	44%	0	-41.1	0.65%	0	-1	44	0

16	Mar_21_2011	31.59	31.83	31.76	31.12			31.24(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-48	-10000	-16	-144	5.09	44%	0	-39.3	0.66%	0	-1.1	45	0
17	Mar_18_2011	31.59	31.87	31.85	31.29			30.88(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-10000	-33	-131	9.1	41%	-0.03	-31.9	0.63%	0	-1.9	36	0
18	Mar_17_2011	31.6	31.93	31.97	31.62			31.03(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-10000	-28	-70	12.03	40%	-0.03	-18.4	0.64%	0	-2	44	0
19	Mar_16_2011	31.61	31.97	32.1	31.91			30.99(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-29	-10000	-35	-11	15.34	42%	-0.03	-3.2	0.64%	0	-2.5	46	0
20	Mar_15_2011	31.62	32.02	32.2	32.27			31.48(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	0	-10000	-20	61	14.26	44%	0	24.5	0.62%	0	-1.6	50	0

21	Mar_14_2011	31.62	32.04	32.2	32.47			32.09(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	27	-10000	-1	112	18.97	48%	0	41	0.58%	0	0.2	56	0
22	Mar_11_2011	31.62	32.03	32.25	32.48			32.52(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	11	134	5.03	52%	0.03	45	0.55%	0	1.5	60	0
23	Mar_10_2011	31.61	32.01	32.18	32.38			32.45(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	5	110	10.86	52%	0	39.4	0.56%	0	1.5	60	0
24	Mar_9_2011	31.61	31.98	32.09	32.33			32.82(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	45	-10000	23	109	13.11	56%	0.03	39.8	0.53%	0	3	67	0
25	Mar_8_2011	31.6	31.94	31.97	32.13			32.49(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	29	-10000	17	64	6.72	53%		27	0.52%	0	2.8	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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