Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $31.9600 (-0.37%) ($31.8700 - $32.1200) on Wed. Jan. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $31.9600(-0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(72%)    SPY(58%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    TIP(8%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(11%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.02(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.87(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.67(0.92%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2011	31.49	31.67	31.87	32.02			31.96(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	5	102	5.55	43%	0.03	69.6	0.53%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Jan_25_2011	31.48	31.65	31.82	31.98			32.08(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	7	90	8.52	43%	0.03	73.7	0.53%	0	1.8	62	0
3	Jan_24_2011	31.47	31.61	31.76	31.92			32.13(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	8	79	3.66	43%	0	78.6	0.53%	0	2.4	68	0
4	Jan_21_2011	31.47	31.57	31.7	31.85			31.95(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	9	73	7.6	41%	0.03	81.7	0.53%	0	2	69	0
5	Jan_20_2011	31.46	31.54	31.65	31.77			31.98(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	8	64	8.61	41%	0	82.5	0.53%	0	2.4	70	0

6	Jan_19_2011	31.46	31.5	31.59	31.7			31.74(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	52	4.82	37%	0.03	81.3	0.53%	0	1.6	63	0
7	Jan_18_2011	31.45	31.47	31.58	31.65			31.82(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	11	49	3.59	37%	0.06	68.8	0.53%	0	2.3	60	0
8	Jan_14_2011	31.43	31.44	31.55	31.56			31.74(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	4	33	5.5	37%	0.03	54.2	0.53%	0	2	62	0
9	Jan_13_2011	31.42	31.42	31.51	31.53			31.59(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	2	27	6.8	37%	0.03	70.7	0.53%	0	1.3	59	0
10	Jan_12_2011	31.41	31.39	31.48	31.51			31.62(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	5	24	4.19	37%	0.03	62.5	0.53%	0	1.5	60	0

11	Jan_11_2011	31.4	31.38	31.48	31.47			31.46(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-5	18	3.19	37%	0	73.3	0.53%	0	0.6	61	0
12	Jan_10_2011	31.4	31.37	31.48	31.51			31.41(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-1	37	6.36	37%	0.03	82.2	0.53%	0	0.3	60	0
13	Jan_7_2011	31.39	31.36	31.46	31.52			31.58(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	53	5.09	39%	0.06	77.1	0.52%	0	1.5	70	0
14	Jan_6_2011	31.37	31.33	31.43	31.48			31.47(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	4	43	5.71	39%	0	62.5	0.52%	0	0.9	54	0
15	Jan_5_2011	31.37	31.3	31.42	31.45			31.44(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	1	45	4.6	44%	0.03	41.4	0.52%	0	0.8	63	0

16	Jan_4_2011	31.36	31.28	31.4	31.44			31.64(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	4	39	4.98	46%	0.03	44.3	0.54%	0	1.9	57	0
17	Jan_3_2011	31.35	31.25	31.35	31.41			31.49(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	4	32	3.54	46%	0	55.6	0.53%	0	1.4	56	0
18	Dec_31_2010	31.35	31.24	31.35	31.38			31.34(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	27	2.17	46%	0.03	66.7	0.53%	0	0.6	58	0
19	Dec_30_2010	31.34	31.23	31.32	31.38			31.33(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	0	40	2.48	46%	0.03	77.1	0.54%	0	0.7	61	0
20	Dec_29_2010	31.33	31.22	31.3	31.39			31.38(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	5	50	1.85	46%	0	85.4	0.54%	0	1.1	66	0

21	Dec_28_2010	31.33	31.19	31.29	31.35			31.49(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	7	57	1.18	46%	0	55.2	0.54%	0	1.7	65	0
22	Dec_27_2010	31.33	31.16	31.27	31.29			31.38(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	48	2.14	46%	0.03	37.9	0.54%	0	1.2	54	0
23	Dec_23_2010	31.32	31.13	31.24	31.29			31.36(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	0	31	2.87	49%	0.03	21.3	0.57%	0	1.2	51	0
24	Dec_22_2010	31.31	31.12	31.21	31.25			31.34(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	5	26	3.39	49%	0	22.4	0.59%	0	1.2	53	0
25	Dec_21_2010	31.31	31.09	31.16	31.2			31.2(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-3	7	3.21	49%		8.6	0.59%	0	0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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