Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 28, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.2800 (-0.35%) ($31.2800 - $31.5800) on Mon. Mar. 28, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $31.2800(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(58%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-5%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(12%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $31.71
5 Day Moving Average   $31.33(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.23(0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.71(-1.36%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110428

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_28_2011	31.56	31.71	31.23	31.33			31.28(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10000	1	-153	4.59	44%	-0.03	-22.6	0.65%	0	-0.8	31	0
2	Mar_25_2011	31.57	31.75	31.3	31.32			31.39(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	10	-155	3.41	44%	-0.03	-22	0.65%	0	-0.7	40	0
3	Mar_24_2011	31.58	31.77	31.4	31.22			31.4(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10000	8	-162	6.2	44%	0	-28.8	0.65%	0	-0.7	42	0
4	Mar_23_2011	31.58	31.78	31.5	31.14			31.27(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	-10000	5	-172	5.62	44%	-0.03	-34.7	0.65%	0	-0.9	38	0
5	Mar_22_2011	31.59	31.81	31.64	31.09			31.29(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-43	-10000	-3	-162	7.27	44%	0	-41.1	0.65%	0	-1	44	0

6	Mar_21_2011	31.59	31.83	31.76	31.12			31.24(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-48	-10000	-16	-144	5.09	44%	0	-39.3	0.66%	0	-1.1	45	0
7	Mar_18_2011	31.59	31.87	31.85	31.29			30.88(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-10000	-33	-131	9.1	41%	-0.03	-31.9	0.63%	0	-1.9	36	0
8	Mar_17_2011	31.6	31.93	31.97	31.62			31.03(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-10000	-28	-70	12.03	40%	-0.03	-18.4	0.64%	0	-2	44	0
9	Mar_16_2011	31.61	31.97	32.1	31.91			30.99(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-29	-10000	-35	-11	15.34	42%	-0.03	-3.2	0.64%	0	-2.5	46	0
10	Mar_15_2011	31.62	32.02	32.2	32.27			31.48(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	0	-10000	-20	61	14.26	44%	0	24.5	0.62%	0	-1.6	50	0

11	Mar_14_2011	31.62	32.04	32.2	32.47			32.09(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	27	-10000	-1	112	18.97	48%	0	41	0.58%	0	0.2	56	0
12	Mar_11_2011	31.62	32.03	32.25	32.48			32.52(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	11	134	5.03	52%	0.03	45	0.55%	0	1.5	60	0
13	Mar_10_2011	31.61	32.01	32.18	32.38			32.45(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	5	110	10.86	52%	0	39.4	0.56%	0	1.5	60	0
14	Mar_9_2011	31.61	31.98	32.09	32.33			32.82(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	45	-10000	23	109	13.11	56%	0.03	39.8	0.53%	0	3	67	0
15	Mar_8_2011	31.6	31.94	31.97	32.13			32.49(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	29	-10000	17	64	6.72	53%	0	27	0.52%	0	2.8	61	0

16	Mar_7_2011	31.6	31.91	31.9	32.13			32.13(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	0	32	10.81	47%	0.03	18	0.51%	0	1.4	58	0
17	Mar_4_2011	31.59	31.91	31.87	31.99			32.01(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	6	31	7.34	47%	0	23.4	0.51%	0	0.8	49	0
18	Mar_3_2011	31.59	31.89	31.86	31.94			32.2(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	16	-10000	15	18	5.78	49%	0	12.8	0.51%	0	2.1	51	0
19	Mar_2_2011	31.59	31.87	31.86	31.82			31.84(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	4	-19	5.76	44%	0	-14.6	0.49%	0	-0.2	45	0
20	Mar_1_2011	31.59	31.87	31.86	31.79			31.79(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	1	-31	12.15	49%	0	-20.5	0.49%	0	-0.6	44	0

21	Feb_28_2011	31.59	31.88	31.81	31.78			32.11(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.4	-7	-10000	5	-41	12.31	53%	0.03	-34.1	0.49%	0	1.6	51	0
22	Feb_25_2011	31.58	31.86	31.8	31.74			31.76(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-47	3.95	48%	0	-52.3	0.48%	0	-0.7	50	0
23	Feb_24_2011	31.58	31.87	31.83	31.76			31.58(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-7	-43	7.09	46%	0	-45.5	0.48%	0	-2.1	36	0
24	Feb_23_2011	31.58	31.89	31.87	31.81			31.7(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-4	-29	5.42	41%	-0.03	-34.1	0.48%	0	-1.5	46	0
25	Feb_22_2011	31.59	31.91	31.9	31.84			31.77(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	0	-20	6.01	41%		-17.1	0.5%	0	-1.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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